Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 92-72

27-18 18-18 19-24 28-12

Position#15

Record7-8

FormWLLWW

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game80.5

Penarol 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#19

Record5-13

FormLLLWL

Points / game69.3

Allowed / game75.4

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Penarol v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Platense

#18

74-80

-6

A27/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

74-77

-3

A28/11

Liga A

Platense

#18

67-74

-7

H03/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

86-74

+12

H07/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

81-89

-8

H12/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

78-75

A18/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

76-85

-9

A21/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

87-92

-5

A12/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

109-83

109

+26

H18/01

Liga A

Olimpico

99-78

+21

H21/01

Liga A

10-18

30-19

20-21

14-22

20-24

17-18

17-12

20-23

21-19

14-13

20-14

12-28

23-31

20-13

17-9

26-21

19-16

26-29

15-17

21-27

17-19

14-11

20-23

27-22

14-24

21-19

20-24

21-18

26-26

14-25

29-18

18-23

31-14

30-21

23-27

25-21

19-18

27-18

24-21

29-21

163.8Avg total

83.1Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	80.7	80.5	161.2	+0.3	47%
Season at home (8)	87.4	81.0	168.4	+6.4	75%
Season away (7)	73.1	79.9	153.0	-6.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	80.7	163.8	+2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	82.6	172.4	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	80.1	80.8	160.9	-0.8	25%
vs Similar (12)	82.1	78.2	160.3	+3.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	71.5	76.2	147.7	-4.7	17%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

68-79

-11

A12/12

Liga A

Olimpico

67-92

-25

A13/12

Liga A

Libertad

#20

86-88 OT

-2

A15/12

Liga A

San Martin

55-65

-10

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

63-68

-5

H23/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

54-70

-16

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

66-67

-1

A14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

74-86

-12

A16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

88-84

H19/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

64-72

-8

H22/01

Liga A

11-25

18-14

11-22

28-18

19-25

17-31

17-24

14-12

21-13

23-25

7-18

15-10

11-18

13-11

14-23

17-13

14-15

13-22

22-16

13-7

15-19

9-20

17-24

10-16

15-17

24-12

17-22

24-20

16-24

11-22

23-20

28-20

21-19

18-18

21-27

13-20

11-26

17-15

23-11

145.6Avg total

68.5Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	69.3	75.4	144.7	-6.1	28%
Season at home (9)	70.8	72.1	142.9	-1.3	56%
Season away (9)	67.8	78.7	146.4	-10.9	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.5	77.1	145.6	-8.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	75.8	145.0	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	70.4	78.5	148.9	-8.1	21%
vs Similar (5)	70.4	77.6	148.0	-7.2	40%
vs Weaker (1)	86.0	88.0	174.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	19.3	36.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.3	20.8	40.2	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.5	15.3	33.8	+3.2	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.4	35.5	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.3	36.6	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	17.9	34.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.6	34.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.7	18.8	35.5	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	18.7	35.4	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.3	15.3	31.7	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	19.9	36.3	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.8	18.9	35.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	20.9	36.9	-5.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.1	36.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.0	36.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.2	19.2	35.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.0	22.4	38.4	-6.4	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Platense

#18

40-37

A27/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

37-42

-5

A28/11

Liga A

Platense

#18

35-32

H03/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

43-44

-1

H07/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

45-45

H12/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

31-30

A18/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

35-43

-8

A21/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

40-51

-11

A12/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

61-35

+26

H18/01

Liga A

Olimpico

46-36

+10

H21/01

Liga A

80.8Avg total

41.3Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	36.5	73.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	35.1	75.4	+5.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	38.0	72.1	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	39.5	80.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	39.0	81.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.9	38.3	78.2	+1.6	42%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.7	36.2	71.8	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	35.8	33.3	69.2	+2.5	67%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

