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Esgueira W vs Barcelos W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 74-70
13-18 26-10 21-18 14-24
Position#1
Record21-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game62.0
Esgueira W 🏆
Portugal
vs
Barcelos W
Portugal
Position#8
Record9-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game74.7
PortugalLFB WomenLFB Women - Quarter-finals· Pavilhao Clube do Pova de Esgueira
Women2024-25
Meetings · Esgueira W v Barcelos W
07 Mar 2026
ESGU80
BARC77
12 Apr 2025
ESGU74
BARC70
08 Dec 2024
ESGU91
BARC73
08 Oct 2023
ESGU103
BARC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelos W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
71-58
71
58
+13
59avg 65
H18/01
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
62avg 65
A01/02
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
69-46
69
46
+23
64avg 65
A07/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
83-62
83
62
+21
71avg 65
H15/02
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
77-52
77
52
+25
68avg 65
H26/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
72-51
72
51
+21
65avg 65
A02/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
65avg 65
H08/03
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
98-69
98
69
+29
98avg 65
A16/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
79avg 65
H30/03
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
67-64
67
64
+3
50avg 65
A05/04
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
21-14
14-15
23-12
19-10
20-8
16-15
15-19
21-12
19-13
19-9
10-12
19-15
24-12
14-25
26-10
16-15
28-6
23-17
10-14
14-13
19-17
14-13
25-8
14-17
23-24
20-21
22-26
33-14
17-13
19-27
29-15
25-14
23-23
18-19
15-19
20-10
14-16
13-20
20-18
138.4Avg total
76.7Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.862.0137.8+13.891%
Season at home (11)79.466.0145.4+13.491%
Season away (12)72.658.3130.9+14.292%
Last 10 (10)76.761.7138.4+15.090%
Last 5 (5)79.469.4148.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.068.8128.8-8.820%
vs Similar (3)76.361.3137.7+15.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)76.460.1136.6+16.3100%
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barcelos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AD Vagos W
#12
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 59
H19/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
85avg 59
A21/01
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 59
A01/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 59
H16/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
66avg 59
A26/02
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
74-59
74
59
+15
72avg 59
H02/03
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
67-82
67
82
-15
54avg 59
A09/03
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
69-98
69
98
-29
57avg 59
H16/03
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
70-93
70
93
-23
54avg 59
A30/03
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
64-67
64
67
-3
56avg 59
H05/04
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
23-13
12-22
27-22
–
–
–
–
9-22
10-20
25-12
19-24
20-15
20-18
18-18
14-16
21-25
18-28
27-17
12-10
24-18
12-8
24-21
14-12
19-24
8-25
12-14
28-19
14-33
13-17
27-19
15-29
26-19
19-23
8-24
17-27
10-20
16-14
20-13
18-20
134.9Avg total
63.8Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.474.7144.2-5.339%
Season at home (12)68.368.5136.8-0.250%
Season away (11)70.681.5152.2-10.927%
Last 10 (10)63.871.1134.9-7.330%
Last 5 (5)68.879.8148.6-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.978.3143.2-13.311%
vs Similar (5)72.072.4144.4-0.460%
vs Weaker (6)80.064.5144.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Esgueira WBarcelos W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H18/01
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A01/02
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A07/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H15/02
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H26/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A02/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H08/03
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A16/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/03
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A05/04
LFB Women
68.5Avg total
40.2Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.830.067.8+7.877%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.233.974.1+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)35.326.161.4+9.387%-
Last 10 (10)40.228.368.5+11.990%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.272.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.032.061.0-3.040%-
vs Similar (3)36.734.771.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.928.268.0+11.790%-
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barcelos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AD Vagos W
#12
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H19/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A01/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/02
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H02/03
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A09/03
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H16/03
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A30/03
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H05/04
LFB Women
72.6Avg total
33.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.437.772.1-3.345%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.334.168.4+0.256%-
Last 30 away (13)34.542.276.8-7.731%-
Last 10 (9)33.439.172.6-5.744%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.272.4-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.839.371.1-7.622%-
vs Similar (5)34.636.871.4-2.260%-
vs Weaker (6)42.233.775.8+8.5100%-
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.6
46.7%
43.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.8
33.0%
29.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.311.5
70.6%
72.2%11.5
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos W: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.419.8
45.6%
43.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.65.5
22.4%
29.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.9
76.4%
72.2%15.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira W
WWWLWWWWWW
Barcelos W
LLLLWLWLLW
#1
League position
#8
+18.9
Net rating
-6.2
94.5
Offensive rating
87.8
75.7
Defensive rating
94.0
47.9%
Effective FG%
41.2%
39.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
19.2%
Turnover %
23.7%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.0%
3-point %
22.4%
65.0%
Assist %
64.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 87.8Defence75.7 · 94.0Shooting47.9% · 41.2%3-point %33.0% · 22.4%Ball care19.2% · 23.7%Off. rebounds23.8% · 32.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Esgueira W   ■ Barcelos W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Esgueira W wins
0
Barcelos W wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Barcelos W v Esgueira W64-67
16/03/25Barcelos W v Esgueira W69-98
08/12/24Esgueira W v Barcelos W91-73
22/12/23Barcelos W v Esgueira W62-64
08/10/23Esgueira W v Barcelos W103-72
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ABarcelos W67-64
30/03/25HUniao Sportiva W81-75
16/03/25ABarcelos W98-69
08/03/25HBenfica W79-88
02/03/25AImortal W72-51
26/02/25HSanjoanense W77-52
15/02/25HCAB Madeira W83-62
07/02/25AAD Vagos W69-46
01/02/25ANatacao W70-52
18/01/25HQuinta Dos Lombos W71-58
Barcelos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HEsgueira W64-67
30/03/25AImortal W70-93
16/03/25HEsgueira W69-98
09/03/25ACAB Madeira W67-82
02/03/25HNatacao W74-59
26/02/25AQuinta Dos Lombos W78-80
16/02/25HGalitos W72-67
01/02/25AGdessa Barreiro W63-78
21/01/25ACDEFF W0-20
19/01/25HAD Vagos W81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %91%91%92%
Points / game75.879.472.6
Allowed / game62.066.058.3
Point differential+13.8+13.4+14.2
Avg total137.8145.4130.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%55%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelos W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%50%27%
Points / game69.468.370.6
Allowed / game74.768.581.5
Point differential-5.3-0.2-10.9
Avg total144.2136.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W2321291%75.862.0+13.8
2 Benfica W2420483%78.857.5+21.2
3 Gdessa Barreiro W2416867%68.861.7+7.1
4 Uniao Sportiva W2416867%63.361.5+1.8
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W2415962%70.962.2+8.6
6 Galitos W24141058%65.563.9+1.6
7 Imortal W24111346%71.269.6+1.6
8 Barcelos W2391439%69.474.7-5.3
9 CAB Madeira W2271532%66.171.5-5.3
10 Sanjoanense W2261627%63.972.4-8.5
11 Natacao W2231914%59.177.0-17.9
12 AD Vagos W221215%59.082.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira W1326211474
Barcelos W1810182470
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