Gipuzkoa vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 76-67

18-10 21-12 20-25 17-20

Position#6

Record10-4

FormLWLWW

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game74.0

Gipuzkoa 🏆

Estela

Position#14

Record6-8

FormWLWLW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game83.2

Primera FEBRound 15· Plaza de Toros de Illumbe

Other2023-24

Meetings · Gipuzkoa v Estela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gipuzkoa winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gipuzkoa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGipuzkoa

Date

Competition

Real Betis

83-81

84avg 79

A01/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

87-79

86avg 79

H05/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

70-71

-1

72avg 79

A10/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

88-64

+24

91avg 79

H19/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

99-65

+34

106avg 79

H24/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

65-71

-6

58avg 79

A29/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

76-56

+20

72avg 79

A02/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

84-91 OT

-7

no box

H10/12

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

90-80

+10

94avg 79

A16/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

80-78

70avg 79

H22/12

Primera FEB

18-23

25-22

15-12

25-24

23-24

20-21

21-25

23-9

17-9

22-24

10-17

21-21

26-11

22-15

16-17

24-21

22-22

30-17

23-14

24-12

17-22

16-22

18-12

14-15

18-13

18-9

14-23

26-11

23-20

21-19

16-16

16-21

31-13

16-19

25-21

18-27

32-13

14-24

19-17

15-24

155.8Avg total

82.2Scored

73.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	80.9	74.0	154.9	+6.9	71%
Season at home (7)	85.0	74.4	159.4	+10.6	86%
Season away (7)	76.9	73.6	150.4	+3.3	57%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	73.6	155.8	+8.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	75.2	154.2	+3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	75.4	76.7	152.1	-1.4	55%
vs Similar (7)	72.6	76.9	149.4	-4.3	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	83.8	73.4	157.2	+10.3	83%

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstela

Date

Competition

Alicante

79-89

-10

73avg 72

A01/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

72-84

-12

62avg 72

H05/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

81-82

-1

73avg 72

H12/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

84-93

-9

75avg 72

A18/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

91-80

+11

84avg 72

H25/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

75-69

71avg 72

H29/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

61-101

101

-40

54avg 72

A03/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

95-75

+20

90avg 72

H09/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

70-80

-10

52avg 72

A15/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

95-77

+18

103avg 72

H22/12

Primera FEB

22-27

14-18

21-21

22-23

16-24

17-18

24-23

15-19

20-15

27-25

18-24

16-18

27-27

23-25

15-22

19-19

30-20

25-16

20-27

16-17

23-20

18-18

19-12

15-19

10-31

20-29

14-21

17-20

22-23

29-17

19-17

25-18

17-19

17-16

11-15

25-30

24-13

30-17

18-16

23-31

163.3Avg total

80.3Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	80.1	83.2	163.4	-3.1	43%
Season at home (8)	82.5	76.2	158.8	+6.2	62%
Season away (6)	77.0	92.5	169.5	-15.5	17%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	83.0	163.3	-2.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	80.4	159.6	-1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	72.0	86.1	158.1	-14.1	25%
vs Similar (12)	84.2	80.1	164.3	+4.2	58%
vs Weaker (2)	84.5	80.0	164.5	+4.5	50%

This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GipuzkoaEstela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	16.8	37.5	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	17.0	39.7	+5.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	16.2	40.4	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.2	55%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	17.1	37.9	+3.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.8	17.1	37.8	+3.7	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.6	40.8	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.8	21.9	40.8	-3.1	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	64%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.6	20.9	37.4	-4.3	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.3	17.8	38.2	+2.5	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	22.5	40.7	-4.4	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	19.5	44.0	+5.0	50%	-

GipuzkoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

43-45

-2

A01/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

43-45

-2

H05/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

39-33

A10/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

48-26

+22

H19/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

52-39

+13

H24/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

33-44

-11

A29/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

36-22

+14

A02/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

44-39

H10/12

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

47-32

+15

A16/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

46-37

H22/12

Primera FEB

79.3Avg total

43.1Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	36.2	75.9	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	36.2	75.6	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	36.1	76.3	+4.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	36.2	79.3	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	34.8	76.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.9	36.4	76.3	+3.5	64%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.3	38.0	75.3	-0.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	41.1	34.9	76.0	+6.2	58%	-

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

36-45

-9

A01/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

33-42

-9

H05/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

47-40

H12/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

50-52

-2

A18/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

55-36

+19

H25/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

41-38

H29/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

30-60

-30

A03/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

51-40

+11

H09/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

34-35

-1

A15/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

54-30

+24

H22/12

Primera FEB

84.9Avg total

43.1Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.4	81.1	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.1	37.8	78.9	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	46.2	83.9	-8.4	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	41.8	84.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.6	82.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	36.7	43.1	79.8	-6.4	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.8	39.3	82.2	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	41.0	85.5	+3.5	50%	-

