Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 81-80

14-20 14-21 18-22 35-17

Position#11

Record11-15

FormWLWWL

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game83.2

Estudiantes 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#14

Record10-19

FormWWLLW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game81.8

Liga A

Other2017-18

Meetings · Estudiantes v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

76-88

-12

A19/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

73-78

-5

A21/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

78-101

101

-23

A25/03

Americas League

San Pablo Burgos

#14

100-76

100

+24

H25/03

ACB

Regatas

59-60

-1

H25/03

Americas League

La Union

77-55

+22

H29/03

Liga A

San Martin

73-81

-8

A31/03

Liga A

Barcelona

100-95

100

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

77-71

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

79-82

-3

A04/04

Liga A

21-21

21-25

9-27

25-15

18-21

10-15

23-22

22-20

18-24

18-18

20-32

22-27

27-21

27-9

25-29

21-17

11-10

9-15

24-20

15-15

19-8

14-10

27-21

17-16

16-30

17-18

18-17

22-16

28-18

21-25

26-25

25-27

20-19

18-14

17-19

22-19

19-21

21-21

17-18

22-22

157.9Avg total

79.2Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	82.3	83.2	165.6	-0.9	42%
Season at home (11)	88.7	82.7	171.5	+6.0	73%
Season away (15)	77.7	83.6	161.3	-5.9	20%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	78.7	157.9	+0.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	76.8	158.0	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	75.0	83.6	158.6	-8.6	27%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	81.1	82.2	163.3	-1.1	38%
vs Weaker (3)	86.7	71.0	157.7	+15.7	100%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

59-61

-2

A02/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

72-82

-10

H05/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

70-75

-5

H08/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

83-98

-15

A13/03

Liga A

Quimsa

72-90

-18

A15/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

91-88

H21/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

95-59

+36

H27/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

72-85

-13

A29/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

77-88

-11

A02/04

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

82-73

A05/04

Liga A

12-14

14-14

24-18

9-15

15-22

15-10

15-21

27-29

23-20

22-15

10-24

15-16

27-21

16-28

22-21

18-28

18-19

20-20

17-26

17-25

21-18

27-8

26-34

17-28

27-7

17-14

25-19

26-19

19-17

22-26

15-18

16-24

20-22

16-25

21-20

20-21

22-19

22-15

22-22

16-17

157.2Avg total

77.3Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	79.3	81.8	161.1	-2.4	34%
Season at home (13)	81.4	78.7	160.1	+2.7	54%
Season away (16)	77.7	84.3	162.0	-6.6	19%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	79.9	157.2	-2.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	78.6	162.0	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.9	82.6	159.5	-5.7	18%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	80.3	81.1	161.3	-0.8	42%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.6	16.9	35.5	+1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (20)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	20.1	37.5	-2.6	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	18.7	43.3	+6.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	18.7	36.4	-1.1	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.2	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (20)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.3	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.5	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	15.2	34.2	+3.9	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.7	18.6	37.4	+0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

42-46

-4

A19/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-36

-8

A21/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-42

-6

A25/03

Americas League

San Pablo Burgos

#14

54-30

+24

H25/03

ACB

Regatas

20-25

-5

H25/03

Americas League

La Union

33-18

+15

H29/03

Liga A

San Martin

33-48

-15

A31/03

Liga A

Barcelona

49-43

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

38-33

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

40-42

-2

A04/04

Liga A

73.6Avg total

37.3Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	39.2	77.3	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	37.2	35.4	72.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (20)	38.5	41.0	79.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	36.3	73.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.8	75.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.3	40.4	75.6	-5.1	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.4	39.4	77.8	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	46.7	33.7	80.3	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

