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Eskilstuna vs Alvik Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record6-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game75.1
SwedenSuperettan· STIGA Sports Arena B
Other2026-27
Meetings · Eskilstuna v Alvik
20 Feb 2027
ESKI v ALVI
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
ESKI87
ALVI83
09 Nov 2025
ESKI70
ALVI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eskilstuna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEskilstuna
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 76
A20/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
101-76
101
76
+25
99avg 76
H26/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
39avg 76
A04/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
94-91
94
91
+3
93avg 76
A18/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 76
H21/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
92avg 76
A25/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
56-73
56
73
-17
37avg 76
H01/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A07/11
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
H11/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
20-35
20-21
25-12
27-24
36-18
21-14
17-20
18-20
21-18
6-26
18-26
25-22
23-26
23-21
23-22
27-27
17-24
20-23
27-23
17-21
30-24
30-32
30-15
14-18
22-10
9-26
11-19
24-28
15-12
14-26
19-18
17-24
25-18
8-12
27-19
18-17
20-20
15-21
13-22
166.0Avg total
81.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.484.2167.5-0.855%
Season at home (5)78.279.8158.0-1.640%
Season away (6)87.787.8175.5-0.267%
Last 10 (10)81.884.2166.0-2.450%
Last 5 (5)75.680.4156.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.186.9165.0-8.833%
vs Similar (12)89.288.0177.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (6)92.380.8173.2+11.583%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 82
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
127-59
127
59
+68
122avg 82
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 82
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
90-63
90
63
+27
96avg 82
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
69avg 82
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 82
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 82
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 82
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 82
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
104-78
104
78
+26
no box
A08/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
28-25
26-25
20-19
20-32
20-18
18-21
26-6
26-18
18-26
17-21
22-23
20-23
19-20
30-27
16-18
32-19
23-16
14-25
26-14
24-13
16-13
26-18
22-18
22-16
20-13
26-18
20-20
12-14
29-23
21-20
19-18
35-17
169.4Avg total
92.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.375.1168.4+18.278%
Season at home (6)93.574.8168.3+18.767%
Season away (3)93.075.7168.7+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)92.277.2169.4+15.070%
Last 5 (5)90.472.0162.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Similar (15)83.782.9166.5+0.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.973.0165.9+19.990%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
EskilstunaAlvik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A20/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H26/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A18/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H21/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A25/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H01/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/11
Superettan
Norrort
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H11/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H14/11
Superettan
86.6Avg total
44.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.987.0+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.640.684.2+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)44.644.989.5-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.486.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.478.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.842.883.7-2.042%-
vs Similar (12)45.644.189.7+1.550%-
vs Weaker (6)48.040.588.5+7.583%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A08/11
Superettan
88.1Avg total
46.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.983.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.641.286.8+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)39.240.579.8-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)46.641.588.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.040%-
vs Similar (15)42.941.384.1+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.739.385.0+6.460%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.6
47.2%
50.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.3
32.8%
29.5%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.013.1
65.5%
65.7%13.1
They take 73.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
50.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
29.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.518.4
66.9%
65.7%18.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Eskilstuna
LWLLWLWLWW
Alvik
WWWWWLWLWL
#9
League position
#3
+4.1
Net rating
+12.7
90.0
Offensive rating
94.6
85.9
Defensive rating
81.8
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
12.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.8%
3-point %
33.3%
56.9%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 94.6Defence85.9 · 81.8Shooting48.2% · 51.2%3-point %32.8% · 33.3%Ball care12.0% · 16.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Eskilstuna   ■ Alvik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Eskilstuna wins
3
Alvik wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Alvik v Eskilstuna90-63
06/05/26Alvik v Eskilstuna82-96
30/04/26Eskilstuna v Alvik87-83
04/03/26Alvik v Eskilstuna99-88
09/11/25Eskilstuna v Alvik70-75
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIK Eos66-80
11/11/26HNorrort77-73
07/11/26AFryshuset Basket72-84
01/11/26HAIK Basket56-73
25/10/26AWetterbygden Stars107-92
21/10/26HFryshuset Basket91-97
18/10/26ASollentuna94-91
04/10/26AAlvik63-90
26/09/26HDjurgarden101-76
20/09/26AIK Eos91-86
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASollentuna104-78
01/11/26AOckelbo78-65
25/10/26HMalbas86-65
21/10/26HDjurgarden87-68
17/10/26ATrelleborg97-84
10/10/26HFryshuset Basket77-93
04/10/26HEskilstuna90-63
27/09/26HAIK Basket94-101
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eskilstuna
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game83.478.287.7
Allowed / game84.279.887.8
Point differential-0.8-1.6-0.2
Avg total167.5158.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%67%100%
Points / game93.393.593.0
Allowed / game75.174.875.7
Point differential+18.2+18.7+17.3
Avg total168.4168.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos85362%88.174.8+13.4
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden104640%78.886.0-7.2
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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