Nurnberger vs Essen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 87-59

16-23 25-12 21-14 25-10

Position#3

Record22-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game73.6

Nurnberger 🏆

Essen

Position#7

Record16-14

FormWLWLW

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game72.0

Pro APro A - Quarter-finals

Other2014-15

Meetings · Nurnberger v Essen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nurnberger winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Essen winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nurnberger Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Essen

81-76

H07/02

Pro A

Paderborn

#14

76-59

+17

A14/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

89-80

H21/02

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

80-64

+16

A27/02

Pro A

Giessen

77-83

-6

A01/03

Pro A

Vechta

#10

94-72

+22

H07/03

Pro A

Jena

85-77

A13/03

Pro A

Baunach

82-59

+23

H15/03

Pro A

s.Oliver Wurzburg

67-76

-9

A21/03

Pro A

Gotha

89-74

+15

H28/03

Pro A

19-19

10-17

27-14

25-26

18-19

27-16

17-11

14-13

15-21

30-19

18-23

26-17

20-19

14-16

29-11

17-18

22-18

18-18

20-22

17-25

27-18

26-17

20-14

21-23

24-16

25-14

16-28

20-19

13-16

25-9

28-16

16-18

28-16

12-14

20-19

7-27

24-19

26-18

15-15

24-22

154.0Avg total

82.0Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	84.5	73.6	158.1	+10.9	73%
Season at home (15)	89.3	74.9	164.2	+14.5	87%
Season away (15)	79.7	72.4	152.1	+7.3	60%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	72.0	154.0	+10.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	71.6	155.0	+11.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.0	78.5	149.5	-7.5	0%
vs Similar (2)	79.5	84.0	163.5	-4.5	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	85.9	72.5	158.4	+13.5	85%

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Essen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

76-81

-5

A07/02

Pro A

Baunach

78-63

+15

H14/02

Pro A

Jena

74-85

-11

A22/02

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#15

65-70

-5

H27/02

Pro A

s.Oliver Wurzburg

58-68

-10

A01/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

86-80

H07/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#12

56-57

-1

A13/03

Pro A

Paderborn

#14

64-53

+11

H15/03

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

66-70

-4

A22/03

Pro A

Vechta

#10

72-69

H28/03

Pro A

19-19

17-10

14-27

26-25

18-18

24-17

13-19

23-9

20-23

26-26

10-23

18-13

20-16

11-16

19-22

15-16

14-17

17-16

8-16

19-19

16-22

29-19

18-15

23-24

9-15

9-11

24-19

14-12

11-11

17-10

17-13

19-19

–

15-24

15-12

19-17

23-16

139.1Avg total

69.5Scored

69.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	73.6	72.0	145.6	+1.6	53%
Season at home (15)	78.7	73.7	152.4	+4.9	73%
Season away (15)	68.5	70.3	138.8	-1.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	69.5	69.6	139.1	-0.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	65.8	134.6	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	73.2	76.7	149.8	-3.5	33%
vs Similar (12)	77.4	73.4	150.8	+4.0	67%
vs Weaker (12)	70.0	68.2	138.2	+1.8	50%

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NurnbergerEssen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.7	17.7	39.4	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	16.4	38.8	+6.1	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.0	40.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	17.5	42.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.3	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.6	18.4	36.9	+0.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	17.8	35.2	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.8	18.3	34.1	-2.6	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	17.8	30.8	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.2	18.2	36.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.8	17.1	39.0	+4.7	68%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	17.6	40.7	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	16.7	37.2	+3.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	15.8	37.1	+5.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	14.4	37.2	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	16.5	32.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.6	16.8	39.5	+5.8	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.1	16.8	33.9	+0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	17.9	35.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.4	15.5	31.9	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.3	15.2	33.6	+3.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	13.6	31.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.0	18.3	34.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	16.4	35.7	+3.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	15.2	16.3	31.5	-1.1	40%	-

NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Essen

29-36

-7

H07/02

Pro A

Paderborn

#14

45-35

+10

A14/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

45-40

H21/02

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

34-35

-1

A27/02

Pro A

Giessen

40-36

A01/03

Pro A

Vechta

#10

53-35

+18

H07/03

Pro A

Jena

49-30

+19

A13/03

Pro A

Baunach

38-25

+13

H15/03

Pro A

s.Oliver Wurzburg

40-30

+10

A21/03

Pro A

Gotha

50-37

+13

H28/03

Pro A

76.2Avg total

42.3Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	43.5	34.8	78.4	+8.7	86%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	36.6	80.7	+7.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	33.1	76.0	+9.9	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	33.9	76.2	+8.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	31.4	77.4	+14.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	34.0	74.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	35.5	40.5	76.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	44.5	34.4	78.9	+10.1	88%	-