This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.4	35.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	17.2	34.6	+0.3	45%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	18.1	36.6	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.8	20.6	40.3	-0.8	42%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.7	36.8	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.9	19.8	36.7	-2.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.2	32.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.8	19.6	35.4	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	17.5	39.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	18.0	34.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.8	20.7	37.5	-3.9	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.9	20.7	37.6	-3.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.9	17.9	40.8	+5.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.2	17%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.5	21.9	39.4	-4.4	12%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.4	40.7	-2.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.9	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	21.0	44.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.4	76.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	37.7	75.6	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	39.1	77.0	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	35.9	74.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	37.4	73.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.3	37.9	72.2	-3.6	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.3	38.9	74.1	-3.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.7	38.5	81.2	+4.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	41.3	78.9	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.6	39.7	76.4	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.9	43.4	82.3	-4.5	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	41.2	78.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.8	77.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.3	43.1	78.4	-7.8	6%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.3	39.3	79.7	+1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Gipuzkoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gipuzkoa: 72.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	18.4	45.1%	51.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	8.2	30.1%	33.7%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	15.9	11.3	71.1%	73.6%	11.3

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	24.5	58.6%	51.8%	49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.9	40.2%	33.7%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	15.4	11.5	74.7%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	18.4	46.5%	51.8%	36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.5	31.8%	33.7%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	14.9	10.4	69.6%	73.6%	10.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	22.6	58.5%	51.8%	45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	10.0	41.3%	33.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.7	12.3	74.0%	73.6%	12.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gipuzkoa wins

Estela wins

Date	Game	Score
05/02/23	Gipuzkoa v Estela	96-70
16/10/22	Estela v Gipuzkoa	74-72

Gipuzkoalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	80-78
16/12/23	A	Castello	90-80
10/12/23	H	Leyma Coruna	84-91 OT
02/12/23	A	Clavijo	76-56
29/11/23	A	Real Valladolid	65-71
24/11/23	H	Ourense	99-65
19/11/23	H	Caceres	88-64
10/11/23	A	Alicante	70-71
05/11/23	H	Hestia Menorca	87-79
01/11/23	A	Real Betis	83-81

Estelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/23	H	Hestia Menorca	95-77
15/12/23	A	Real Betis	70-80
09/12/23	H	Caceres	95-75
03/12/23	A	Estudiantes	61-101
29/11/23	H	Melilla	75-69
25/11/23	H	Castello	91-80
18/11/23	A	Tizona Burgos	84-93
12/11/23	H	Real Valladolid	81-82
05/11/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	72-84
01/11/23	A	Alicante	79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gipuzkoa

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	71%
Home	WWWLW	86%
Away	WLLWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	71%	86%	57%
Points / game	80.9	85.0	76.9
Allowed / game	74.0	74.4	73.6
Point differential	+6.9	+10.6	+3.3
Avg total	154.9	159.4	150.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	43%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Estela

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	43%
Home	LWWWW	62%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	43%	62%	17%
Points / game	80.1	82.5	77.0
Allowed / game	83.2	76.2	92.5
Point differential	-3.1	+6.2	-15.5
Avg total	163.4	158.8	169.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	14	12	2	86%	85.6	72.8	+12.8
2	Estudiantes	14	11	3	79%	84.8	72.8	+12.0
3	Leyma Coruna	14	10	4	71%	88.4	80.4	+8.0
4	Gipuzkoa	14	10	4	71%	80.9	74.0	+6.9
5	Tizona Burgos	14	10	4	71%	88.4	82.6	+5.7
6	Real Valladolid	14	10	4	71%	79.8	77.8	+2.0
7	Forca Lleida	14	8	6	57%	79.4	76.1	+3.4
8	Alicante	14	8	6	57%	77.9	75.6	+2.3
9	Ourense	14	7	7	50%	71.5	76.7	-5.2
10	Melilla	15	7	8	47%	73.9	76.7	-2.7
11	Oviedo	14	6	8	43%	80.1	80.8	-0.6
12	Estela	14	6	8	43%	80.1	83.2	-3.1
13	Fuenlabrada	14	5	9	36%	75.0	79.1	-4.1
14	Real Betis	14	4	10	29%	78.6	78.4	+0.2
15	Caceres	14	4	10	29%	74.1	83.1	-9.0
16	Castello	15	4	11	27%	78.4	85.5	-7.1
17	Hestia Menorca	14	3	11	21%	67.6	77.1	-9.5
18	Clavijo	14	2	12	14%	64.5	75.6	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gipuzkoa	18	21	20	17	76
Estela	10	12	25	20	67

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Gipuzkoa vs Estela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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