Estudiantes vs Comunicaciones Mercedes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 74-81

20-14 16-22 22-19 16-26

Position#19

Record5-16

FormWLLLL

Points / game69.8

Allowed / game77.6

Estudiantes

Comunicaciones Mercedes 🏆

Position#5

Record11-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.4

Allowed / game80.5

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Comunicaciones Mercedes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

55-65

-10

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

63-68

-5

H23/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

54-70

-16

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

66-67

-1

A14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

74-86

-12

A16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

88-84

H19/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

64-72

-8

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

72-92

-20

A25/01

Liga A

Ferro

72-78

-6

A26/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

75-103

103

-28

A28/01

Liga A

11-18

13-11

14-23

17-13

14-15

13-22

22-16

13-7

15-19

9-20

17-24

10-16

15-17

24-12

17-22

24-20

16-24

11-22

23-20

28-20

21-19

18-18

21-27

13-20

11-26

17-15

23-11

18-27

18-18

24-19

12-28

16-20

7-21

26-20

23-17

16-30

16-23

29-17

14-33

146.8Avg total

68.3Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	69.8	77.6	147.4	-7.8	24%
Season at home (9)	70.8	72.1	142.9	-1.3	56%
Season away (12)	69.1	81.8	150.8	-12.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.3	78.5	146.8	-10.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	85.8	160.0	-11.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	70.7	79.9	150.6	-9.2	19%
vs Similar (2)	68.5	70.5	139.0	-2.0	50%
vs Weaker (1)	86.0	88.0	174.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

76-83

-7

A01/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

96-78

+18

H06/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

98-106

106

-8

A10/12

Liga A

Penarol

#15

89-81

A12/12

Liga A

San Martin

81-86

-5

H17/12

Liga A

Olimpico

82-70

+12

H21/12

Liga A

Argentino

#14

93-84

A11/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

114-76

114

+38

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

100-82

100

+18

H21/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

85-61

+24

H24/01

Liga A

17-29

17-18

18-14

24-22

21-16

21-14

26-22

28-26

26-18

23-30

27-27

22-31

16-19

29-26

17-15

27-21

21-19

20-14

24-26

16-27

14-20

25-12

17-22

26-16

22-17

21-26

17-16

33-25

30-24

29-13

33-15

22-24

18-17

26-17

26-22

30-26

23-17

21-23

15-8

26-13

172.1Avg total

91.4Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	88.4	80.5	168.9	+7.9	65%
Season at home (9)	87.3	75.3	162.7	+12.0	78%
Season away (8)	89.6	86.2	175.9	+3.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	80.7	172.1	+10.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	74.6	169.4	+20.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	89.5	93.0	182.5	-3.5	50%
vs Similar (8)	82.2	81.5	163.8	+0.8	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	90.0	80.7	170.7	+9.3	70%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesComunicaciones Mercedes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	19.1	35.7	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.5	17.7	34.2	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	20.2	37.0	-3.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.3	35.6	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.4	41.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.7	19.5	36.2	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar (2)	13.5	16.0	29.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	21.8	43.1	-0.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.0	19.8	35.8	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.4	21.0	36.4	-5.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	19.3	33.9	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	21.4	36.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	15.9	19.3	35.2	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (2)	14.5	23.0	37.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	18.1	41.5	+5.2	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.3	42.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.5	22.5	53.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	18.8	41.0	+3.3	65%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

24-29

-5

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

28-30

-2

H23/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-26

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

25-33

-8

A14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

40-44

-4

A16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

49-39

+10

H19/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

24-46

-22

H22/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

36-45

-9

A25/01

Liga A

Ferro

23-41

-18

A26/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

32-53

-21

A28/01

Liga A

69.5Avg total

30.9Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.7	38.8	71.5	-6.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.2	36.1	69.3	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.2	41.2	73.4	-9.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.9	38.6	69.5	-7.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	44.8	77.6	-12.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	32.6	38.9	71.4	-6.3	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	28.0	39.0	67.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

