Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 86-82

19-16 20-25 21-21 26-20

Position#4

Record8-9

FormWWLLW

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game78.5

Comunicaciones Mercedes 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#9

Record7-10

FormWWWLW

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game78.8

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

62-78

-16

A18/01

Liga A

Regatas

78-80

-2

A20/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

92-50

+42

H27/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

69-78

-9

H01/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

93-77

+16

A04/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

90-63

+27

A06/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

65-64

H09/02

Liga A

Ferro

78-88

-10

A13/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

92-99 OT

-7

A15/02

Liga A

Penarol

#16

78-76

H18/02

Liga A

21-21

13-18

18-19

10-20

16-17

24-19

22-22

16-22

25-4

28-12

20-12

19-22

22-19

16-20

14-20

17-19

21-28

20-14

19-25

33-10

24-10

24-20

21-15

21-18

20-14

11-13

20-20

14-17

20-23

21-21

24-18

13-26

24-27

19-18

23-16

18-23

17-24

16-13

23-24

22-15

155.0Avg total

79.7Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	82.2	78.5	160.8	+3.7	47%
Season at home (8)	81.1	72.2	153.4	+8.9	75%
Season away (9)	83.2	84.1	167.3	-0.9	22%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	75.3	155.0	+4.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	78.0	158.6	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.0	85.0	157.0	-13.0	0%
vs Similar (13)	78.5	79.0	157.5	-0.5	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	82.9	73.9	156.8	+9.1	60%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#12

77-70

A22/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

75-93

-18

A24/01

Liga A

Tenerife

98-96 OT

H27/01

ACB

Weber Bahia

#18

76-69

H29/01

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#13

92-93

-1

A02/02

ACB

Boca Juniors

67-60

H03/02

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

91-90

H10/02

ACB

Gimnasia

92-87 OT

H11/02

Liga A

Real Madrid

63-94

-31

A15/02

Spanish Cup

Penarol

#16

90-66

+24

H16/02

Liga A

15-15

16-16

28-12

18-27

17-18

22-29

13-30

23-16

21-19

11-21

19-19

28-20

19-14

19-12

13-22

25-21

23-27

20-20

24-25

18-7

13-16

21-18

15-19

28-24

17-20

20-24

26-22

14-16

13-14

25-21

13-14

27-29

7-21

14-23

15-21

22-18

24-16

23-10

21-22

163.9Avg total

82.1Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	74.6	78.8	153.4	-4.1	41%
Season at home (8)	77.1	75.5	152.6	+1.6	62%
Season away (9)	72.4	81.7	154.1	-9.2	22%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	81.8	163.9	+0.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	79.4	160.0	+1.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	77.0	85.0	162.0	-8.0	30%
vs Similar (18)	80.4	79.9	160.3	+0.6	50%
vs Weaker (1)	76.0	69.0	145.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Comunicaciones MercedesEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	16.5	37.2	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.6	19.8	40.5	+0.8	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.9	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	17.9	37.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	28%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	14.0	33.9	+5.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	16.0	35.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.5	18.4	36.8	+0.1	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.4	15.5	35.9	+4.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.0	38.4	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.9	40.1	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	19.2	35.7	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	17.4	32.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.1	20.6	37.7	-3.5	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	12.0	31.0	+7.0	100%	-

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

34-39

-5

A18/01

Liga A

Regatas

40-36

A20/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

53-16

+37

H27/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

38-39

-1

H01/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

41-42

-1

A04/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

48-30

+18

A06/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

31-27

H09/02

Liga A

Ferro

41-44

-3

A13/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

43-45

-2

A15/02

Liga A

Penarol

#16

33-37

-4

H18/02

Liga A

75.7Avg total

40.2Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	35.5	75.2	+4.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.7	30.5	71.2	+10.2	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.9	39.4	78.3	-0.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	35.5	75.7	+4.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.6	75.8	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	37.5	74.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.1	38.2	77.3	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.6	32.9	73.5	+7.7	60%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#12

