PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson faces NJIT on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the home side at 82% due to their balanced 2-2 record and higher scoring average of 70.8 against 54.8 for NJIT, while NJIT struggles at 1-4 and allows 80.2 points per game. Fairleigh Dickinson has a 1-0 home record, scoring 93.0 and allowing 56.0, and has won two of its last five games, including a 93-56 home win over CCNY and an 80-76 away victory over East Texas A&M, though it also fell 65-99 to Butler. NJIT, meanwhile, has a 0-4 road record, averaging 55.0 points and conceding 87.2, and has only one win in its last five, a narrow 54-52 home win over St. Peters, after losses to VCU Rams and Rutgers. Their head-to-head history is even at 2-2, with NJIT's most recent win 93-81 on 15 November 2025. Pythia projects a 76-66 score for Fairleigh Dickinson, a total of 142.4 points, and an 18% chance that NJIT will win. The model also estimates a 3% chance of overtime. Fairleigh Dickinson's recent offensive surge suggests they will likely control the game.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 70.8 | 87.8 | 158.5 | -17.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 93.0 | 56.0 | 149.0 | +37.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 63.3 | 98.3 | 161.7 | -35.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 65.7 | 77.7 | 143.4 | -12.0 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.8 | 84.2 | 153.0 | -15.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 61.0 | 75.5 | 136.5 | -14.5 | 31% |
| vs Similar (10) | 67.0 | 71.7 | 138.7 | -4.7 | 20% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 72.8 | 60.8 | 133.6 | +12.0 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 54.8 | 80.2 | 135.0 | -25.4 | 20% |
| Season at home (1) | 54.0 | 52.0 | 106.0 | +2.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 55.0 | 87.2 | 142.2 | -32.2 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 55.6 | 75.2 | 130.8 | -19.6 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 54.8 | 80.2 | 135.0 | -25.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 62.9 | 76.7 | 139.6 | -13.8 | 32% |
| vs Similar (10) | 68.5 | 66.2 | 134.7 | +2.3 | 70% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 29.8 | 34.0 | 63.8 | -4.2 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 32.2 | 30.2 | 62.4 | +1.9 | 54% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 28.0 | 36.8 | 64.8 | -8.8 | 24% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.7 | 40.7 | 71.4 | -10.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.4 | 45.8 | 76.2 | -15.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 26.8 | 38.1 | 64.8 | -11.3 | 8% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 28.4 | 33.2 | 61.6 | -4.8 | 30% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 35.6 | 27.4 | 63.0 | +8.2 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.9 | 33.3 | 64.2 | -2.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 32.8 | 29.5 | 62.3 | +3.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 29.4 | 36.2 | 65.6 | -6.8 | 24% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 25.5 | 35.6 | 61.1 | -10.1 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 24.2 | 38.6 | 62.8 | -14.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 29.4 | 34.3 | 63.6 | -4.9 | 37% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 32.2 | 32.6 | 64.8 | -0.4 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15/11/25 | NJIT v Fairleigh Dickinson | 93-81 |
| 02/12/23 | NJIT v Fairleigh Dickinson | 68-71 |
| 11/12/22 | Fairleigh Dickinson v NJIT | 73-71 |
| 24/11/21 | NJIT v Fairleigh Dickinson | 62-54 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | East Texas A&M | 80-76 OT |
| 07/11/26 | H | CCNY | 93-56 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Butler | 65-99 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Illinois | 45-120 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Mercyhurst Lakers | 61-70 |
| 28/02/26 | A | LIU Sharks | 60-74 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Le Moyne | 59-76 |
| 22/02/26 | H | New Haven Chargers | 77-84 |
| 20/02/26 | A | Chicago State | 60-59 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Central Connecticut State | 57-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | VCU Rams | 49-87 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Rutgers | 64-101 |
| 08/11/26 | H | St. Peters | 54-52 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Iona | 49-72 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Dayton | 58-89 |
| 10/03/26 | A | Vermont | 54-63 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Maine Black Bears | 60-58 |
| 03/03/26 | H | UMBC Retrievers | 52-91 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Bryant University | 52-69 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Vermont | 64-70 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWW | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 70.8 | 93.0 | 63.3 |
| Allowed / game | 87.8 | 56.0 | 98.3 |
| Point differential | -17.0 | +37.0 | -35.0 |
| Avg total | 158.5 | 149.0 | 161.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 20% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Win % | 20% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 54.8 | 54.0 | 55.0 |
| Allowed / game | 80.2 | 52.0 | 87.2 |
| Point differential | -25.4 | +2.0 | -32.2 |
| Avg total | 135.0 | 106.0 | 142.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chicago State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 68.2 | 76.8 | -8.5 |
| 2 |  Central Connecticut State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 65.5 | 79.0 | -13.5 |
| 3 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 70.8 | 87.8 | -17.0 |
| 4 |  Le Moyne | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.0 | 76.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 |  Stonehill | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 71.3 | -4.0 |
| 6 |  New Haven Chargers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 58.3 | 70.0 | -11.7 |
| 7 |  Wagner | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 66.2 | 73.2 | -7.0 |
| 8 |  Mercyhurst Lakers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 61.2 | 70.8 | -9.5 |
| 9 |  LIU Sharks | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 61.5 | 73.8 | -12.2 |
| 10 |  St. Francis (ILL) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 47.0 | 96.0 | -49.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UMass Lowell | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.2 | 62.8 | +16.5 |
| 2 |  Binghamton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 70.0 | 66.5 | +3.5 |
| 3 |  UMBC Retrievers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.5 | 75.2 | +2.2 |
| 4 |  Vermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.0 | 67.3 | +2.7 |
| 5 |  Bryant University | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 62.5 | 71.8 | -9.2 |
| 6 |  Maine Black Bears | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.2 | 73.5 | -9.2 |
| 7 | NJIT | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 54.8 | 80.2 | -25.4 |
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