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Launceston W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 66-89
24-30 16-11 15-24 11-24
Position#17
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game70.2
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Launceston W v Keilor Thunder W
26 Apr 2025
LAUN66
KEIL89
07 Jul 2023
LAUN87
KEIL65
30 Apr 2022
LAUN93
KEIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Launceston W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Launceston WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
57-103
57
103
-46
A14/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
60-85
60
85
-25
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
14-27
13-18
14-12
17-21
31-16
15-20
13-16
20-24
20-17
10-13
27-22
13-23
14-26
17-36
13-18
19-20
16-24
17-15
14-17
16-19
17-24
15-22
7-11
23-17
13-23
24-16
19-27
21-20
19-20
25-26
21-28
14-23
18-21
20-15
13-12
17-24
16-23
10-24
17-14
150.2Avg total
68.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.580.8149.3-12.30%
Season at home (4)69.281.5150.8-12.20%
Season away (2)67.079.5146.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)68.981.3150.2-12.420%
Last 5 (5)69.081.8150.8-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.082.3150.3-14.319%
vs Similar (8)73.077.2150.2-4.225%
vs Weaker (1)86.094.0180.0-8.00%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H10/08
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
53-96
53
96
-43
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
76-50
76
50
+26
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
11-16
22-18
16-25
20-15
17-21
14-18
17-5
21-21
23-18
26-19
26-17
29-21
19-29
13-20
21-17
32-17
15-17
18-21
25-19
28-23
29-17
24-13
19-17
25-23
12-21
22-19
25-14
23-38
14-24
8-6
8-28
15-13
12-13
17-14
11-14
20-16
21-7
15-19
20-8
148.3Avg total
76.8Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.370.2146.5+6.283%
Season at home (2)77.562.0139.5+15.5100%
Season away (4)75.874.2150.0+1.575%
Last 10 (10)76.871.5148.3+5.370%
Last 5 (5)73.669.4143.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.096.0149.0-43.00%
vs Similar (7)68.767.4136.1+1.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)80.364.5144.8+15.791%
This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
Launceston WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Launceston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A14/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
79.6Avg total
36.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.042.179.0-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.241.077.2-4.831%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.381.1-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)36.543.179.6-6.610%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.877.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.841.978.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (8)37.042.979.9-5.912%-
vs Weaker (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/08
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
78.5Avg total
40.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.735.376.0+5.469%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.035.278.2+7.887%-
Last 30 away (14)38.235.473.6+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.478.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.062.099.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (7)33.433.667.0-0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.334.677.9+8.776%-
This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Launceston W wins
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25HGeelong W60-85
12/04/25HKilsyth W65-71
11/04/25HBallarat W86-94
06/04/25ABendigo Braves W79-83
05/04/25AWaverley W55-76
29/03/25HHobart Chargers W66-76
14/07/24ADandenong Rangers W57-103
13/07/24ANunawading W77-76
06/07/24HBendigo Braves W76-73
29/06/24HKilsyth W68-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25AHobart Chargers W76-50
13/04/25HFrankston W55-54
11/04/25ADandenong Rangers W53-96
05/04/25ABendigo Braves W84-77
30/03/25HMt. Gambier W100-70
29/03/25ADiamond Valley W90-74
10/08/24HWaverley W82-87
03/08/24HBallarat W96-75
20/07/24HDandenong Rangers W68-59
13/07/24AKnox W64-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Launceston W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.569.267.0
Allowed / game80.881.579.5
Point differential-12.3-12.2-12.5
Avg total149.3150.8146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game76.377.575.8
Allowed / game70.262.074.2
Point differential+6.2+15.5+1.5
Avg total146.5139.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W550100%89.462.0+27.4
2 Knox W65183%84.368.3+16.0
3 Keilor Thunder W65183%76.370.2+6.2
4 Sandringham W65183%74.570.2+4.3
5 Dandenong Rangers W64267%85.867.2+18.7
6 Waverley W53260%73.666.6+7.0
7 Diamond Valley W74357%82.680.7+1.9
8 Nunawading W63350%70.271.3-1.2
9 Eltham W42250%72.275.2-3.0
10 Casey Cavaliers W63350%70.277.0-6.8
11 Ringwood W52340%75.271.4+3.8
12 Frankston W52340%66.668.6-2.0
13 Melbourne Tigers W52340%81.284.0-2.8
14 Bendigo Braves W52340%72.880.4-7.6
15 Hobart Chargers W62433%69.772.2-2.5
16 Kilsyth W72529%62.978.0-15.1
17 Ballarat W41325%74.587.0-12.5
18 Mt. Gambier W61517%64.082.0-18.0
19 Launceston W6060%68.580.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Launceston W2416151166
Keilor Thunder W3011242489
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