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FC Porto vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-78
26-16 22-18 23-19 18-25
Position#12
Record2-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game78.3
FC Porto 🏆
vs
Bakken Bears
Position#30
Record0-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
W
112-101
112
101
+11
no box
A14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H21/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 75
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
100-84
100
84
+16
89avg 75
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 75
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
92-60
92
60
+32
85avg 75
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
79-71
79
71
+8
60avg 75
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
79-62
79
62
+17
70avg 75
H21/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
35-15
23-28
21-26
18-16
14-29
26-17
22-26
20-27
20-23
17-22
34-21
21-24
8-20
18-30
19-20
28-19
20-24
19-14
24-19
25-23
13-12
32-24
30-25
14-23
18-20
17-22
21-15
26-12
27-18
23-16
16-14
17-19
24-18
19-20
19-14
20-14
16-10
14-16
29-22
166.9Avg total
86.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.078.3161.3+4.767%
Season at home (1)100.084.0184.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.080.9166.9+5.160%
Last 5 (5)84.071.4155.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.383.9162.1-5.629%
vs Similar (7)80.487.4167.9-7.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.479.6172.0+12.975%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
87-66
87
66
+21
no box
A22/05
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
93-80
93
80
+13
87avg 82
H15/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 82
H19/09
Basketligaen
Peja
#50
W
103-79
103
79
+24
112avg 82
H25/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 82
H27/09
Champions League
Randers
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 82
A04/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 82
A07/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
110-85
110
85
+25
116avg 82
A13/10
Basketligaen
Manisa
#13
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 82
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Amager
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
102avg 82
H21/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
15-9
21-6
27-21
27-17
26-22
23-19
17-22
25-18
30-17
19-24
20-28
23-16
25-9
29-30
26-24
19-15
16-20
16-19
17-24
16-27
20-27
21-13
27-16
30-23
19-20
17-17
18-10
31-11
28-23
26-20
25-31
20-21
22-22
18-19
16-20
28-14
24-16
25-16
25-28
168.5Avg total
90.1Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.178.4168.5+11.780%
Last 5 (5)91.278.8170.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (28)89.875.2165.0+14.686%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
FC PortoBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H21/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/10
LPB
81.5Avg total
41.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.783.9+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.482.5+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.444.085.4-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.881.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.873.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.045.183.1-7.129%-
vs Similar (7)36.042.478.4-6.414%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.839.986.7+6.981%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/05
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H15/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H19/09
Basketligaen
Peja
#50
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H25/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/09
Champions League
Randers
#6
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A07/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A13/10
Basketligaen
Manisa
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Amager
#11
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H21/10
Basketligaen
84.5Avg total
46.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.038.383.2+6.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.736.281.8+9.572%-
Last 30 away (12)43.941.485.3+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)46.837.784.5+9.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)42.043.085.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (28)45.038.683.5+6.464%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.522.7
47.7%
52.2%45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.3
32.3%
33.8%25.0
🏀 Free throws20.813.0
62.4%
73.0%13.0
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.0
53.7%
52.2%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.0
36.1%
33.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.613.4
68.4%
73.0%13.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWLWWLLLW
Bakken Bears
WLWWWLWWWW
#12
League position
#30
+15.8
Net rating
+11.8
113.1
Offensive rating
109.4
97.3
Defensive rating
97.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
10.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.3%
3-point %
36.1%
52.2%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 109.4Defence97.3 · 97.7Shooting48.0% · 53.9%3-point %32.3% · 36.1%Ball care10.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds36.2% · 31.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ FC Porto   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
0
Bakken Bears wins
No previous meetings.
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HBenfica79-62
17/10/23ANorrkoping79-71
14/10/23HImortal92-60
05/10/23AManisa70-80
03/10/23HNevezis100-84
23/09/23ACD Povoa91-76
26/05/23ASporting CP66-94
23/05/23HSporting CP91-93
21/05/23HSporting CP80-88
14/05/23AVitoria112-101
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HAmager102-74
18/10/23HManisa76-82
13/10/23ASvendborg110-85
07/10/23AHerlev Wolfpack84-70
04/10/23ARanders84-83
27/09/23HNorrkoping68-78
25/09/23HPeja103-79
19/09/23HHorsens94-87
15/09/23HCopenhagen93-80
22/05/23ATeam FOG Naestved87-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game83.0100.074.5
Allowed / game78.384.075.5
Point differential+4.7+16.0-1.0
Avg total161.3184.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential-6.0-6.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz110100%98.072.0+26.0
2 Legia110100%85.062.0+23.0
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Jonava110100%104.088.0+16.0
5 Varese110100%95.080.0+15.0
6 Caledonia Gladiators110100%80.068.0+12.0
7 Trepca220100%77.068.0+9.0
8 Basket Zaragoza330100%88.780.0+8.7
9 Manisa330100%86.778.0+8.7
10 Leiden110100%77.069.0+8.0
11 Gottingen110100%86.081.0+5.0
12 Mornar Bar110100%80.075.0+5.0
13 Bilbao110100%83.079.0+4.0
14 Sporting CP110100%83.079.0+4.0
15 Spojnia Stargard110100%92.089.0+3.0
16 AEK Larnaca110100%78.076.0+2.0
17 Levice110100%93.091.0+2.0
18 Nymburk110100%89.088.0+1.0
19 Sabah Baku43175%80.876.0+4.8
20 Rostock32167%90.074.7+15.3
21 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
22 FC Porto32167%83.078.3+4.7
23 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
24 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
25 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
26 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Keravnos31233%87.082.7+4.3
29 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
30 Kataja31233%76.382.7-6.3
31 Bahcesehir Kol.1010%88.089.0-1.0
32 CSM Oradea1010%91.093.0-2.0
33 Den Bosch1010%89.092.0-3.0
34 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
35 Alba Fehervar1010%79.083.0-4.0
36 Anwil Wloclawek1010%79.083.0-4.0
37 Brindisi1010%87.091.0-4.0
38 TSU1010%81.086.0-5.0
39 Bakken Bears1010%76.082.0-6.0
40 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%69.077.0-8.0
41 Norrkoping1010%71.079.0-8.0
42 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
43 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
44 CSU Sibiu1010%68.080.0-12.0
45 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
46 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
47 Karhu Basket1010%88.0104.0-16.0
48 Peja1010%72.098.0-26.0
49 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 49 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2622231889
Bakken Bears1618192578
← all games of the day
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