Estudiantes vs Comunicaciones Mercedes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 77-79

23-22 21-26 15-19 18-12

Position#11

Record13-15

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game83.1

Estudiantes

Comunicaciones Mercedes 🏆

Position#19

Record11-18

FormWWWLW

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game85.3

Liga A

Other2017-18

Meetings · Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Comunicaciones Mercedes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

59-60

-1

H25/03

Americas League

La Union

77-55

+22

H29/03

Liga A

San Martin

73-81

-8

A31/03

Liga A

Barcelona

100-95

100

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

77-71

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

79-82

-3

A04/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

81-80

H07/04

Liga A

Bilbao

#17

96-84

+12

H08/04

ACB

Ferro

#16

87-82

H10/04

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#16

84-74

+10

H11/04

ACB

11-10

9-15

24-20

15-15

19-8

14-10

27-21

17-16

16-30

17-18

18-17

22-16

28-18

21-25

26-25

25-27

20-19

18-14

17-19

22-19

19-21

21-21

17-18

22-22

14-20

14-21

18-22

35-17

28-21

26-20

25-26

17-17

14-20

16-27

27-22

30-13

34-16

17-17

11-18

22-23

157.7Avg total

81.3Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	82.5	83.1	165.5	-0.6	46%
Season at home (13)	88.0	82.5	170.5	+5.5	77%
Season away (15)	77.7	83.6	161.3	-5.9	20%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	76.4	157.7	+4.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	80.4	165.8	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.3	84.0	160.3	-7.7	30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	80.6	82.4	162.9	-1.8	38%
vs Weaker (4)	92.2	79.2	171.5	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

84-96

-12

A08/03

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

100-94

100

H13/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

77-78

-1

A18/03

Liga A

Argentino

70-89

-19

A21/03

Liga A

San Martin

63-70

-7

H24/03

Liga A

La Union

87-80

H27/03

Liga A

Salta

#20

78-70

A30/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

91-80

+11

H02/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

73-82

-9

H05/04

Liga A

Ferro

#16

95-89 OT

H08/04

Liga A

19-26

19-20

21-28

25-22

30-16

19-22

22-28

29-28

16-20

16-16

23-19

22-23

14-20

17-23

13-23

26-23

12-16

11-14

23-19

17-21

28-19

18-18

25-18

16-25

18-12

22-17

22-18

16-23

19-14

26-22

22-20

24-24

19-22

15-22

22-22

17-16

13-31

15-16

22-17

30-16

164.6Avg total

81.8Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	82.1	85.3	167.4	-3.2	38%
Season at home (16)	83.1	83.8	166.8	-0.7	50%
Season away (13)	80.9	87.3	168.2	-6.4	23%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	82.8	164.6	-1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	80.2	165.0	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	80.1	88.7	168.8	-8.6	20%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	83.5	84.1	167.6	-0.6	45%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesComunicaciones Mercedes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (4)	29.5	18.8	48.2	+10.8	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.2	39.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.9	20.1	39.9	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.9	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.8	36.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	19.8	37.1	-2.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

20-25

-5

H25/03

Americas League

La Union

33-18

+15

H29/03

Liga A

San Martin

33-48

-15

A31/03

Liga A

Barcelona

49-43

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

38-33

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

40-42

-2

A04/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

28-41

-13

H07/04

Liga A

Bilbao

#17

54-41

+13

H08/04

ACB

Ferro

#16

30-47

-17

H10/04

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#16

51-33

+18

H11/04

ACB

74.7Avg total

37.6Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	39.4	77.7	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.3	37.0	75.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.2	41.1	79.2	-2.9	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	37.1	74.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.8	81.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.3	40.4	75.7	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	36.8	39.8	76.6	-2.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	51.2	35.8	87.0	+15.5	100%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

