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FC Porto vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-83
29-19 16-21 25-25 24-18
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game85.7
PortugalLPBRound 8· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · FC Porto v Esgueira
23 Jan 2027
POR v ESGU
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
POR85
ESGU86
14 Dec 2024
POR94
ESGU83
27 Oct 2023
POR106
ESGU82
27 Jan 2023
POR94
ESGU73
13 Nov 2020
POR91
ESGU78
10 Nov 2019
POR76
ESGU70
05 Mar 2019
POR98
ESGU64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
88-71
88
71
+17
78avg 74
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 74
A02/11
LPB
PAOK
#9
W
99-64
99
64
+35
100avg 74
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#4
W
98-95
98
95
+3
96avg 74
H09/11
LPB
Limburg
#26
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 74
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#7
W
93-79
93
79
+14
87avg 74
A16/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
85avg 74
A30/11
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
70-86
70
86
-16
56avg 74
A03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 74
A07/12
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
72avg 74
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-17
26-16
21-18
19-15
17-18
19-22
22-27
22-6
20-17
30-12
27-29
21-20
21-27
23-23
33-25
15-16
16-25
24-20
28-15
23-14
14-26
32-20
24-19
26-22
12-21
26-22
23-18
11-15
27-25
13-21
19-25
24-17
23-15
13-20
20-14
20-29
19-29
23-20
25-17
165.9Avg total
86.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.678.4164.0+7.186%
Season at home (3)87.379.7167.0+7.7100%
Season away (4)84.277.5161.8+6.875%
Last 10 (10)86.279.7165.9+6.570%
Last 5 (5)83.481.8165.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.281.8152.0-11.50%
vs Similar (9)81.679.8161.3+1.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.970.4153.3+12.694%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 65
A13/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
H20/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
78avg 65
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 65
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
53avg 65
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 65
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
72avg 65
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 65
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
63avg 65
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 65
H07/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
24-23
15-16
19-24
24-8
22-18
25-16
18-19
34-21
19-23
18-20
17-18
12-19
21-20
17-20
32-22
18-15
19-16
15-22
22-28
18-12
20-23
24-21
20-23
19-19
23-27
17-25
26-22
18-18
23-27
21-21
15-27
25-22
8-23
28-16
12-12
18-21
30-20
27-27
25-23
166.5Avg total
83.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.485.7169.1-2.357%
Season at home (4)85.286.5171.8-1.250%
Season away (3)81.084.7165.7-3.767%
Last 10 (10)83.483.1166.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)85.687.6173.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.986.5158.4-14.625%
vs Similar (10)79.978.3158.2+1.660%
vs Weaker (3)84.377.3161.7+7.033%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
FC PortoEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/11
LPB
PAOK
#9
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H09/11
LPB
Limburg
#26
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/11
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A07/12
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
78.5Avg total
39.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.076.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.035.974.9+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.177.8+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.478.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.682.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.871.5+0.050%-
vs Similar (9)38.439.678.0-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.335.575.8+4.869%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H20/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/12
LPB
81.0Avg total
41.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.577.7-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.840.979.7-2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)35.439.975.4-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.081.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.482.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.143.677.6-9.519%-
vs Similar (10)40.737.177.8+3.670%-
vs Weaker (3)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.923.4
58.6%
51.2%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.4
30.8%
32.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.513.2
64.4%
69.2%13.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.6
52.3%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.8
35.5%
32.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.914.4
68.9%
69.2%14.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
LWLWWWWWLW
Esgueira
WWLLWLWWWL
#2
League position
#8
+8.1
Net rating
-0.4
113.6
Offensive rating
107.3
105.5
Defensive rating
107.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.4%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.8%
3-point %
35.5%
58.5%
Assist %
58.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 107.3Defence105.5 · 107.7Shooting53.6% · 52.7%3-point %30.8% · 35.5%Ball care15.1% · 14.4%Off. rebounds35.7% · 22.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ FC Porto   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
FC Porto wins
0
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Esgueira v FC Porto45-104
27/10/23FC Porto v Esgueira106-82
27/01/23FC Porto v Esgueira94-73
04/12/22Esgueira v FC Porto83-87
27/03/21Esgueira v FC Porto64-96
05/03/21Esgueira v FC Porto72-73
13/11/20FC Porto v Esgueira91-78
08/02/20Esgueira v FC Porto73-76
10/11/19FC Porto v Esgueira76-70
05/03/19FC Porto v Esgueira98-64
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HTofas87-95
07/12/24AGalomar80-66
03/12/24ABasket Zaragoza70-86
30/11/24ASporting CP87-83
16/11/24AImortal93-79
12/11/24ALimburg83-76
09/11/24HOliveirense98-95
06/11/24HPAOK99-64
02/11/24ABenfica77-82
30/10/24ASzolnoki Olaj88-71
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HImortal100-91
30/11/24ACD Povoa84-82 OT
16/11/24AOliveirense77-93
09/11/24HBenfica85-93
02/11/24AVitoria82-79
26/10/24HGalitos Barreiro74-81
20/10/24HSporting CP82-81
27/04/24ACD Povoa88-82
20/04/24HLusitania89-61
13/04/24ASporting CP73-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game85.687.384.2
Allowed / game78.479.777.5
Point differential+7.1+7.7+6.8
Avg total164.0167.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game83.485.281.0
Allowed / game85.786.584.7
Point differential-2.3-1.2-3.7
Avg total169.1171.8165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica880100%93.576.0+17.5
2 FC Porto76186%85.678.4+7.1
3 Sporting CP86275%84.874.5+10.2
4 Oliveirense85362%90.081.6+8.4
5 Ovarense85362%77.677.2+0.4
6 Esgueira74357%83.485.7-2.3
7 Vitoria73443%77.178.9-1.7
8 Galitos Barreiro83538%76.278.4-2.1
9 CD Povoa72529%72.975.1-2.3
10 CA Queluz82625%85.293.1-7.9
11 Galomar81712%73.683.9-10.2
12 Imortal81712%73.190.1-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2916252494
Esgueira1921251883
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