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Estudiantes vs Estela Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game76.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 27
Other2026-27
Meetings · Estudiantes v Estela
28 Mar 2027
EST v ESTE
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
EST81
ESTE74
22 Apr 2025
EST101
ESTE76
03 Dec 2023
EST101
ESTE61
16 Apr 2023
EST80
ESTE54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Estela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 82
H06/06
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
92avg 82
H07/06
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 82
H27/09
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
106-76
106
76
+30
108avg 82
H11/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 82
H18/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 82
A25/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
H01/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
71-73
71
73
-2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
28-16
20-18
13-14
6-12
28-24
31-21
15-23
12-9
18-24
26-16
22-16
24-22
13-29
22-10
21-12
27-24
29-16
25-21
25-15
21-22
14-26
27-12
24-17
18-20
26-26
25-16
25-16
21-30
20-17
30-13
31-20
12-16
17-13
18-27
24-17
22-32
19-12
27-23
20-21
168.4Avg total
89.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.877.4167.1+12.488%
Season at home (4)93.074.5167.5+18.5100%
Season away (4)86.580.2166.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)89.479.0168.4+10.480%
Last 5 (5)90.881.0171.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.597.0179.5-14.50%
vs Similar (6)82.274.7156.8+7.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.977.0163.9+10.075%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
58avg 72
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 72
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
54avg 72
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
89avg 72
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
99avg 72
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 72
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 72
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
14-26
16-28
23-25
17-21
18-20
20-17
14-17
17-14
17-24
24-15
24-15
23-22
21-28
31-13
27-20
22-25
22-15
22-23
23-24
17-17
23-20
19-23
19-19
20-20
17-19
14-19
21-24
21-23
16-12
13-17
27-18
17-24
18-21
30-18
26-17
18-11
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.676.8159.4+5.975%
Season at home (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
Season away (4)90.577.8168.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)80.676.8157.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.786.2162.9-9.533%
vs Similar (10)78.677.5156.1+1.150%
vs Weaker (5)82.874.4157.2+8.480%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
EstudiantesEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/06
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/06
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H27/09
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H11/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H18/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A25/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H01/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A07/11
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.6Avg total
39.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.682.4-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.979.3+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)41.444.686.0-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.380.6-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.046.281.2-11.20%-
vs Similar (6)40.043.083.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.340.282.5+2.150%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
38.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.581.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.479.1-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.180.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.644.382.9-5.727%-
vs Similar (10)40.838.379.1+2.550%-
vs Weaker (5)42.639.281.8+3.480%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.6
55.0%
53.0%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.513.4
38.8%
32.9%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.415.6
72.9%
74.2%15.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
74.2%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
WLWWWWWWLW
Estela
WWLLWWWWLL
#2
League position
#5
+17.7
Net rating
-5.8
121.5
Offensive rating
111.4
103.7
Defensive rating
117.2
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.8%
3-point %
33.8%
59.3%
Assist %
57.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.5 · 111.4Defence103.7 · 117.2Shooting56.7% · 53.2%3-point %38.8% · 33.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Estela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Estudiantes wins
2
Estela wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Estela v Estudiantes73-71
21/03/26Estela v Estudiantes80-78
18/01/26Estudiantes v Estela81-74
22/04/25Estudiantes v Estela101-76
04/01/25Estela v Estudiantes75-92
20/04/24Estela v Estudiantes67-81
03/12/23Estudiantes v Estela101-61
16/04/23Estudiantes v Estela80-54
17/12/22Estela v Estudiantes76-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGranada101-97 OT
07/11/26AEstela71-73
01/11/26HGran Canaria102-80
25/10/26AFibwi Palma94-78
18/10/26HPalencia86-77
11/10/26HGipuzkoa106-76
03/10/26AZamora80-73
27/09/26HCaja 8778-65
07/06/26HLeyma Coruna97-100 OT
06/06/26HOviedo79-71
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGipuzkoa92-67
07/11/26HEstudiantes73-71
31/10/26HPalencia73-85
25/10/26AAlbacete81-82
17/10/26HFuenlabrada84-79
10/10/26AOurense101-86
04/10/26AFibwi Palma88-76
26/09/26HHestia Menorca69-68
08/05/26APalencia70-100
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game89.893.086.5
Allowed / game77.474.580.2
Point differential+12.4+18.5+6.2
Avg total167.1167.5166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Estela
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.674.890.5
Allowed / game76.875.877.8
Point differential+5.9-1.0+12.8
Avg total159.4150.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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