Estela vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 75-92

17-23 21-26 17-20 20-23

Position#14

Record5-9

FormLLWWL

Points / game72.7

Allowed / game81.6

Estela

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#4

Record13-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game78.5

Primera FEBRound 15

Other2024-25

Meetings · Estela v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstela

Date

Competition

Castello

#17

68-89

-21

60avg 64

A25/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

68-73

-5

59avg 64

H02/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

75-60

+15

74avg 64

A08/11

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

85-81

73avg 64

H15/11

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

54-93

-39

37avg 64

A01/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

67-75

-8

55avg 64

H07/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

70-95

-25

61avg 64

A10/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

83-80

70avg 64

H15/12

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

89-71

+18

80avg 64

H21/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

60-83

-23

41avg 64

A29/12

Primera FEB

19-26

7-23

26-19

16-21

22-18

13-11

12-22

21-22

20-14

13-22

21-13

21-11

26-27

17-21

19-13

23-20

16-25

14-21

8-26

16-21

21-16

24-17

13-21

9-21

15-21

15-23

21-29

19-22

16-18

20-15

24-20

23-27

16-24

29-11

23-13

21-23

16-24

15-22

13-13

16-24

151.9Avg total

71.9Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	72.7	81.6	154.3	-8.9	36%
Season at home (7)	79.9	77.6	157.4	+2.3	57%
Season away (7)	65.6	85.6	151.1	-20.0	14%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	80.0	151.9	-8.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	80.8	154.6	-7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	70.5	84.5	155.0	-14.0	19%
vs Similar (11)	79.1	79.9	159.0	-0.8	45%
vs Weaker (3)	80.7	83.7	164.3	-3.0	67%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

90-84

88avg 76

H27/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

77-66

+11

67avg 76

A02/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

86-82

78avg 76

H10/11

Primera FEB

Cartagena

91-68

+23

83avg 76

H17/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

78-76

68avg 76

A01/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

88-81 OT

76avg 76

H08/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

99-93 OT

92avg 76

A11/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

85-70

+15

82avg 76

H15/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

87-73

+14

77avg 76

A21/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

90-78

+12

86avg 76

H29/12

Primera FEB

28-19

31-26

13-15

18-24

16-8

17-18

24-19

20-21

30-16

12-21

18-22

26-23

22-16

18-18

24-16

27-18

19-20

18-23

23-18

18-15

20-22

17-23

14-14

23-15

21-27

19-17

15-23

29-17

14-12

24-22

25-18

22-18

29-21

22-12

19-16

17-24

31-17

20-26

22-16

17-19

164.2Avg total

87.1Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	88.5	78.5	167.0	+10.0	93%
Season at home (8)	90.0	77.1	167.1	+12.9	100%
Season away (6)	86.5	80.3	166.8	+6.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	87.1	77.1	164.2	+10.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	79.0	168.8	+10.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	84.2	78.4	162.6	+5.9	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	85.3	76.3	161.5	+9.0	82%

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstelaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.9	40.0	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.9	39.6	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	24.0	44.3	-3.7	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	18.4	40.2	+3.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.8	40.8	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	23.5	19.1	42.6	+4.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	19.4	36.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.3	19.8	36.1	-3.5	19%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	19.3	36.3	-2.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	18.8	37.9	+0.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	17.4	21.1	38.5	-3.8	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+2.0	64%	-

EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

#17

26-49

-23

A25/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

35-29

H02/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

33-36

-3

A08/11

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

43-48

-5

H15/11

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

30-46

-16

A01/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

45-33

+12

H07/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

30-44

-14

A10/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

36-33

H15/12

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

45-35

+10

H21/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

31-46

-15

A29/12

Primera FEB

75.3Avg total

35.4Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	40.3	76.3	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	39.3	76.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	41.2	75.8	-6.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	39.9	75.3	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.2	75.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.9	41.6	76.5	-6.8	19%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.2	37.5	74.7	-0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.3	43.3	80.7	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