34-47

-13

A01/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

42-30

+12

H06/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

49-48

A10/12

Liga A

Penarol

#15

45-45

A12/12

Liga A

San Martin

41-33

H17/12

Liga A

Olimpico

39-32

H21/12

Liga A

Argentino

#14

43-43

A11/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

59-37

+22

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

44-34

+10

H21/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

44-40

H24/01

Liga A

82.9Avg total

44.0Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	39.8	83.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.2	36.5	80.8	+7.7	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.6	44.1	86.7	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	38.9	82.9	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	37.2	83.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	55.5	45.5	101.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.2	40.0	80.2	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.6	39.1	82.8	+4.5	65%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.8	38.1	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.8	40.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.4	41%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	16.0	33.5	+1.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	7.0	18.0	25.0	-11.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	20.5	41.0	-0.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.6	38.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.5	41.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.6	41.2	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.8	38.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.2	41.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	48%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	15.5	38.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	10.0	25.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	21.1	44.3	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.9	23.3	47.2	+0.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	23.1	48.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	20.8	48.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.2	21.4	45.6	+2.8	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	40.0	77.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	39.9	78.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	40.1	76.8	-3.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	39.9	77.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.0	82.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	38.1	41.0	79.1	-3.0	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	40.5	31.5	72.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	41.5	85.4	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.1	40.0	83.1	+3.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.2	43.4	88.5	+1.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	41.8	89.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	37.4	86.4	+11.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	47.5	81.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.0	41.5	83.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.8	40.9	86.6	+4.9	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.7%	53.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.5	37.4%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	71.7%	15.4

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Comunicaciones Mercedestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.1	57.8%	53.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	11.8	41.7%	32.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.0	73.3%	71.7%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.5%	53.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.3	36.0%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.4%	71.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.9	56.2%	53.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.3%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.8	74.8%	71.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Date	Game	Score
25/10/19	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	82-85
28/09/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	79-62
31/03/19	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	83-77
02/03/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	86-82
03/10/18	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	89-79
25/09/18	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	55-68
12/04/18	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	77-79
19/12/17	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	71-78
28/09/17	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	97-75
23/09/17	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	92-80

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/20	A	Obras Sanitarias	75-103
26/01/20	A	Ferro	72-78
25/01/20	A	Penarol	72-92
22/01/20	H	Argentino	64-72
19/01/20	H	Hispano Americano	88-84
16/01/20	A	Boca Juniors	74-86
14/01/20	A	Hispano Americano	66-67
12/01/20	A	Gimnasia	54-70
23/12/19	H	Olimpico	63-68
19/12/19	H	San Martin	55-65

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/20	H	Argentino	85-61
21/01/20	H	Hispano Americano	100-82
12/01/20	A	Obras Sanitarias	114-76
11/01/20	A	Argentino	93-84
21/12/19	H	Olimpico	82-70
17/12/19	H	San Martin	81-86
12/12/19	A	Penarol	89-81
10/12/19	A	Weber Bahia	98-106
06/12/19	H	La Union	96-78
01/12/19	A	Ferro	76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	24%
Home	WLLWL	56%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	9	12
Win %	24%	56%	0%
Points / game	69.8	70.8	69.1
Allowed / game	77.6	72.1	81.8
Point differential	-7.8	-1.3	-12.7
Avg total	147.4	142.9	150.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	75% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	8%

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	65%
Home	WLWWW	78%
Away	LLWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	65%	78%	50%
Points / game	88.4	87.3	89.6
Allowed / game	80.5	75.3	86.2
Point differential	+7.9	+12.0	+3.4
Avg total	168.9	162.7	175.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	78%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	12	10	2	83%	85.9	81.8	+4.2
2	San Lorenzo	15	12	3	80%	86.1	78.5	+7.6
3	Instituto de Cordoba	13	9	4	69%	83.6	77.0	+6.6
4	San Martin	15	10	5	67%	81.4	75.0	+6.4
5	Gimnasia	15	10	5	67%	87.3	83.1	+4.3
6	Ferro	15	10	5	67%	76.1	74.5	+1.6
7	Comunicaciones Mercedes	17	11	6	65%	88.4	80.5	+7.9
8	Regatas	16	8	8	50%	83.9	81.6	+2.2
9	Penarol	18	9	9	50%	82.2	80.2	+1.9
10	Weber Bahia	16	8	8	50%	86.9	91.8	-4.8
11	Obras Sanitarias	17	8	9	47%	85.7	82.9	+2.8
12	Boca Juniors	17	8	9	47%	76.9	74.7	+2.2
13	Argentino	18	8	10	44%	77.2	83.1	-5.9
14	Platense	16	7	9	44%	76.1	80.7	-4.6
15	Olimpico	14	6	8	43%	79.9	80.3	-0.4
16	La Union	18	7	11	39%	83.0	84.6	-1.6
17	Atenas	16	6	10	38%	81.4	83.4	-1.9
18	Hispano Americano	19	7	12	37%	80.7	80.7	-0.1
19	Estudiantes	21	5	16	24%	69.8	77.6	-7.8
20	Libertad	18	4	14	22%	71.0	84.2	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	20	16	22	16	74
Comunicaciones Mercedes	14	22	19	26	81

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Comunicaciones Mercedes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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