29-39

-10

A12/12

Liga A

Olimpico

36-56

-20

A13/12

Liga A

Libertad

#20

44-38

A15/12

Liga A

San Martin

24-29

-5

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

28-30

-2

H23/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-26

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

25-33

-8

A14/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#10

40-44

-4

A16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

49-39

+10

H19/01

Liga A

Argentino

#14

24-46

-22

H22/01

Liga A

70.7Avg total

32.7Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.5	38.3	71.8	-4.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.8	36.3	70.1	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.2	40.3	73.5	-7.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.7	38.0	70.7	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	37.6	70.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	32.9	37.9	70.8	-5.0	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.4	40.0	74.4	-5.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	20.4	37.5	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.8	21.2	37.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.1	19.6	33.7	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.4	33.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.8	20.3	38.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.6	21.4	37.0	-5.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	7.0	18.0	25.0	-11.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.5	43.1	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	21.8	45.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.6	43.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.7	21.7	42.3	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	25.4	21.5	46.9	+3.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	15.5	21.3	36.8	-5.8	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.2	38.9	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	10.0	25.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	42.2	83.6	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	42.4	86.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	41.9	80.6	-3.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	41.2	83.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	43.6	90.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.2	42.5	82.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	45.4	41.6	87.0	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	35.7	42.8	78.5	-7.2	17%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	39.7	76.4	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	39.9	78.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	39.4	73.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	36.9	70.7	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	38.2	74.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	37.5	40.6	78.1	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.0	37.6	73.6	-1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.7%	53.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.5	37.4%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	71.7%	15.4

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.1	57.8%	53.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	11.8	41.7%	32.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.0	73.3%	71.7%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.5%	53.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.3	36.0%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.4%	71.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.9	56.2%	53.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.3%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.8	74.8%	71.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/19	Estudiantes v Penarol	69-60
15/03/19	Penarol v Estudiantes	68-69
16/02/19	Estudiantes v Penarol	90-66
15/04/18	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-79
24/01/18	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-86
19/02/17	Estudiantes v Penarol	89-71
17/12/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	93-101
06/02/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	81-86
20/01/16	Estudiantes v Penarol	85-81
31/03/15	Estudiantes v Penarol	75-65

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/20	H	Olimpico	99-78
18/01/20	H	Gimnasia	109-83
12/01/20	A	Weber Bahia	87-92
21/12/19	A	Gimnasia	76-85
18/12/19	A	Obras Sanitarias	78-75
12/12/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	81-89
07/12/19	H	Weber Bahia	86-74
03/12/19	H	Platense	67-74
28/11/19	A	Boca Juniors	74-77
27/11/19	A	Platense	74-80

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/20	H	Argentino	64-72
19/01/20	H	Hispano Americano	88-84
16/01/20	A	Boca Juniors	74-86
14/01/20	A	Hispano Americano	66-67
12/01/20	A	Gimnasia	54-70
23/12/19	H	Olimpico	63-68
19/12/19	H	San Martin	55-65
15/12/19	A	Libertad	86-88 OT
13/12/19	A	Olimpico	67-92
12/12/19	A	Quimsa	68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	47%
Home	LWLWW	75%
Away	LLWLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	47%	75%	14%
Points / game	80.7	87.4	73.1
Allowed / game	80.5	81.0	79.9
Point differential	+0.3	+6.4	-6.7
Avg total	161.2	168.4	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	28%
Home	WLLWL	56%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	28%	56%	0%
Points / game	69.3	70.8	67.8
Allowed / game	75.4	72.1	78.7
Point differential	-6.1	-1.3	-10.9
Avg total	144.7	142.9	146.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	75% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	11	9	2	82%	85.5	81.3	+4.2
2	San Lorenzo	13	10	3	77%	85.7	79.7	+6.0
3	Gimnasia	14	10	4	71%	87.4	82.5	+4.9
4	Instituto de Cordoba	12	8	4	67%	83.8	78.3	+5.4
5	Comunicaciones Mercedes	17	11	6	65%	88.4	80.5	+7.9
6	San Martin	14	9	5	64%	80.4	75.6	+4.8
7	Ferro	14	9	5	64%	76.0	74.7	+1.3
8	Weber Bahia	13	7	6	54%	89.0	90.8	-1.8
9	Boca Juniors	15	8	7	53%	79.0	75.4	+3.6
10	Regatas	15	7	8	47%	82.1	81.7	+0.5
11	Penarol	15	7	8	47%	80.7	80.5	+0.3
12	La Union	16	7	9	44%	83.1	83.6	-0.5
13	Argentino	16	7	9	44%	77.2	82.8	-5.6
14	Platense	14	6	8	43%	77.3	81.9	-4.6
15	Obras Sanitarias	15	6	9	40%	83.5	83.9	-0.4
16	Olimpico	13	5	8	38%	79.7	80.4	-0.7
17	Atenas	14	5	9	36%	82.1	83.1	-1.0
18	Hispano Americano	18	6	12	33%	79.8	80.8	-1.1
19	Estudiantes	18	5	13	28%	69.3	75.4	-6.1
20	Libertad	15	4	11	27%	71.9	85.1	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	27	18	19	28	92
Estudiantes	18	18	24	12	72

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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