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FC Porto vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 86-75
25-21 22-16 18-24 21-14
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#13
Record7-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game83.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
85avg 75
A30/11
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
70-86
70
86
-16
56avg 75
A03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 75
A07/12
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
72avg 75
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 75
H14/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 75
H17/12
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
78avg 75
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
92avg 75
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
75avg 75
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-53
93
53
+40
93avg 75
A11/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
12-21
26-22
23-18
11-15
27-25
13-21
19-25
24-17
23-15
13-20
20-14
20-29
19-29
23-20
25-17
29-19
16-21
25-25
24-18
25-19
25-19
24-11
15-26
16-18
27-13
22-22
16-9
31-19
25-17
22-16
15-28
26-19
14-12
22-21
19-30
22-7
20-14
23-18
28-14
162.0Avg total
85.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.776.9158.6+4.856%
Season at home (4)85.872.0157.8+13.875%
Season away (5)78.480.8159.2-2.440%
Last 10 (10)85.576.5162.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)87.470.4157.8+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.281.8152.0-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.684.9169.4-0.343%
vs Weaker (18)83.770.8154.5+12.994%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 80
H03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 80
A07/12
ACB
Maroussi
#12
L
95-104
95
104
-9
89avg 80
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
W
108-95
108
95
+13
103avg 80
H15/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
88avg 80
A22/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
96-68
96
68
+28
94avg 80
H29/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
97-106
97
106
-9
94avg 80
A02/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
60avg 80
A04/01
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
97-83
97
83
+14
100avg 80
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
92-93
92
93
-1
79avg 80
H11/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
25-27
21-13
25-19
17-17
25-20
18-26
26-16
24-26
24-29
26-23
21-26
16-18
25-29
33-17
34-31
27-22
14-22
22-24
31-28
23-22
29-19
23-9
21-18
27-25
19-19
29-27
22-35
15-19
18-20
20-22
18-24
29-13
18-31
23-17
27-22
14-24
25-21
26-23
27-25
180.1Avg total
92.2Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.183.1174.2+8.078%
Season at home (4)94.075.5169.5+18.5100%
Season away (5)88.889.2178.0-0.460%
Last 10 (10)92.287.9180.1+4.350%
Last 5 (5)90.687.0177.6+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.794.1179.9-8.414%
vs Similar ◀ (18)89.685.3174.9+4.267%
vs Weaker (5)93.676.8170.4+16.880%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
FC PortoBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/11
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A07/12
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H17/12
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A11/01
LPB
80.8Avg total
43.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.776.7+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.636.075.6+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)40.437.277.6+3.159%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.080.8+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.231.477.6+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.871.5+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.741.180.9-1.429%-
vs Weaker (18)40.834.875.6+6.078%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/12
ACB
Maroussi
#12
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H15/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A22/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H29/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A02/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/01
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/01
ACB
86.3Avg total
42.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.881.4+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.037.580.5+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.342.182.4-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.486.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.686.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.143.780.9-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.138.679.7+2.567%-
vs Weaker (5)50.038.488.4+11.680%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.6
55.8%
52.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
34.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
72.6%12.9
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.0
55.8%
52.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.9
38.2%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
72.6%15.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLWWWWLWLW
Basket Zaragoza
LWLLWLWLWW
#7
League position
#13
+11.5
Net rating
+5.1
112.7
Offensive rating
119.8
101.2
Defensive rating
114.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
56.4%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.5%
3-point %
38.2%
64.6%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 119.8Defence101.2 · 114.7Shooting52.3% · 56.4%3-point %31.5% · 38.2%Ball care14.7% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 34.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ FC Porto   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
03/12/24Basket Zaragoza v FC Porto86-70
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ACD Povoa93-53
08/01/25AMaroussi81-82
04/01/25AGalitos Barreiro93-80
21/12/24ACA Queluz81-62
17/12/24HCA Queluz89-75
14/12/24HEsgueira94-83
11/12/24HTofas87-95
07/12/24AGalomar80-66
03/12/24ABasket Zaragoza70-86
30/11/24ASporting CP87-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HManresa92-93
08/01/25ATofas97-83
04/01/25AUnicaja71-85
02/01/25ATenerife97-106
29/12/24HBasquet Girona96-68
22/12/24AGran Canaria94-96
15/12/24HBarcelona108-95
11/12/24AMaroussi95-104
07/12/24AMoraBanc Andorra86-79
03/12/24HFC Porto86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game81.785.878.4
Allowed / game76.972.080.8
Point differential+4.8+13.8-2.4
Avg total158.6157.8159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game91.194.088.8
Allowed / game83.175.589.2
Point differential+8.0+18.5-0.4
Avg total174.2169.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao11110100%87.966.5+21.5
2 Ludwigsburg98189%81.466.7+14.8
3 Cholet98189%91.676.9+14.7
4 Tofas98189%95.684.0+11.6
5 PAOK98189%82.474.4+8.0
6 Basket Zaragoza97278%91.183.1+8.0
7 Maroussi118373%87.579.3+8.3
8 Sassari96367%83.673.6+10.0
9 BC Kalev/Cramo96367%83.376.3+7.0
10 CSM Oradea96367%80.174.0+6.1
11 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
12 Dijon117464%91.979.4+12.5
13 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
14 Fribourg Olympic106460%87.178.8+8.3
15 Anwil Wloclawek95456%88.276.0+12.2
16 Le Portel95456%78.872.3+6.4
17 FC Porto95456%81.776.9+4.8
18 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
19 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
20 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
21 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
22 Spirou Charleroi126650%78.180.9-2.8
23 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
24 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2522182186
Basket Zaragoza2116241475
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