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Estudiantes vs Comunicaciones Mercedes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 83-77
22-18 23-16 20-21 18-22
Position#9
Record12-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#4
Record14-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game78.6
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2018-19
Meetings · Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes
31 Jan 2020
EST74
COMU81
24 Oct 2019
EST82
COMU85
30 Mar 2019
EST83
COMU77
02 Oct 2018
EST89
COMU79
11 Apr 2018
EST77
COMU79
27 Sep 2017
EST97
COMU75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Comunicaciones Mercedes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#13
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H04/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H10/03
Liga A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H10/03
ACB
Quilmes
#20
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A13/03
Liga A
Penarol
#16
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
A15/03
Liga A
Barcelona
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
102avg 110
A17/03
ACB
Libertad
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
no box
H19/03
Liga A
Murcia
#14
L
86-110
86
110
-24
no box
H24/03
ACB
La Union
#11
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
H28/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
17-17
22-13
16-20
33-14
24-22
13-18
17-22
27-23
21-23
21-17
22-21
22-18
14-12
21-16
30-26
22-27
19-26
15-15
24-17
13-25
15-15
13-10
28-18
22-10
17-26
20-34
17-20
25-25
24-7
22-23
24-33
17-32
27-28
19-29
23-21
21-20
16-19
21-20
12-14
163.0Avg total
82.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.978.5155.4-1.648%
Season at home (13)79.976.1156.0+3.869%
Season away (12)73.681.2154.8-7.625%
Last 10 (10)82.081.0163.0+1.060%
Last 5 (5)79.285.8165.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)82.085.0167.0-3.043%
vs Similar (20)82.079.7161.8+2.360%
vs Weaker (2)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Comunicaciones MercedesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMercedes
Date
Competition
Penarol
#16
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H18/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H02/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
A05/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
57-86
57
86
-29
no box
A07/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H10/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H12/03
Liga A
Libertad
#14
W
84-75
84
75
+9
no box
H17/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
A21/03
Liga A
Atenas
#19
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A23/03
Liga A
La Union
#11
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
H26/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
16-13
23-24
22-15
19-16
20-25
21-21
26-20
15-19
18-21
21-13
20-17
10-26
16-9
11-25
20-26
24-17
22-12
19-20
22-29
17-27
18-24
22-15
28-15
24-16
24-16
14-20
22-23
17-13
12-14
21-22
17-20
23-20
20-25
28-25
15-17
24-31
17-15
22-13
20-21
157.1Avg total
78.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.078.6159.6+2.554%
Season at home (13)82.674.9157.5+7.785%
Season away (13)79.582.2161.7-2.823%
Last 10 (10)78.778.4157.1+0.370%
Last 5 (5)81.078.4159.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.085.0157.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)76.677.9154.5-1.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.876.4159.2+6.465%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
EstudiantesComunicaciones Mercedes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H04/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H10/03
Liga A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H10/03
ACB
Quilmes
#20
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A13/03
Liga A
Penarol
#16
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A15/03
Liga A
Barcelona
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A17/03
ACB
Libertad
#14
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H19/03
Liga A
Murcia
#14
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H24/03
ACB
La Union
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/03
Liga A
82.3Avg total
42.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.679.3+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.037.178.1+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.680.7-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.382.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.480.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.440.178.6-1.743%-
vs Similar (20)40.439.079.3+1.450%-
vs Weaker (2)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#16
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A05/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A07/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H10/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H12/03
Liga A
Libertad
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H17/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A21/03
Liga A
Atenas
#19
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A23/03
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H26/03
Liga A
75.6Avg total
37.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.476.1+3.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.232.974.1+8.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.239.978.1-1.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.375.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.279.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.037.574.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (8)38.835.974.6+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.436.576.8+3.940%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.3
52.2%
53.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.5
39.9%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.614.7
71.4%
71.7%14.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Comunicaciones Mercedestheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/19HLa Union70-73
24/03/19HMurcia86-110
19/03/19HLibertad95-88
17/03/19ABarcelona76-90
15/03/19APenarol69-68
13/03/19AQuilmes80-85
10/03/19HTecnyconta Zaragoza87-72
10/03/19HSan Martin91-84
08/03/19HObras Sanitarias87-76
04/03/19HQuimsa79-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/19HLa Union83-80
23/03/19AAtenas86-87
21/03/19AInstituto de Cordoba67-69
17/03/19HLibertad84-75
12/03/19HSan Martin85-81
10/03/19HObras Sanitarias87-78
07/03/19AQuimsa57-86
05/03/19AOlimpico74-70
02/03/19HEstudiantes86-82
18/02/19HPenarol78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL48%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%69%25%
Points / game76.979.973.6
Allowed / game78.576.181.2
Point differential-1.6+3.8-7.6
Avg total155.4156.0154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Comunicaciones Mercedes
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%85%23%
Points / game81.082.679.5
Allowed / game78.674.982.2
Point differential+2.5+7.7-2.8
Avg total159.6157.5161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo2019195%91.876.3+15.5
2 Instituto de Cordoba2317674%84.675.9+8.7
3 Regatas28181064%84.281.7+2.6
4 Obras Sanitarias2516964%81.881.0+0.9
5 Quimsa25151060%84.680.5+4.1
6 Ferro27161159%82.777.9+4.8
7 Gimnasia24141058%82.478.8+3.6
8 Comunicaciones Mercedes26141254%81.078.6+2.5
9 Hispano Americano22111150%84.584.2+0.3
10 Libertad26131350%79.680.8-1.2
11 San Martin24121250%79.281.6-2.5
12 Estudiantes25121348%76.978.5-1.6
13 La Union26121446%83.483.5-0.1
14 Boca Juniors26121446%74.876.2-1.4
15 Olimpico25111444%78.477.8+0.6
16 Weber Bahia2591636%70.878.4-7.5
17 Quilmes2581732%78.484.9-6.4
18 Penarol2571828%77.584.7-7.2
19 Argentino2772026%79.986.7-6.8
20 Atenas2461825%78.883.9-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2223201883
Comunicaciones Mercedes1816212277
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