26-28

-2

A02/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

30-32

-2

H05/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

45-35

+10

H08/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

43-49

-6

A13/03

Liga A

Quimsa

38-39

-1

A15/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

48-26

+22

H21/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

44-21

+23

H27/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

41-43

-2

A29/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

36-47

-11

A02/04

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

44-34

+10

A05/04

Liga A

74.9Avg total

39.5Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	37.6	76.1	+0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	33.5	72.7	+5.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.9	40.8	78.7	-2.9	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	35.4	74.9	+4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	34.2	76.8	+8.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.5	38.2	74.7	-1.6	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.6	37.3	76.9	+2.3	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (20)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.0	21.9	39.9	-3.9	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.9	19.9	42.9	+3.0	69%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	21.9	42.5	-1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.3	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.8	42.4	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (20)	21.4	23.0	44.5	-1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.4	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.8	22.9	42.6	-3.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.8	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.2	40.3	-4.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.7	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	32%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	42.4	83.8	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	38.3	39.5	77.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (20)	42.9	43.9	86.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	42.4	84.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.7	43.3	83.0	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	42.7	42.8	85.5	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.0	37.3	77.3	+2.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	43.4	83.5	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.1	43.9	85.0	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.4	43.1	82.4	-3.7	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	44.5	82.3	-6.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	44.4	85.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.4	44.5	84.8	-4.1	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.9	42.8	82.8	-2.9	26%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	19.5	54.8%	53.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.0	32.4%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	22.3	17.4	78.0%	71.7%	17.4

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.5	22.8	51.2%	53.8%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	7.5	33.5%	32.9%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	21.7	15.4	71.0%	71.7%	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.3	53.3%	53.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.1	30.7%	32.9%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.6	75.4%	71.7%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	22.5	50.3%	53.8%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.3	33.7%	32.9%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.0	74.9%	71.7%	16.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/18	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	72-82
10/02/17	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	69-74
25/01/17	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	84-76
07/03/16	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	84-46
22/01/16	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	70-61
06/04/15	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	69-89
09/03/15	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	84-86
10/02/14	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	62-57
02/02/14	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	93-57

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/18	A	La Union	79-82
02/04/18	A	Regatas	77-71
01/04/18	A	Barcelona	100-95
31/03/18	A	San Martin	73-81
29/03/18	H	La Union	77-55
25/03/18	H	Regatas	59-60
25/03/18	H	San Pablo Burgos	100-76
25/03/18	A	San Lorenzo	78-101
21/03/18	A	Gimnasia	73-78
19/03/18	A	San Lorenzo	76-88

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/18	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	82-73
02/04/18	A	Obras Sanitarias	77-88
29/03/18	A	Weber Bahia	72-85
27/03/18	H	Obras Sanitarias	95-59
21/03/18	H	San Lorenzo	91-88
15/03/18	A	Quimsa	72-90
13/03/18	A	Olimpico	83-98
08/03/18	H	Quilmes	70-75
05/03/18	H	Estudiantes	72-82
02/03/18	A	Gimnasia	59-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	42%
Home	WWWLW	73%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	11	15
Win %	42%	73%	20%
Points / game	82.3	88.7	77.7
Allowed / game	83.2	82.7	83.6
Point differential	-0.9	+6.0	-5.9
Avg total	165.6	171.5	161.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	36%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	50% (4)	0% (4)
Overtime %	8%	9%	7%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	34%
Home	WLLWW	54%
Away	LLLLW	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	13	16
Win %	34%	54%	19%
Points / game	79.3	81.4	77.7
Allowed / game	81.8	78.7	84.3
Point differential	-2.4	+2.7	-6.6
Avg total	161.1	160.1	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	15%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	27% (11)	33% (6)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	26	21	5	81%	87.0	79.7	+7.4
2	San Martin	30	22	8	73%	85.6	79.3	+6.3
3	Instituto de Cordoba	31	21	10	68%	85.1	79.9	+5.2
4	Atenas	30	20	10	67%	86.5	83.9	+2.5
5	Quimsa	30	18	12	60%	80.7	77.8	+2.9
6	La Union	27	15	12	56%	81.1	79.7	+1.4
7	Weber Bahia	30	16	14	53%	77.9	80.5	-2.6
8	Gimnasia	29	15	14	52%	82.6	83.1	-0.5
9	Regatas	29	15	14	52%	83.0	84.1	-1.0
10	Obras Sanitarias	31	16	15	52%	84.5	84.5	-0.0
11	Olimpico	31	15	16	48%	84.1	84.1	+0.0
12	Argentino	31	15	16	48%	79.6	80.9	-1.4
13	Hispano Americano	28	13	15	46%	86.1	88.2	-2.1
14	Estudiantes	26	11	15	42%	82.3	83.2	-0.9
15	Quilmes	32	12	20	38%	87.1	89.8	-2.7
16	Comunicaciones Mercedes	28	10	18	36%	81.6	85.2	-3.6
17	Boca Juniors	29	10	19	34%	79.3	81.8	-2.4
18	Penarol	30	10	20	33%	83.0	83.9	-1.0
19	Ferro	28	9	19	32%	79.0	81.9	-2.9
20	Salta	30	9	21	30%	76.0	80.2	-4.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	14	14	18	35	81
Boca Juniors	20	21	22	17	80

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature