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Essen vs Nurnberger Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Apr 2015
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-73
17-21 18-18 20-19 21-15
Position#7
Record16-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game72.5
Essen 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#3
Record23-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game73.2
GermanyPro APro A - Quarter-finals
Other2014-15
Meetings · Essen v Nurnberger
29 Oct 2016
ESSE84
NURN82
06 Feb 2016
ESSE82
NURN86
12 Apr 2015
ESSE72
NURN80
06 Apr 2015
ESSE76
NURN73
06 Dec 2014
ESSE85
NURN91
01 Feb 2014
ESSE73
NURN83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nurnberger winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EssenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baunach
#8
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H14/02
Pro A
Jena
#4
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A22/02
Pro A
Cuxhaven
#15
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H27/02
Pro A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#1
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A01/03
Pro A
Heidelberg
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H07/03
Pro A
Kirchheim
#12
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A13/03
Pro A
Paderborn
#14
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H15/03
Pro A
Leverkusen
#13
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A22/03
Pro A
Vechta
#10
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H28/03
Pro A
Nurnberger
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A04/04
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
24-17
13-19
23-9
20-23
26-26
10-23
18-13
20-16
11-16
19-22
15-16
14-17
17-16
8-16
19-19
16-22
29-19
18-15
23-24
9-15
9-11
24-19
14-12
11-11
17-10
17-13
19-19
–
–
–
–
15-24
15-12
19-17
23-16
23-16
12-25
14-21
10-25
138.0Avg total
67.8Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.172.5145.6+0.652%
Season at home (15)78.773.7152.4+4.973%
Season away (16)67.971.3139.2-3.431%
Last 10 (10)67.870.2138.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)63.467.2130.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.178.1149.3-7.029%
vs Similar (11)75.772.6148.4+3.164%
vs Weaker (12)70.068.2138.2+1.850%
This opponent (Nurnberger) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NurnbergerGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paderborn
#14
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A14/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H21/02
Pro A
Leverkusen
#13
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A27/02
Pro A
Giessen
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A01/03
Pro A
Vechta
#10
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H07/03
Pro A
Jena
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A13/03
Pro A
Baunach
#8
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H15/03
Pro A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A21/03
Pro A
Gotha
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H28/03
Pro A
Essen
#7
W
87-59
87
59
+28
H04/04
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
27-16
17-11
14-13
15-21
30-19
18-23
26-17
20-19
14-16
29-11
17-18
22-18
18-18
20-22
17-25
27-18
26-17
20-14
21-23
24-16
25-14
16-28
20-19
13-16
25-9
28-16
16-18
28-16
12-14
20-19
7-27
24-19
26-18
15-15
24-22
16-23
25-12
21-14
25-10
152.9Avg total
82.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.673.2157.7+11.474%
Season at home (16)89.273.9163.1+15.388%
Season away (15)79.772.4152.1+7.360%
Last 10 (10)82.670.3152.9+12.380%
Last 5 (5)82.069.0151.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.078.5149.5-7.50%
vs Similar (2)79.584.0163.5-4.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)86.171.2157.3+14.988%
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
EssenNurnberger
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baunach
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/02
Pro A
Jena
#4
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A22/02
Pro A
Cuxhaven
#15
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/02
Pro A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/03
Pro A
Heidelberg
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H07/03
Pro A
Kirchheim
#12
L
18-26
18
26
-8
A13/03
Pro A
Paderborn
#14
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H15/03
Pro A
Vechta
#10
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H28/03
Pro A
Nurnberger
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/04
Pro A
68.9Avg total
34.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.635.471.0+0.246%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.336.974.1+0.457%-
Last 30 away (14)33.933.967.8+0.136%-
Last 10 (9)34.034.968.9-0.933%-
Last 5 (5)31.233.064.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.337.171.4-2.943%-
vs Similar (11)38.134.372.4+3.864%-
vs Weaker (10)33.835.369.1-1.530%-
This opponent (Nurnberger) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paderborn
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A14/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/02
Pro A
Leverkusen
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A27/02
Pro A
Giessen
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A01/03
Pro A
Vechta
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H07/03
Pro A
Jena
#4
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A13/03
Pro A
Baunach
#8
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H15/03
Pro A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#1
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A21/03
Pro A
Gotha
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H28/03
Pro A
Essen
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H04/04
Pro A
77.3Avg total
43.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.434.878.3+8.686%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.936.580.4+7.587%-
Last 30 away (14)42.933.176.0+9.986%-
Last 10 (10)43.533.877.3+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.631.475.0+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.034.074.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (2)35.540.576.0-5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.434.478.8+9.988%-
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Essen wins
5
Nurnberger wins
DateGameScore
04/04/15Nurnberger v Essen87-59
07/02/15Nurnberger v Essen81-76
06/12/14Essen v Nurnberger85-91
01/02/14Essen v Nurnberger73-83
28/09/13Nurnberger v Essen95-88
Essenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/15ANurnberger59-87
28/03/15HVechta72-69
22/03/15ALeverkusen66-70
15/03/15HPaderborn64-53
13/03/15AKirchheim56-57
07/03/15HHeidelberg86-80
01/03/15As.Oliver Wurzburg58-68
27/02/15HCuxhaven65-70
22/02/15AJena74-85
14/02/15HBaunach78-63
Nurnbergerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/15HEssen87-59
28/03/15HGotha89-74
21/03/15As.Oliver Wurzburg67-76
15/03/15HBaunach82-59
13/03/15AJena85-77
07/03/15HVechta94-72
01/03/15AGiessen77-83
27/02/15ALeverkusen80-64
21/02/15HHeidelberg89-80
14/02/15APaderborn76-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen
Pro A 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%73%31%
Points / game73.178.767.9
Allowed / game72.573.771.3
Point differential+0.6+4.9-3.4
Avg total145.6152.4139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nurnberger
Pro A 2014-15
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %74%88%60%
Points / game84.689.279.7
Allowed / game73.273.972.4
Point differential+11.4+15.3+7.3
Avg total157.7163.1152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%69%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 s.Oliver Wurzburg3129294%83.868.6+15.2
2 Nurnberger3123874%84.673.2+11.4
3 Giessen3122971%75.369.3+6.0
4 Gotha31181358%73.568.8+4.6
5 Jena31181358%83.078.7+4.3
6 Heidelberg31171455%77.679.3-1.6
7 Essen31161552%73.172.5+0.6
8 Hamburg31151648%74.678.3-3.7
9 Baunach30141647%79.977.8+2.1
10 Vechta30121840%72.575.8-3.3
11 Chemnitz30121840%73.476.8-3.4
12 Kirchheim30121840%79.683.8-4.2
13 Leverkusen30102033%71.375.7-4.4
14 Paderborn30102033%68.173.5-5.4
15 Cuxhaven30102033%70.682.2-11.6
16 Ehingen3062420%71.679.5-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Essen1718202176
Nurnberger2118191573
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