59-45

+14

H27/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

33-26

A02/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

42-37

H10/11

Primera FEB

Cartagena

40-34

H17/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

37-43

-6

A01/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

37-45

-8

H08/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

40-44

-4

A11/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

38-34

H15/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

51-33

+18

A21/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

51-43

H29/12

Primera FEB

81.2Avg total

42.8Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	39.2	80.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.9	38.9	81.8	+4.0	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.7	39.5	79.2	+0.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	38.4	81.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	39.8	83.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	40.9	40.2	81.1	+0.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	41.7	38.8	80.5	+3.0	59%	-

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	21.2	38.8	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.6	20.2	36.9	-3.6	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.8	38.9	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	16.9	38.2	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	17.3	38.4	+3.7	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.4	41.0	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.4	40.7	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	18.7	40.9	+3.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	20.2	40.5	+0.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.2	19.5	40.6	+1.7	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	41.1	78.7	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	39.3	77.1	-1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	42.6	80.1	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	40.1	76.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	42.6	79.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.8	41.4	76.2	-6.6	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.3	40.7	81.0	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	40.3	83.7	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	37.1	79.7	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	35.6	79.2	+8.0	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	39.2	80.3	+2.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.1	78.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.0	76.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	43.4	38.1	81.5	+5.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.2	36.8	79.0	+5.5	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estela wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/24	Estela v Estudiantes	67-81
03/12/23	Estudiantes v Estela	101-61
16/04/23	Estudiantes v Estela	80-54
17/12/22	Estela v Estudiantes	76-82

Estelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/24	A	Gipuzkoa	60-83
21/12/24	H	Zamora	89-71
15/12/24	H	Tizona Burgos	83-80
10/12/24	A	Oviedo	70-95
07/12/24	H	Fuenlabrada	67-75
01/12/24	A	Obradoiro CAB	54-93
15/11/24	H	Moron	85-81
08/11/24	A	Alicante	75-60
02/11/24	H	Real Valladolid	68-73
25/10/24	A	Castello	68-89

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/24	H	Fuenlabrada	90-78
21/12/24	A	Real Valladolid	87-73
15/12/24	H	Alicante	85-70
11/12/24	A	Moron	99-93 OT
08/12/24	H	Ourense	88-81 OT
01/12/24	A	Oviedo	78-76
17/11/24	H	Cartagena	91-68
10/11/24	H	Real Betis	86-82
02/11/24	A	Hestia Menorca	77-66
27/10/24	H	Zamora	90-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	36%
Home	LWLWW	57%
Away	LWLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	36%	57%	14%
Points / game	72.7	79.9	65.6
Allowed / game	81.6	77.6	85.6
Point differential	-8.9	+2.3	-20.0
Avg total	154.3	157.4	151.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	14%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	60% (5)	-
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	93%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	93%	100%	83%
Points / game	88.5	90.0	86.5
Allowed / game	78.5	77.1	80.3
Point differential	+10.0	+12.9	+6.2
Avg total	167.0	167.1	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	62%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	14%	12%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	14	13	1	93%	87.1	73.2	+13.9
2	Estudiantes	14	13	1	93%	88.5	78.5	+10.0
3	Fuenlabrada	14	12	2	86%	82.6	72.1	+10.6
4	Real Betis	15	11	4	73%	83.5	73.9	+9.5
5	Palencia	14	10	4	71%	87.9	78.5	+9.4
6	Ourense	14	9	5	64%	84.9	79.1	+5.9
7	Obradoiro CAB	14	7	7	50%	78.9	74.6	+4.4
8	Tizona Burgos	14	7	7	50%	91.1	90.7	+0.4
9	Zamora	15	7	8	47%	79.6	81.1	-1.5
10	Cartagena	14	6	8	43%	77.7	85.9	-8.2
11	Gipuzkoa	15	6	9	40%	74.3	76.7	-2.5
12	Castello	15	6	9	40%	81.3	87.6	-6.3
13	Hestia Menorca	14	5	9	36%	72.7	76.1	-3.4
14	Estela	14	5	9	36%	72.7	81.6	-8.9
15	Oviedo	15	5	10	33%	76.7	82.1	-5.3
16	Real Valladolid	14	4	10	29%	71.7	82.8	-11.1
17	Alicante	14	2	12	14%	72.2	77.1	-4.9
18	Moron	15	1	14	7%	73.1	83.9	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estela	17	21	17	20	75
Estudiantes	23	26	20	23	92

← all games of the day

Estela vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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