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Estela vs Gipuzkoa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game90.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 26
Other2026-27
Meetings · Estela v Gipuzkoa
20 Mar 2027
ESTE v GIP
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
ESTE91
GIP90
16 Mar 2025
ESTE101
GIP108
06 Apr 2024
ESTE96
GIP106
16 Oct 2022
ESTE74
GIP72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gipuzkoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
58avg 71
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 71
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
54avg 71
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
89avg 71
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
99avg 71
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 71
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 71
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
14-26
16-28
23-25
17-21
18-20
20-17
14-17
17-14
17-24
24-15
24-15
23-22
21-28
31-13
27-20
22-25
22-15
22-23
23-24
17-17
23-20
19-23
19-19
20-20
17-19
14-19
21-24
21-23
16-12
13-17
27-18
17-24
18-21
30-18
26-17
18-11
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.676.8159.4+5.975%
Season at home (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
Season away (4)90.577.8168.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)80.676.8157.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.786.2162.9-9.533%
vs Similar (10)78.677.5156.1+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.874.4157.2+8.480%
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GipuzkoaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGipuzkoa
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 70
H17/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
65avg 70
A22/05
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 70
A26/09
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
86-90
86
90
-4
85avg 70
H04/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
76-106
76
106
-30
57avg 70
A11/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
90-94
90
94
-4
82avg 70
H16/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
66-106
66
106
-40
58avg 70
A25/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
75-73
75
73
+2
no box
H01/11
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
66-87
66
87
-21
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
67-92
67
92
-25
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
24-27
22-17
16-14
20-26
18-22
12-19
25-15
24-17
16-18
17-26
25-15
29-20
16-30
21-20
20-20
24-27
16-29
21-25
15-25
22-18
23-24
25-23
20-29
26-29
18-32
5-23
17-22
14-18
28-23
16-20
17-12
16-27
17-19
18-20
15-21
21-18
18-30
17-26
11-18
164.7Avg total
75.8Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.090.5166.5-14.525%
Season at home (4)79.587.2166.8-7.825%
Season away (4)72.593.8166.2-21.225%
Last 10 (10)75.888.9164.7-13.120%
Last 5 (5)72.890.4163.2-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.088.4162.4-14.418%
vs Similar (8)74.477.5151.9-3.138%
vs Weaker (11)82.471.0153.4+11.482%
This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
EstelaGipuzkoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
38.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.581.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.479.1-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.180.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.644.382.9-5.727%-
vs Similar (10)40.838.379.1+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.639.281.8+3.480%-
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GipuzkoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H17/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/05
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A26/09
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H04/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A11/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H16/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A25/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H01/11
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/11
Primera FEB
88.2Avg total
40.3Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.582.7-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.840.483.2+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)39.942.482.3-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.347.988.2-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.647.688.2-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.146.686.7-6.527%-
vs Similar (8)40.942.483.2-1.538%-
vs Weaker (11)42.735.678.4+7.155%-
This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
74.2%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gipuzkoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gipuzkoa: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.2
55.8%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.4
34.4%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
74.2%12.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
WWLLWWWWLL
Gipuzkoa
LLWLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#17
-5.8
Net rating
-14.1
111.4
Offensive rating
109.9
117.2
Defensive rating
123.9
53.2%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.8%
3-point %
34.4%
57.2%
Assist %
52.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 109.9Defence117.2 · 123.9Shooting53.2% · 54.1%3-point %33.8% · 34.4%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Estela   ■ Gipuzkoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Estela wins
6
Gipuzkoa wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Gipuzkoa v Estela67-92
15/02/26Estela v Gipuzkoa91-90
28/12/25Gipuzkoa v Estela88-77
16/03/25Estela v Gipuzkoa101-108 OT
29/12/24Gipuzkoa v Estela83-60
06/04/24Estela v Gipuzkoa96-106 OT
29/12/23Gipuzkoa v Estela76-67
05/02/23Gipuzkoa v Estela96-70
16/10/22Estela v Gipuzkoa74-72
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGipuzkoa92-67
07/11/26HEstudiantes73-71
31/10/26HPalencia73-85
25/10/26AAlbacete81-82
17/10/26HFuenlabrada84-79
10/10/26AOurense101-86
04/10/26AFibwi Palma88-76
26/09/26HHestia Menorca69-68
08/05/26APalencia70-100
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95
Gipuzkoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEstela67-92
07/11/26AGran Canaria66-87
01/11/26HCordoba75-73
25/10/26AAlicante66-106
16/10/26HPalmer Basket90-94
11/10/26AEstudiantes76-106
04/10/26HOurense86-90
26/09/26AGranada82-76
22/05/26AOviedo75-82
17/05/26HOviedo75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.674.890.5
Allowed / game76.875.877.8
Point differential+5.9-1.0+12.8
Avg total159.4150.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gipuzkoa
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game76.079.572.5
Allowed / game90.587.293.8
Point differential-14.5-7.8-21.2
Avg total166.5166.8166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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