31-31

A22/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

39-47

-8

A24/01

Liga A

Tenerife

32-40

-8

H27/01

ACB

Weber Bahia

#18

38-26

+12

H29/01

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#13

48-48

A02/02

ACB

Boca Juniors

31-23

H03/02

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

45-44

H10/02

ACB

Gimnasia

27-30

-3

H11/02

Liga A

Real Madrid

34-50

-16

A15/02

Spanish Cup

Penarol

#16

46-34

+12

H16/02

Liga A

74.4Avg total

37.1Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	36.9	73.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	42.1	80.2	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	37.3	74.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.2	72.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.3	41.2	77.5	-4.9	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.5	38.9	77.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	26.0	64.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	20.2	39.8	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.7	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.5	41.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.5	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.9	40.9	-2.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	22.0	35.0	-9.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	23.0	41.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.3	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.6	43.1	+1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	39%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.8	81.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.5	39.8	79.3	-0.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.0	41.6	82.6	-0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	38.3	77.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	47.5	82.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.5	40.8	80.2	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.8	40.0	81.8	+1.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.8	80.2	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	39.1	80.5	+2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.7	42.2	79.9	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.6	81.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.8	77.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	38.8	42.1	80.9	-3.3	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.4	39.7	80.2	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	43.0	81.0	-5.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Comunicaciones Mercedestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	22.0	54.6%	53.8%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.7	36.0%	32.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	19.3	13.9	72.0%	71.7%	13.9

They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	19.5	56.4%	53.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.6	34.4%	32.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.9	74.9%	71.7%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	19.9	50.9%	53.8%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.3	34.6%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.3	73.1%	71.7%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	21.3	53.7%	53.8%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.7	35.2%	32.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.9	74.3%	71.7%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
03/10/18	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	89-79
25/09/18	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	55-68
12/04/18	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	77-79
19/12/17	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	71-78
28/09/17	Estudiantes v Comunicaciones Mercedes	97-75
23/09/17	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Estudiantes	92-80

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/02/19	H	Penarol	78-76
15/02/19	A	Hispano Americano	92-99 OT
13/02/19	A	Ferro	78-88
09/02/19	H	Gimnasia	65-64
06/02/19	A	Weber Bahia	90-63
04/02/19	A	Argentino	93-77
01/02/19	H	Boca Juniors	69-78
27/01/19	H	Weber Bahia	92-50
20/01/19	A	Regatas	78-80
18/01/19	A	San Martin	62-78

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/19	H	Penarol	90-66
15/02/19	A	Real Madrid	63-94
11/02/19	H	Gimnasia	92-87 OT
10/02/19	H	MoraBanc Andorra	91-90
03/02/19	H	Boca Juniors	67-60
02/02/19	A	Fuenlabrada	92-93
29/01/19	H	Weber Bahia	76-69
27/01/19	H	Tenerife	98-96 OT
24/01/19	A	Quimsa	75-93
22/01/19	A	Olimpico	77-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	47%
Home	WWLWW	75%
Away	LWWLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	75%	22%
Points / game	82.2	81.1	83.2
Allowed / game	78.5	72.2	84.1
Point differential	+3.7	+8.9	-0.9
Avg total	160.8	153.4	167.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	38%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	41%
Home	LWWWW	62%
Away	LLLWL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	41%	62%	22%
Points / game	74.6	77.1	72.4
Allowed / game	78.8	75.5	81.7
Point differential	-4.1	+1.6	-9.2
Avg total	153.4	152.6	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	25%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	13	12	1	92%	92.8	74.2	+18.6
2	Ferro	17	12	5	71%	83.2	78.0	+5.2
3	Regatas	19	12	7	63%	84.2	80.6	+3.6
4	Obras Sanitarias	19	12	7	63%	82.3	82.4	-0.1
5	Instituto de Cordoba	16	10	6	62%	86.4	77.7	+8.7
6	Gimnasia	16	10	6	62%	80.8	76.1	+4.7
7	Quimsa	18	11	7	61%	86.8	81.7	+5.1
8	Hispano Americano	15	9	6	60%	83.5	83.3	+0.1
9	San Martin	17	10	7	59%	80.1	81.4	-1.2
10	Libertad	18	10	8	56%	79.3	79.2	+0.1
11	Boca Juniors	19	10	9	53%	74.5	75.4	-0.8
12	Comunicaciones Mercedes	17	8	9	47%	82.2	78.5	+3.7
13	Olimpico	17	8	9	47%	77.7	75.9	+1.8
14	La Union	18	8	10	44%	84.9	84.9	-0.1
15	Estudiantes	17	7	10	41%	74.6	78.8	-4.1
16	Penarol	17	6	11	35%	79.8	86.1	-6.4
17	Quilmes	17	4	13	24%	78.5	86.7	-8.2
18	Argentino	17	4	13	24%	79.4	88.8	-9.4
19	Weber Bahia	17	4	13	24%	69.5	80.1	-10.6
20	Atenas	16	3	13	19%	78.2	84.8	-6.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Comunicaciones Mercedes	19	20	21	26	86
Estudiantes	16	25	21	20	82

← all games of the day

Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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