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Essen vs Nurnberger Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2014
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-91
17-20 15-22 27-20 26-29
Position#7
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#3
Record7-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game75.4
GermanyPro ARound 13
Other2014-15
Meetings · Essen v Nurnberger
29 Oct 2016
ESSE84
NURN82
06 Feb 2016
ESSE82
NURN86
12 Apr 2015
ESSE72
NURN80
06 Apr 2015
ESSE76
NURN73
06 Dec 2014
ESSE85
NURN91
01 Feb 2014
ESSE73
NURN83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nurnberger winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EssenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leverkusen
#13
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H05/10
Pro A
Ehingen
#16
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A12/10
Pro A
Gotha
#5
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H18/10
Pro A
Vechta
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A25/10
Pro A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H31/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H02/11
Pro A
Baunach
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A08/11
Pro A
Giessen
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A15/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H22/11
Pro A
Cuxhaven
#15
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A29/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
11-17
22-17
18-11
–
–
–
–
25-14
21-17
17-15
13-12
17-13
14-22
30-23
11-26
12-23
14-22
23-13
14-19
20-21
19-15
11-14
26-19
26-20
22-17
15-21
18-21
26-17
19-22
18-22
17-17
26-27
14-22
12-26
24-12
15-20
14-11
18-5
21-18
144.0Avg total
73.4Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.070.5146.5+5.575%
Season at home (6)76.772.3149.0+4.367%
Season away (6)75.368.7144.0+6.783%
Last 10 (10)73.470.6144.0+2.870%
Last 5 (5)76.273.4149.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.483.1158.5-7.750%
vs Similar (10)84.676.8161.4+7.870%
vs Weaker (10)77.368.5145.8+8.880%
This opponent (Nurnberger) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NurnbergerGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cuxhaven
#15
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H05/10
Pro A
Vechta
#10
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A11/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#14
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H18/10
Pro A
Chemnitz
#11
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A25/10
Pro A
Leverkusen
#13
W
78-52
78
52
+26
H31/10
Pro A
Jena
#4
W
109-98
109
98
+11
H02/11
Pro A
Hamburg
#9
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A09/11
Pro A
Gotha
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A15/11
Pro A
Giessen
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H23/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#6
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A30/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
24-8
17-14
24-19
25-17
17-12
10-19
12-15
24-17
21-15
19-17
28-24
19-19
20-24
18-20
18-19
15-12
26-19
18-8
19-13
–
–
–
–
32-15
24-16
21-21
22-22
20-15
18-17
27-16
8-34
12-20
19-25
17-13
34-27
16-12
24-20
23-12
21-14
157.7Avg total
84.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.675.4159.0+8.258%
Season at home (6)87.575.7163.2+11.867%
Season away (6)79.775.2154.8+4.550%
Last 10 (10)84.573.2157.7+11.370%
Last 5 (5)89.479.4168.8+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.782.7160.4-5.014%
vs Similar (9)83.081.1164.1+1.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.574.8159.3+9.771%
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
EssenNurnberger
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leverkusen
#13
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H05/10
Pro A
Gotha
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H18/10
Pro A
Vechta
#10
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A25/10
Pro A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H31/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/11
Pro A
Baunach
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A08/11
Pro A
Giessen
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H22/11
Pro A
Cuxhaven
#15
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A29/11
Pro A
74.8Avg total
37.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.737.275.9+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.838.877.6+0.040%-
Last 30 away (13)38.635.373.9+3.346%-
Last 10 (9)37.437.374.8+0.144%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.478.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.442.279.6-4.820%-
vs Similar (9)41.233.674.8+7.767%-
vs Weaker (9)37.735.272.9+2.444%-
This opponent (Nurnberger) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cuxhaven
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H05/10
Pro A
Vechta
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A11/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/10
Pro A
Chemnitz
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A25/10
Pro A
Leverkusen
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H31/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#9
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A09/11
Pro A
Gotha
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A15/11
Pro A
Giessen
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H23/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A30/11
Pro A
76.3Avg total
42.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)41.037.178.0+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.738.381.0+4.375%-
Last 30 away (15)39.636.175.7+3.560%-
Last 10 (9)42.234.176.3+8.178%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.275.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.938.379.1+2.671%-
vs Similar (8)41.641.483.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.633.574.1+7.175%-
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Essen wins
2
Nurnberger wins
DateGameScore
01/02/14Essen v Nurnberger73-83
28/09/13Nurnberger v Essen95-88
Essenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/14ACuxhaven68-54
22/11/14HKirchheim76-87
15/11/14AGiessen80-78
08/11/14ABaunach81-79
02/11/14HHamburg76-69
31/10/14Hs.Oliver Wurzburg63-77
25/10/14AVechta72-84
18/10/14HGotha76-58
12/10/14AEhingen69-59
05/10/14HLeverkusen73-61
Nurnbergerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/14AHeidelberg84-58
23/11/14HGiessen82-85
15/11/14AGotha73-82
09/11/14AHamburg99-74
02/11/14HJena109-98
31/10/14HLeverkusen78-52
25/10/14AChemnitz75-82
18/10/14HPaderborn92-73
11/10/14AVechta64-63
05/10/14HCuxhaven89-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen
Pro A 2014-15
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%67%83%
Points / game76.076.775.3
Allowed / game70.572.368.7
Point differential+5.5+4.3+6.7
Avg total146.5149.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nurnberger
Pro A 2014-15
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game83.687.579.7
Allowed / game75.475.775.2
Point differential+8.2+11.8+4.5
Avg total159.0163.2154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 s.Oliver Wurzburg1311285%83.868.2+15.6
2 Essen129375%76.070.5+5.5
3 Giessen128467%77.170.7+6.4
4 Gotha128467%76.973.1+3.8
5 Nurnberger127558%83.675.4+8.2
6 Hamburg127558%74.175.2-1.1
7 Heidelberg127558%78.481.0-2.6
8 Jena126650%81.679.5+2.1
9 Kirchheim126650%84.082.0+2.0
10 Vechta126650%75.876.8-1.0
11 Chemnitz126650%75.680.0-4.4
12 Paderborn135838%74.880.4-5.5
13 Baunach124833%79.779.4+0.2
14 Leverkusen134931%72.575.8-3.3
15 Ehingen1221017%65.874.3-8.5
16 Cuxhaven1321115%67.083.6-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Essen1715272685
Nurnberger2022202991
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