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Eskilstuna vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 86-85
Projected total 170.6
Final 56-73
14-18 22-10 9-26 11-19
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game88.0
Vs
52%
48%
■ ESKI 52%■ AIK 48%
Pythia win probability
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game74.0
SwedenSuperettan· STIGA Sports Arena B
Other2026-27
Meetings · Eskilstuna v AIK Basket
01 Nov 2026
ESKI56
AIK 73
19 Oct 2025
ESKI92
AIK 81
27 Jan 2024
ESKI80
AIK 88
03 Dec 2022
ESKI80
AIK 85
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Eskilstuna host AIK Basket in the Superettan. Pythia makes Eskilstuna the favourite at 52% and projects 86-85, about 171 points in all (over 171.25: 47%). On the market's main spread (Eskilstuna -2) Pythia gives Eskilstuna 47% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Eskilstuna are 5-2 this season (92.3 scored, 88.0 allowed a game), form WLWLW; AIK Basket are 4-1 this season (85.4 scored, 74.0 allowed a game), form WWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eskilstuna winLost
52.0%fair 1.92
Best odds1.83
Implied53.7%
Edge-1.7pp
AIK Basket winWon
48.0%fair 2.08
Best odds2.02
Implied46.3%
Edge+1.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEskilstuna
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
W
95-87
95
87
+8
89avg 77
H20/05
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
55avg 77
A22/05
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
64-73
64
73
-9
46avg 77
A24/05
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
99-84
99
84
+15
89avg 77
A19/09
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 77
A20/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
101-76
101
76
+25
99avg 77
H26/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
39avg 77
A04/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#10
W
94-91
94
91
+3
93avg 77
A18/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 77
H21/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
92avg 77
A25/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
25-27
27-20
20-17
19-27
21-17
16-16
17-23
27-22
15-19
8-15
14-17
26-23
26-20
26-19
21-22
26-18
20-35
20-21
25-12
27-24
36-18
21-14
17-20
18-20
21-18
6-26
18-26
25-22
23-26
23-21
23-22
27-27
17-24
20-23
27-23
17-21
30-24
30-32
30-15
173.7Avg total
87.8Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.388.0180.3+4.371%
Season at home (2)96.086.5182.5+9.550%
Season away (5)90.888.6179.4+2.280%
Last 10 (10)87.885.9173.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)91.289.2180.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.991.6173.5-9.825%
vs Similar (16)89.486.3175.8+3.162%
vs Weaker (6)92.380.8173.2+11.583%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
W
73-56
73
56
+17
64avg 76
A07/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 76
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 76
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
57avg 76
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
91-106
91
106
-15
81avg 76
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
77avg 76
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
95avg 76
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
67-90
67
90
-23
54avg 76
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
84-58
84
58
+26
82avg 76
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
68avg 76
H24/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
19-20
11-8
20-7
22-23
23-17
24-18
17-17
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
24-25
16-30
24-16
27-35
29-19
15-15
18-9
31-19
25-28
25-26
19-20
32-20
18-19
18-22
15-24
16-25
27-9
24-13
14-20
19-16
31-9
19-16
20-13
12-28
161.9Avg total
85.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.474.0159.4+11.480%
Season at home (2)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Season away (3)87.082.0169.0+5.067%
Last 10 (10)85.676.3161.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)85.474.0159.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.588.0167.5-8.525%
vs Similar (15)82.080.7162.7+1.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.970.9154.8+13.073%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Under 166
Over 166
60.4%
Under 166
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.25 · main lineActual: Under 171.25
Over 171.25
47.0%
@ 1.82-2.7pp
Under 171.25
53.0%
@ 1.80+2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176
Over 176
36.2%
Under 176
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Eskilstuna total 82.5Actual: Eskilstuna under 82.5
Over 82.5
61.5%
@ 1.40-0.9pp
Under 82.5
38.5%
@ 2.32+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.32
Eskilstuna total 86.5 · main lineActual: Eskilstuna under 86.5
Over 86.5
46.2%
@ 1.91-2.8pp
Under 86.5
53.8%
@ 1.83+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Under
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.70
Eskilstuna total 90.5Actual: Eskilstuna under 90.5
Over 90.5
31.6%
@ 2.41-4.8pp
Under 90.5
68.4%
@ 1.38+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.41
Under
1xBet
1.38
AIK Basket total 81.5Actual: AIK Basket under 81.5
Over 81.5
63.0%
@ 1.43+2.1pp
Under 81.5
37.0%
@ 2.23-2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.23
AIK Basket total 85.5 · main lineActual: AIK Basket under 85.5
Over 85.5
47.8%
@ 1.91-1.0pp
Under 85.5
52.2%
@ 1.83+1.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.65
AIK Basket total 89.5Actual: AIK Basket under 89.5
Over 89.5
33.0%
@ 2.51-1.9pp
Under 89.5
67.0%
@ 1.35+1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.51
Under
1xBet
1.35

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Eskilstuna -5Actual: AIK Basket +5
ESKI -5
35.4%
AIK +5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
ESKI
No market prices yet.
AIK
No market prices yet.
Spread Eskilstuna -2 · main lineActual: AIK Basket +2
ESKI -2
46.8%
@ 1.88-2.8pp
AIK +2
53.2%
@ 1.85+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
ESKI
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.87
AIK
Pinnacle
1.85
SBO
1.79
Spread Eskilstuna +1Actual: AIK Basket -1
ESKI +1
53.6%
@ 1.79-1.8pp
AIK -1
46.4%
@ 2.08+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
ESKI
SBO
1.79
Pinnacle
1.68
AIK
Pinnacle
2.08
SBO
1.87

