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FC Porto vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 79-62
20-14 16-10 14-16 29-22
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game76.0
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Benfica
Portugal
Position#1
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game70.0
PortugalLPBRound 4· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · FC Porto v Benfica
11 Oct 2026
POR93
BEN86
14 Jun 2026
POR75
BEN71
12 Jun 2026
POR87
BEN63
21 Mar 2026
POR88
BEN72
15 Jun 2025
POR71
BEN93
13 Jun 2025
POR82
BEN75
22 Mar 2025
POR94
BEN84
15 Feb 2025
POR103
BEN89
07 Jun 2024
POR62
BEN73
05 Jun 2024
POR66
BEN89
05 May 2024
POR66
BEN72
21 Oct 2023
POR79
BEN62
08 Apr 2023
POR92
BEN89
05 Nov 2022
POR105
BEN112
11 Jun 2022
POR63
BEN91
09 Jun 2022
POR65
BEN47
23 Apr 2022
POR65
BEN60
31 Oct 2021
POR81
BEN71
28 Feb 2021
POR79
BEN87
06 Feb 2021
POR80
BEN76
07 Oct 2020
POR81
BEN74
26 Oct 2019
POR87
BEN79
31 May 2019
POR v BEN
upcoming
05 May 2019
POR73
BEN76
26 Jan 2019
POR96
BEN78
03 Jun 2018
POR91
BEN74
01 Jun 2018
POR90
BEN96
22 Apr 2018
POR98
BEN85
13 Jan 2018
POR89
BEN81
04 Jun 2017
POR81
BEN83
02 Jun 2017
POR70
BEN73
11 Mar 2017
POR85
BEN74
15 Oct 2016
POR74
BEN76
28 May 2016
POR93
BEN85
27 May 2016
POR98
BEN89
13 Mar 2016
POR97
BEN94
03 Jan 2016
POR81
BEN62
23 May 2012
POR53
BEN56
13 May 2012
POR80
BEN82
12 May 2012
POR77
BEN71
24 Mar 2012
POR67
BEN76
22 May 2011
POR86
BEN76
18 May 2011
POR91
BEN79
12 May 2011
POR95
BEN69
10 May 2011
POR93
BEN60
13 Nov 2010
POR91
BEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
W
119-82
119
82
+37
no box
H10/05
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
112-101
112
101
+11
no box
A14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H21/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 76
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
100-84
100
84
+16
89avg 76
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 76
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
92-60
92
60
+32
85avg 76
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
79-71
79
71
+8
60avg 76
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
24-17
31-25
35-15
33-32
35-15
23-28
21-26
18-16
14-29
26-17
22-26
20-27
20-23
17-22
34-21
21-24
8-20
18-30
19-20
28-19
20-24
19-14
24-19
25-23
13-12
32-24
30-25
14-23
18-20
17-22
21-15
26-12
27-18
23-16
16-14
17-19
24-18
19-20
19-14
172.9Avg total
90.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.082.9172.9+7.160%
Last 5 (5)86.474.2160.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.287.5165.7-9.317%
vs Similar (7)80.487.4167.9-7.029%
vs Weaker (17)92.378.6170.9+13.676%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
W
101-57
101
57
+44
no box
A09/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
A11/06
LPB
Imortal
#2
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 83
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
122-62
122
62
+60
124avg 83
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
87-59
87
59
+28
89avg 83
H27/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 83
A29/09
Champions League
Vitoria
#7
W
107-66
107
66
+41
110avg 83
H04/10
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
110-70
110
70
+40
109avg 83
H07/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
63avg 83
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
71-78
71
78
-7
66avg 83
H13/10
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
31-17
26-11
27-12
23-28
25-17
21-25
32-15
21-15
31-21
16-19
25-20
25-15
32-17
36-18
29-12
24-15
23-16
15-18
25-10
17-19
18-26
24-15
24-13
28-17
25-22
25-10
29-17
29-15
13-25
38-10
30-20
20-17
15-27
14-19
24-11
24-21
14-18
13-20
20-19
164.7Avg total
94.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)96.770.0166.7+26.767%
Season at home (3)96.770.0166.7+26.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.869.9164.7+24.980%
Last 5 (5)88.872.2161.0+16.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.080.0176.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (3)76.375.0151.3+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)94.572.0166.5+22.479%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +11.6+11.6
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +11.6+11.6
FC PortoBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H10/05
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H21/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
85.0Avg total
43.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.084.5+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.183.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.444.085.4-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.348.787.0-10.317%-
vs Similar (7)36.042.478.4-6.414%-
vs Weaker (17)46.639.586.2+7.182%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A09/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A11/06
LPB
Imortal
#2
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A29/09
Champions League
Vitoria
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H04/10
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H07/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/10
Taca da Liga
84.0Avg total
45.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.037.285.2+10.880%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.837.184.9+10.682%-
Last 30 away (13)48.337.485.7+10.977%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.584.0+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.482.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (3)38.739.778.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.837.085.8+11.883%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.624.0
48.4%
51.0%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.8
32.0%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.812.8
64.6%
69.3%12.8
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.7
57.6%
51.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.016.6
69.2%
69.3%16.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLWWLLLWW
Benfica
LLWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+13.9
Net rating
+22.5
115.1
Offensive rating
115.2
101.2
Defensive rating
92.7
48.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
9.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.0%
3-point %
35.4%
52.2%
Assist %
67.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 115.2Defence101.2 · 92.7Shooting48.2% · 55.7%3-point %32.0% · 35.4%Ball care9.4% · 18.7%Off. rebounds36.2% · 35.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ FC Porto   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FC Porto wins
6
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23FC Porto v Benfica92-89
11/03/23Benfica v FC Porto99-75
23/12/22Benfica v FC Porto86-87
11/12/22Benfica v FC Porto97-93
05/11/22FC Porto v Benfica105-112 OT
11/06/22FC Porto v Benfica63-91
09/06/22FC Porto v Benfica65-47
06/06/22Benfica v FC Porto56-48
04/06/22Benfica v FC Porto79-58
23/04/22FC Porto v Benfica65-60
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23ANorrkoping79-71
14/10/23HImortal92-60
05/10/23AManisa70-80
03/10/23HNevezis100-84
23/09/23ACD Povoa91-76
26/05/23ASporting CP66-94
23/05/23HSporting CP91-93
21/05/23HSporting CP80-88
14/05/23AVitoria112-101
10/05/23HVitoria119-82
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HOliveirense71-78
11/10/23HOliveirense73-74
07/10/23HEsgueira110-70
04/10/23HVitoria107-66
29/09/23ANorrkoping83-73
27/09/23HAEK Larnaca87-59
25/09/23HTSU122-62
16/09/23HImortal93-75
11/06/23ASporting CP101-85
09/06/23ASporting CP101-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game96.796.7-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+26.7+26.7-
Avg total166.7166.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto110100%91.076.0+15.0
2 Sporting CP330100%90.383.3+7.0
3 Oliveirense220100%74.067.5+6.5
4 Portimonense220100%82.576.0+6.5
5 Benfica32167%96.770.0+26.7
6 Galomar32167%84.382.7+1.7
7 Imortal31233%79.078.0+1.0
8 Ovarense31233%80.782.0-1.3
9 CD Povoa31233%79.384.3-5.0
10 Vitoria31233%78.091.7-13.7
11 Lusitania3030%76.086.3-10.3
12 Esgueira3030%70.089.7-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2016142979
Benfica1410162262
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