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Estela vs Gipuzkoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 91-90
34-20 15-26 20-15 22-29
Position#12
Record7-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game84.7
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Gipuzkoa
Spain
Position#7
Record12-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 21
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estela v Gipuzkoa
20 Mar 2027
ESTE v GIP
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
ESTE91
GIP90
16 Mar 2025
ESTE101
GIP108
06 Apr 2024
ESTE96
GIP106
16 Oct 2022
ESTE74
GIP72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gipuzkoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 70
H13/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
74-68
74
68
+6
68avg 70
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 70
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 70
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
67-102
67
102
-35
57avg 70
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 70
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 70
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 70
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
75avg 70
H11/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
19-21
17-29
23-18
16-10
18-20
12-17
28-21
27-21
23-13
13-15
14-16
14-29
25-17
17-19
21-23
17-30
17-20
13-20
20-32
17-15
18-20
20-21
18-20
24-20
25-23
11-16
14-22
24-16
15-25
24-12
15-19
16-34
22-17
22-21
21-17
18-26
23-23
23-7
15-31
157.1Avg total
76.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.484.7162.2-7.337%
Season at home (10)76.781.2157.9-4.550%
Season away (9)78.288.7166.9-10.422%
Last 10 (10)76.380.8157.1-4.540%
Last 5 (5)77.081.0158.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.089.0167.1-11.025%
vs Similar (10)77.874.9152.7+2.970%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GipuzkoaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGipuzkoa
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
76-64
76
64
+12
73avg 73
A12/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
84-62
84
62
+22
75avg 73
H17/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 73
A20/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
88-77
88
77
+11
80avg 73
H28/12
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 73
A04/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
64avg 73
H11/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
64-71
64
71
-7
no box
A17/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
73-66
73
66
+7
66avg 73
H01/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
84-64
84
64
+20
86avg 73
A07/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
93-65
93
65
+28
93avg 73
H11/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
24-13
16-15
16-25
30-21
20-11
14-15
20-15
27-12
20-21
19-20
23-24
29-14
17-25
19-17
23-21
17-24
23-16
14-13
17-10
22-24
19-19
17-17
16-9
21-17
14-19
16-19
13-16
18-16
26-22
15-17
14-11
25-10
25-18
16-18
18-18
18-15
32-15
33-12
10-23
147.4Avg total
79.6Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.073.3152.3+5.763%
Season at home (11)79.073.6152.6+5.464%
Season away (8)79.072.9151.9+6.162%
Last 10 (10)79.667.8147.4+11.890%
Last 5 (5)77.667.0144.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.377.0151.3-2.733%
vs Similar (9)82.476.4158.9+6.078%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.472.7155.1+9.780%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
EstelaGipuzkoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H13/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/02
Primera FEB
81.4Avg total
40.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.780.9-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.980.2+0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.781.6-5.829%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.281.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.884.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.244.784.0-5.535%-
vs Similar (10)39.235.674.8+3.650%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GipuzkoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A12/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H17/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A20/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H28/12
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A04/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A07/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H11/02
Primera FEB
79.0Avg total
44.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.078.5+4.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.938.081.9+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)38.435.774.1+2.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.734.379.0+10.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.035.079.0+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.235.270.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (9)44.140.084.1+4.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.535.978.4+6.553%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.0
57.7%
51.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.7
30.3%
33.9%23.0
🏀 Free throws14.39.7
67.4%
73.4%9.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gipuzkoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gipuzkoa: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.619.7
46.2%
51.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.2
29.4%
33.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.611.0
70.5%
73.4%11.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
LLWLLLLWWW
Gipuzkoa
WWWLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#7
-15.5
Net rating
-15.5
105.9
Offensive rating
96.9
121.4
Defensive rating
112.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
45.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
12.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.3%
3-point %
29.4%
50.6%
Assist %
48.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 96.9Defence121.4 · 112.3Shooting52.5% · 45.5%3-point %30.3% · 29.4%Ball care0.0% · 12.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Estela   ■ Gipuzkoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estela wins
6
Gipuzkoa wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Gipuzkoa v Estela88-77
16/03/25Estela v Gipuzkoa101-108 OT
29/12/24Gipuzkoa v Estela83-60
06/04/24Estela v Gipuzkoa96-106 OT
29/12/23Gipuzkoa v Estela76-67
05/02/23Gipuzkoa v Estela96-70
16/10/22Estela v Gipuzkoa74-72
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HOviedo79-87
07/02/26AHestia Menorca81-89
31/01/26HCartagena78-72
18/01/26AEstudiantes74-81
10/01/26HPalmer Basket73-76
04/01/26ALeyma Coruna67-102
28/12/25AGipuzkoa77-88
21/12/25HFibwi Palma77-65
17/12/25ACartagena74-68
13/12/25HHestia Menorca83-80
Gipuzkoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HTizona Burgos93-65
07/02/26ACartagena84-64
01/02/26HEstudiantes73-66
17/01/26AHestia Menorca64-71
11/01/26HOviedo74-69
04/01/26APalmer Basket71-63
28/12/25HEstela88-77
20/12/25AOurense89-77
17/12/25HMelilla84-62
12/12/25APalencia76-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%50%22%
Points / game77.476.778.2
Allowed / game84.781.288.7
Point differential-7.3-4.5-10.4
Avg total162.2157.9166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gipuzkoa
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW63%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game79.079.079.0
Allowed / game73.373.672.9
Point differential+5.7+5.4+6.1
Avg total152.3152.6151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%27%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1918195%92.778.3+14.5
2 Obradoiro CAB1916384%91.878.7+13.1
3 Palencia1913668%83.773.3+10.4
4 Gipuzkoa1912763%79.073.3+5.7
5 Estudiantes1912763%84.880.8+3.9
6 Fuenlabrada1912763%79.780.8-1.1
7 Hestia Menorca1911858%82.978.4+4.5
8 Alicante1911858%84.280.2+4.0
9 Oviedo1991047%83.080.3+2.7
10 Ourense2091145%82.281.8+0.5
11 Fibwi Palma2091145%77.581.0-3.5
12 Zamora1981142%84.887.7-2.9
13 Estela1971237%77.484.7-7.3
14 Tizona Burgos1951426%82.688.6-6.1
15 Cartagena1951426%73.485.1-11.7
16 Palmer Basket1831517%71.285.9-14.7
17 Melilla1921711%75.888.4-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela3415202291
Gipuzkoa2026152990
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