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
EskilstunaAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H20/05
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A22/05
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A24/05
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A19/09
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A20/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H26/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A18/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H21/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A25/10
Superettan
92.4Avg total
46.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)44.843.588.3+1.357%60%
Last 30 at home (12)45.641.286.8+4.358%50%
Last 30 away (18)44.345.189.3-0.856%67%
Last 10 (10)46.945.592.4+1.450%70%
Last 5 (5)48.244.893.0+3.460%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.046.886.8-6.838%62%
vs Similar (16)46.043.189.1+2.956%69%
vs Weaker (6)48.040.588.5+7.583%33%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H24/10
Superettan
82.5Avg total
44.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)41.238.579.7+2.857%27%
Last 30 at home (15)40.535.375.9+5.260%20%
Last 30 away (15)41.941.683.5+0.353%33%
Last 10 (10)44.438.182.5+6.370%30%
Last 5 (5)46.235.281.4+11.060%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.545.888.2-3.250%50%
vs Similar (15)39.538.077.5+1.553%27%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.236.579.6+6.764%18%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Eskilstuna win
ESKI win
no forecast
@ 1.80
AIK win
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Spread Eskilstuna -0.5 · main lineActual: Eskilstuna -0.5
ESKI -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
AIK +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Eskilstuna 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Eskilstuna under 43
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
AIK Basket 1st half total 42 · main lineActual: AIK Basket under 42
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half: ESKI + total 85.5
ESKI & over
no forecast
@ 3.55
ESKI & under
no forecast
@ 3.45
1st half: Draw + total 85.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: AIK + total 85.5
AIK & over
no forecast
@ 4.00
AIK & under
no forecast
@ 3.90
1st half Spread Eskilstuna -1.5Actual: Eskilstuna -1.5
ESKI -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
AIK +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.77
1st half Spread Eskilstuna -2.5Actual: Eskilstuna -2.5
ESKI -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.99
AIK +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Eskilstuna +1.5Actual: Eskilstuna +1.5
ESKI +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
AIK -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Spread Eskilstuna -3.5Actual: Eskilstuna -3.5
ESKI -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.16
AIK +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Eskilstuna +2.5Actual: Eskilstuna +2.5
ESKI +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
AIK -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.31
1st half Spread Eskilstuna -4.5Actual: Eskilstuna -4.5
ESKI -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.36
AIK +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Eskilstuna +3.5Actual: Eskilstuna +3.5
ESKI +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
AIK -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.54
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: AIK Basket (regulation)
ESKI
no forecast
@ 1.85
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
AIK
no forecast
@ 2.23

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ESKI win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
AIK win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ESKI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: AIK leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Eskilstuna under 92.574.9%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+5.1ppWon
Eskilstuna under 91.571.7%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+5.0ppWon
Overtime: no94.6%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.3pp-
AIK Basket over 79.570.1%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+2.7ppLost
AIK Basket +7.572.4%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+2.7ppWon
AIK Basket over 78.573.3%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+2.7ppLost
AIK Basket under 90.570.3%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+2.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.3
50.7%
50.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.4
34.2%
29.5%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.713.3
67.5%
65.7%13.3
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.7
50.3%
50.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.7
31.5%
29.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.816.2
65.3%
65.7%16.2
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Eskilstuna
WLWLWWWLLW
AIK Basket
WWLWWLWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+6.7
Net rating
+8.4
94.3
Offensive rating
88.7
87.6
Defensive rating
80.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.2%
3-point %
31.5%
56.5%
Assist %
63.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 88.7Defence87.6 · 80.3Shooting51.0% · 48.8%3-point %34.2% · 31.5%Ball care12.3% · 14.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Eskilstuna   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Eskilstuna wins
2
AIK Basket wins
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AWetterbygden Stars107-92
21/10/26HFryshuset Basket91-97
18/10/26ASollentuna94-91
04/10/26AAlvik63-90
26/09/26HDjurgarden101-76
20/09/26AIK Eos91-86
19/09/26AMalbas99-84
24/05/26AHuddinge64-73
22/05/26AHuddinge73-83
20/05/26HHuddinge95-87
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HMalbas82-66
11/10/26HHuddinge84-58
03/10/26AFryshuset Basket67-90
27/09/26AAlvik101-94
21/09/26ADjurgarden93-62
11/04/26ATrelleborg91-106
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71
14/03/26HAros Basket86-75
07/03/26AOckelbo73-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eskilstuna
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%50%80%
Points / game92.396.090.8
Allowed / game88.086.588.6
Point differential+4.3+9.5+2.2
Avg total180.3182.5179.4
Over 171.2586%100%80%
Win by 10+43%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game85.483.087.0
Allowed / game74.062.082.0
Point differential+11.4+21.0+5.0
Avg total159.4145.0169.0
Over 171.2520%0%33%
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket54180%85.474.0+11.4
2 Alvik86275%92.074.8+17.2
3 Fryshuset Basket86275%90.681.5+9.1
4 Wetterbygden Stars75271%88.082.1+5.9
5 Eskilstuna75271%92.388.0+4.3
6 Norrort64267%89.380.8+8.5
7 IK Eos53260%93.473.6+19.8
8 Sollentuna84450%84.978.5+6.4
9 Trelleborg63350%81.882.8-1.0
10 Huddinge84450%76.181.6-5.5
11 Ockelbo83538%73.283.2-10.0
12 Djurgarden62433%76.287.5-11.3
13 Malbas9090%69.286.2-17.0
14 Cross Over7070%70.397.3-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eskilstuna142291156
AIK Basket1810261973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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