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

36-29

A07/02

Pro A

Baunach

42-35

H14/02

Pro A

Jena

46-49

-3

A22/02

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#15

31-32

-1

H27/02

Pro A

s.Oliver Wurzburg

31-33

-2

A01/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

45-41

H07/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#12

18-26

-8

A13/03

Pro A

Paderborn

#14

28-21

H15/03

Pro A

Vechta

#10

30-36

-6

H28/03

Pro A

67.7Avg total

34.1Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	35.6	35.1	70.8	+0.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.3	36.9	74.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.8	33.3	67.2	+0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.1	33.6	67.7	+0.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	31.4	61.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.2	36.5	70.7	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.1	34.3	72.4	+3.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	33.8	35.3	69.1	-1.5	30%	-

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	15.9	36.6	+4.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	17.9	37.9	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.5	16.6	37.1	+4.0	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.6	18.1	35.7	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.8	19.0	34.8	-3.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.0	33.2	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	19.4	36.9	-1.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.3	16.8	34.1	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.5	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	20.7	43.8	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	20.0	36.6	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.5	24.0	35.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.5	26.0	51.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.5	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.7	22.2	42.8	-1.5	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.1	37.3	77.4	+2.9	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	36.6	80.4	+7.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	37.9	74.4	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.1	77.8	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	40.2	77.6	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.0	44.5	75.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.0	43.5	87.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.4	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	37.6	37.0	74.6	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	36.3	76.4	+3.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.8	37.8	72.7	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.8	36.0	71.8	-0.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	34.0	70.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.6	38.4	76.0	-0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	36.7	33.7	70.4	+3.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nurnberger wins

Essen wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/15	Nurnberger v Essen	81-76
06/12/14	Essen v Nurnberger	85-91
01/02/14	Essen v Nurnberger	73-83
28/09/13	Nurnberger v Essen	95-88

Nurnbergerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/15	H	Gotha	89-74
21/03/15	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	67-76
15/03/15	H	Baunach	82-59
13/03/15	A	Jena	85-77
07/03/15	H	Vechta	94-72
01/03/15	A	Giessen	77-83
27/02/15	A	Leverkusen	80-64
21/02/15	H	Heidelberg	89-80
14/02/15	A	Paderborn	76-59
07/02/15	H	Essen	81-76

Essenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/15	H	Vechta	72-69
22/03/15	A	Leverkusen	66-70
15/03/15	H	Paderborn	64-53
13/03/15	A	Kirchheim	56-57
07/03/15	H	Heidelberg	86-80
01/03/15	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	58-68
27/02/15	H	Cuxhaven	65-70
22/02/15	A	Jena	74-85
14/02/15	H	Baunach	78-63
07/02/15	A	Nurnberger	76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nurnberger

Pro A 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	73%
Home	WWWWW	87%
Away	WWLWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	73%	87%	60%
Points / game	84.5	89.3	79.7
Allowed / game	73.6	74.9	72.4
Point differential	+10.9	+14.5	+7.3
Avg total	158.1	164.2	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	67%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Essen

Pro A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	53%
Home	WLWWW	73%
Away	LLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	53%	73%	33%
Points / game	73.6	78.7	68.5
Allowed / game	72.0	73.7	70.3
Point differential	+1.6	+4.9	-1.7
Avg total	145.6	152.4	138.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	40%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	67% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	s.Oliver Wurzburg	31	29	2	94%	83.8	68.6	+15.2
2	Nurnberger	30	22	8	73%	84.5	73.6	+10.9
3	Giessen	30	21	9	70%	75.2	69.4	+5.8
4	Gotha	31	18	13	58%	73.5	68.8	+4.6
5	Jena	31	18	13	58%	83.0	78.7	+4.3
6	Heidelberg	30	17	13	57%	78.1	79.3	-1.2
7	Essen	30	16	14	53%	73.6	72.0	+1.6
8	Hamburg	31	15	16	48%	74.6	78.3	-3.7
9	Baunach	30	14	16	47%	79.9	77.8	+2.1
10	Vechta	30	12	18	40%	72.5	75.8	-3.3
11	Chemnitz	30	12	18	40%	73.4	76.8	-3.4
12	Kirchheim	30	12	18	40%	79.6	83.8	-4.2
13	Leverkusen	30	10	20	33%	71.3	75.7	-4.4
14	Paderborn	30	10	20	33%	68.1	73.5	-5.4
15	Cuxhaven	30	10	20	33%	70.6	82.2	-11.6
16	Ehingen	30	6	24	20%	71.6	79.5	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nurnberger	16	25	21	25	87
Essen	23	12	14	10	59

← all games of the day

Nurnberger vs Essen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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