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Natacao W vs CAB Madeira W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 70-64
21-13 20-11 14-14 15-26
Position#8
Record8-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game60.9
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#9
Record7-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game69.3
PortugalLFB WomenRound 20· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2023-24
Meetings · Natacao W v CAB Madeira W
26 Oct 2024
NATA76
CAB 66
02 Mar 2024
NATA70
CAB 64
06 Nov 2022
NATA59
CAB 53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
CDEFF W
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 49
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 49
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
44-70
44
70
-26
31avg 49
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
50-86
50
86
-36
34avg 49
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 49
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
41-64
41
64
-23
26avg 49
H03/02
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
46-64
46
64
-18
30avg 49
H08/02
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
61-54
61
54
+7
43avg 49
A11/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
54-78
54
78
-24
39avg 49
A18/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 49
A25/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
23-22
16-30
14-21
31-21
20-21
12-23
19-19
12-15
13-14
9-23
10-18
4-21
23-24
15-18
8-23
25-7
9-13
14-15
29-14
12-18
8-10
9-22
12-14
5-10
12-16
8-23
21-15
13-18
18-16
19-9
11-11
11-21
15-22
12-16
16-19
28-11
18-14
12-18
13-22
130.4Avg total
60.1Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)60.969.1129.9-8.242%
Season at home (9)59.367.8127.1-8.433%
Season away (10)62.370.2132.5-7.950%
Last 10 (10)60.170.3130.4-10.230%
Last 5 (5)54.665.0119.6-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)58.969.7128.6-10.732%
vs Similar ◀ (9)65.766.8132.4-1.156%
vs Weaker (1)61.049.0110.0+12.0100%
This opponent (CAB Madeira W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB Madeira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
CDEFF W
#11
W
76-60
76
60
+16
74avg 55
H07/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
50-86
50
86
-36
34avg 55
A10/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
60-72
60
72
-12
53avg 55
A22/12
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
88-83
88
83
+5
93avg 55
H05/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
58-73
58
73
-15
49avg 55
H07/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
no box
H14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
57-75
57
75
-18
43avg 55
A20/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
51-64
51
64
-13
41avg 55
A03/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
59-72
59
72
-13
50avg 55
H18/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
70-88
70
88
-18
59avg 55
H24/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
22-17
13-10
24-16
15-25
6-15
15-29
14-17
13-21
19-17
22-19
6-15
29-31
19-18
22-10
18-24
19-19
17-19
9-18
13-17
13-19
10-11
16-14
3-19
19-21
11-22
8-18
19-14
13-19
14-15
11-17
13-13
20-26
12-17
18-18
9-11
18-25
17-17
12-26
23-20
134.7Avg total
61.1Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)62.869.3132.1-6.537%
Season at home (11)64.367.7132.0-3.545%
Season away (8)60.871.5132.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)61.173.6134.7-12.520%
Last 5 (5)55.872.4128.2-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)60.171.2131.4-11.112%
vs Similar ◀ (4)66.872.0138.8-5.225%
vs Weaker (9)74.866.2141.0+8.689%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
Natacao WCAB Madeira W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CDEFF W
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H03/02
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H08/02
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A18/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A25/02
LFB Women
65.2Avg total
32.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.133.064.2-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.430.259.5-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)32.535.267.7-2.835%-
Last 10 (10)32.233.065.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)28.031.259.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.334.163.3-4.832%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.332.868.1+2.644%-
vs Weaker (1)26.020.046.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB Madeira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CDEFF W
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H07/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A10/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A22/12
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H05/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H07/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#1
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A20/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A03/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H18/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H24/02
LFB Women
71.4Avg total
32.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.735.068.8-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.132.466.5+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)33.338.171.4-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)32.339.171.4-6.810%-
Last 5 (5)29.438.467.8-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.636.668.2-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.532.568.0+3.075%-
vs Weaker (9)38.033.971.9+4.167%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 59.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.613.5
37.9%
43.3%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.2
28.2%
28.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws14.410.7
74.3%
72.6%10.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira W: 61.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.1
44.7%
43.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.04.7
23.5%
28.2%14.1
🏀 Free throws14.711.2
76.2%
72.6%11.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
WLWLLWLLLL
CAB Madeira W
LLLLLLWLLW
#8
League position
#9
-14.1
Net rating
-14.6
81.7
Offensive rating
80.9
95.8
Defensive rating
95.5
39.8%
Effective FG%
41.6%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
20.9%
Turnover %
22.4%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.2%
3-point %
23.5%
50.7%
Assist %
69.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence81.7 · 80.9Defence95.8 · 95.5Shooting39.8% · 41.6%3-point %28.2% · 23.5%Ball care20.9% · 22.4%Off. rebounds23.6% · 20.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Natacao W   ■ CAB Madeira W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Natacao W wins
3
CAB Madeira W wins
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AGalitos W71-65
18/02/24AUniao Sportiva W54-78
11/02/24AACD Ferragudo W61-54
08/02/24HEsgueira W46-64
03/02/24HBenfica W41-64
06/01/24HImortal W77-49
29/12/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W50-86
22/12/23AGdessa Barreiro W44-70
08/12/23HBarcelos W82-84
03/12/23ACDEFF W75-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W70-88
18/02/24HImortal W59-72
03/02/24AGdessa Barreiro W51-64
20/01/24AEsgueira W57-75
14/01/24HBenfica W42-63
07/01/24HBenfica W58-73
05/01/24HACD Ferragudo W88-83
22/12/23AGalitos W60-72
10/12/23AUniao Sportiva W50-86
07/12/23HCDEFF W76-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game60.959.362.3
Allowed / game69.167.870.2
Point differential-8.2-8.4-7.9
Avg total129.9127.1132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CAB Madeira W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL37%
HomeWWLLL45%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %37%45%25%
Points / game62.864.360.8
Allowed / game69.367.771.5
Point differential-6.5-3.5-10.8
Avg total132.1132.0132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W1917289%72.557.4+15.1
2 Gdessa Barreiro W1915479%65.856.3+9.5
3 Benfica W2014670%66.761.2+5.5
4 Esgueira W1913668%68.562.2+6.3
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W1911858%66.960.2+6.8
6 Imortal W1911858%65.863.5+2.3
7 Barcelos W1981142%70.573.9-3.4
8 Natacao W1981142%60.969.1-8.2
9 CAB Madeira W1971237%62.869.3-6.5
10 CDEFF W1941521%63.471.8-8.4
11 Galitos W2041620%58.067.2-9.2
12 ACD Ferragudo W1931616%61.270.7-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W2120141570
CAB Madeira W1311142664
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