38-46

-8

A08/03

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

49-38

+11

H13/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

32-36

-4

A18/03

Liga A

Argentino

31-43

-12

A21/03

Liga A

San Martin

23-30

-7

H24/03

Liga A

La Union

46-37

H27/03

Liga A

Salta

#20

40-29

+11

A30/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

45-36

H02/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

34-44

-10

H05/04

Liga A

Ferro

#16

28-47

-19

H08/04

Liga A

75.2Avg total

36.6Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.1	78.7	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.0	39.0	77.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	41.3	80.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	38.6	75.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.6	77.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.8	41.2	78.0	-4.4	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.5	39.5	79.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	21.5	41.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.8	21.2	42.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.4	20.4	42.9	+2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.5	22.9	44.4	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.2	19.4	41.7	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.5	41.2	+4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.4	43.6	+6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.0	43.6	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	24.4	45.1	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.1	44.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.4	23.3	44.7	-1.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	43.1	85.5	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.5	40.9	83.4	+1.6	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.4	44.5	86.9	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	39.3	83.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	39.6	84.4	+5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.0	43.6	84.6	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	43.8	42.6	86.4	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	43.5	84.5	-2.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	44.3	86.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	42.4	85.4	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	46.5	88.6	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	43.3	87.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.8	83.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.9	46.2	89.1	-3.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	42.5	43.4	85.8	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 87.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	19.6	55.2%	53.8%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.8	34.4%	32.9%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	24.1	18.8	78.0%	71.7%	18.8

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Comunicaciones Mercedestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	21.6	49.7%	53.8%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	8.5	36.0%	32.9%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.5	72.1%	71.7%	15.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	19.3	53.4%	53.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.2	31.1%	32.9%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.0	75.5%	71.7%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	21.9	49.7%	53.8%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	7.6	34.2%	32.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.8	75.2%	71.7%	15.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/17	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	71-78
28/09/17	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	97-75
23/09/17	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	92-80

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/18	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	84-74
10/04/18	H	Ferro	87-82
08/04/18	H	Bilbao	96-84
07/04/18	H	Boca Juniors	81-80
04/04/18	A	La Union	79-82
02/04/18	A	Regatas	77-71
01/04/18	A	Barcelona	100-95
31/03/18	A	San Martin	73-81
29/03/18	H	La Union	77-55
25/03/18	H	Regatas	59-60

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/18	H	Ferro	95-89 OT
05/04/18	H	Boca Juniors	73-82
02/04/18	H	Weber Bahia	91-80
30/03/18	A	Salta	78-70
27/03/18	H	La Union	87-80
24/03/18	H	San Martin	63-70
21/03/18	A	Argentino	70-89
18/03/18	A	Weber Bahia	77-78
13/03/18	H	Hispano Americano	100-94
08/03/18	A	Olimpico	84-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	46%
Home	WLWWW	77%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	46%	77%	20%
Points / game	82.5	88.0	77.7
Allowed / game	83.1	82.5	83.6
Point differential	-0.6	+5.5	-5.9
Avg total	165.5	170.5	161.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	31%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	67% (6)	0% (4)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	38%
Home	LWWLW	50%
Away	LLLLW	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	16	13
Win %	38%	50%	23%
Points / game	82.1	83.1	80.9
Allowed / game	85.3	83.8	87.3
Point differential	-3.2	-0.7	-6.4
Avg total	167.4	166.8	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	6%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	30% (10)	50% (4)	17% (6)
Overtime %	10%	19%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	28	21	7	75%	86.1	79.9	+6.3
2	San Martin	31	23	8	74%	85.6	79.4	+6.3
3	Atenas	32	22	10	69%	87.9	84.9	+3.0
4	Instituto de Cordoba	33	22	11	67%	85.2	80.4	+4.8
5	Quimsa	32	20	12	62%	80.9	77.5	+3.4
6	La Union	29	17	12	59%	80.3	78.6	+1.8
7	Gimnasia	31	16	15	52%	81.5	82.2	-0.7
8	Regatas	31	16	15	52%	82.0	82.9	-0.9
9	Obras Sanitarias	33	17	16	52%	84.3	84.1	+0.2
10	Weber Bahia	32	16	16	50%	77.0	79.9	-2.9
11	Olimpico	32	15	17	47%	84.0	84.4	-0.3
12	Argentino	32	15	17	47%	79.1	80.6	-1.5
13	Hispano Americano	30	14	16	47%	85.9	88.1	-2.2
14	Estudiantes	28	13	15	46%	82.5	83.1	-0.6
15	Comunicaciones Mercedes	29	11	18	38%	82.1	85.3	-3.2
16	Quilmes	33	12	21	36%	88.0	90.6	-2.7
17	Penarol	32	11	21	34%	83.3	84.7	-1.4
18	Boca Juniors	32	11	21	34%	78.8	80.8	-2.0
19	Salta	32	10	22	31%	75.3	79.3	-3.9
20	Ferro	30	9	21	30%	79.4	82.5	-3.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	23	21	15	18	77
Comunicaciones Mercedes	22	26	19	12	79

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Comunicaciones Mercedes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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