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Estela vs Albacete Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game84.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 22
Other2026-27
Meetings · Estela v Albacete
20 Feb 2027
ESTE v ALBA
upcoming
05 Nov 2022
ESTE72
ALBA66
23 Apr 2022
ESTE61
ALBA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Albacete win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
58avg 72
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 72
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
54avg 72
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
89avg 72
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
99avg 72
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 72
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 72
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
14-26
16-28
23-25
17-21
18-20
20-17
14-17
17-14
17-24
24-15
24-15
23-22
21-28
31-13
27-20
22-25
22-15
22-23
23-24
17-17
23-20
19-23
19-19
20-20
17-19
14-19
21-24
21-23
16-12
13-17
27-18
17-24
18-21
30-18
26-17
18-11
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.676.8159.4+5.975%
Season at home (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
Season away (4)90.577.8168.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)80.676.8157.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.786.2162.9-9.533%
vs Similar (10)78.677.5156.1+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.874.4157.2+8.480%
This opponent (Albacete) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlbaceteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlbacete
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H17/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
no box
H24/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
68-66
68
66
+2
no box
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Palencia
#3
L
69-95
69
95
-26
47avg 75
H26/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
104-92
104
92
+12
97avg 75
A02/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
81avg 75
H10/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
75-97
75
97
-22
71avg 75
A17/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
81avg 75
H25/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
56-62
56
62
-6
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
30-19
25-21
9-16
27-22
14-13
17-19
12-10
14-21
21-8
10-13
23-24
20-25
14-27
23-23
12-20
22-30
32-18
22-20
28-24
23-18
20-16
15-15
23-22
25-27
12-28
15-15
23-27
20-23
23-19
19-19
20-20
18-15
24-25
15-29
32-21
14-18
11-16
20-14
11-14
157.5Avg total
78.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.484.0163.4-4.643%
Season at home (4)72.077.2149.2-5.250%
Season away (3)89.393.0182.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)78.179.4157.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)76.680.2156.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.292.2171.5-13.025%
vs Similar (17)75.574.1149.6+1.465%
vs Weaker (9)82.974.7157.6+8.289%
This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
EstelaAlbacete
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
38.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.581.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.479.1-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.180.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.644.382.9-5.727%-
vs Similar (10)40.838.379.1+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.639.281.8+3.480%-
This opponent (Albacete) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlbaceteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H17/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Palencia
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H26/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A02/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A17/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A31/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H07/11
Primera FEB
81.5Avg total
40.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.479.0+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.638.177.7+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.680.3-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.881.5-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.079.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.550.088.5-11.525%-
vs Similar (17)39.136.775.8+2.465%-
vs Weaker (9)41.239.780.9+1.656%-
This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
74.2%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Albacetetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Albacete: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.2
54.9%
53.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.818.6
75.0%
74.2%18.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
WWLLWWWWLL
Albacete
LLWLWWLWWW
#5
League position
#10
-5.8
Net rating
-6.6
111.4
Offensive rating
108.9
117.2
Defensive rating
115.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.8%
3-point %
32.6%
57.2%
Assist %
63.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 108.9Defence117.2 · 115.5Shooting53.2% · 52.3%3-point %33.8% · 32.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Estela   ■ Albacete
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Estela wins
1
Albacete wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Albacete v Estela82-81
11/03/23Albacete v Estela74-80
05/11/22Estela v Albacete72-66
23/04/22Estela v Albacete61-58
17/04/22Albacete v Estela55-72
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGipuzkoa92-67
07/11/26HEstudiantes73-71
31/10/26HPalencia73-85
25/10/26AAlbacete81-82
17/10/26HFuenlabrada84-79
10/10/26AOurense101-86
04/10/26AFibwi Palma88-76
26/09/26HHestia Menorca69-68
08/05/26APalencia70-100
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95
Albacetelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HHestia Menorca56-62
31/10/26AZamora89-90
25/10/26HEstela82-81
17/10/26AGran Canaria75-97
10/10/26HCordoba81-71
02/10/26ATizona Burgos104-92
26/09/26HPalencia69-95
31/05/26ACastello68-66
24/05/26HCastello70-64
17/05/26HIraurgi SB87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.674.890.5
Allowed / game76.875.877.8
Point differential+5.9-1.0+12.8
Avg total159.4150.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Albacete
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game79.472.089.3
Allowed / game84.077.293.0
Point differential-4.6-5.2-3.7
Avg total163.4149.2182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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