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FC Porto vs CA Queluz Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game94.0
PortugalLPBRound 12· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · FC Porto v CA Queluz
29 Dec 2026
POR v CA Q
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
POR99
CA Q94
13 Apr 2025
POR93
CA Q80
17 Dec 2024
POR89
CA Q75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · FC Porto
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.6
88.2▲ 0.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.4
82.2▲ 2.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
57%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.9
18.4▼ 1.5
🔥 Form · CA Queluz
4.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.5
85.2▲ 0.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 91.1
87.8▼ 3.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
55%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.9
18.8▼ 0.1
FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
A09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H12/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H14/06
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
110-93
110
93
+17
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#25
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#3
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H25/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
15-23
19-28
27-15
31-24
24-31
19-22
20-17
27-13
20-22
17-14
23-14
18-17
19-18
18-22
20-14
26-20
28-23
29-28
27-22
16-25
16-18
16-19
26-16
16-26
24-19
32-27
21-14
25-27
24-19
22-14
24-31
22-16
25-13
16-27
23-18
26-15
22-20
18-21
27-26
171.3Avg total
88.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.888.0185.8+9.8100%
Season at home (2)93.084.0177.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)102.592.0194.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.882.5171.3+6.380%
Last 5 (5)88.282.2170.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.078.6163.6+6.480%
vs Similar (7)83.380.0163.3+3.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.179.4169.4+10.778%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
A14/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
110-114
110
114
-4
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
94-99
94
99
-5
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
105-74
105
74
+31
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
93-110
93
110
-17
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
13-30
13-24
21-25
33-36
27-26
32-29
18-23
19-27
26-30
16-22
33-20
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
25-16
13-16
14-24
22-17
13-12
18-19
27-26
11-26
27-16
22-17
21-24
35-17
20-26
23-28
28-29
22-27
28-20
18-18
22-24
19-21
20-22
29-22
10-18
13-27
177.8Avg total
86.3Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.094.0178.0-10.033%
Season at home (2)82.599.5182.0-17.00%
Season away (1)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.391.5177.8-5.240%
Last 5 (5)85.287.8173.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.993.8173.7-13.99%
vs Similar (14)82.183.2165.3-1.150%
vs Weaker (5)93.083.8176.8+9.260%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
FC PortoCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H12/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/06
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#25
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/10
LPB
84.8Avg total
43.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.740.886.6+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.738.284.9+8.587%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.588.3+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.284.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.682.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.041.881.8-1.840%-
vs Similar (7)43.644.988.4-1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)48.239.087.2+9.289%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A14/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
LPB
89.5Avg total
44.0Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.487.2-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.844.488.2-0.631%-
Last 30 away (14)41.744.386.0-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.589.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.083.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.947.988.8-7.027%-
vs Similar (14)42.842.184.9+0.636%-
vs Weaker (5)47.242.890.0+4.460%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.4
51.1%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.5
36.4%
31.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
70.6%14.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.2
50.0%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.1
36.3%
31.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.1
74.2%
70.6%18.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWLWWWWL
CA Queluz
LWLWLWWLLL
#1
League position
#9
+7.4
Net rating
-5.8
98.2
Offensive rating
94.3
90.8
Defensive rating
100.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.4%
3-point %
36.3%
62.1%
Assist %
68.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 94.3Defence90.8 · 100.1Shooting52.7% · 51.7%3-point %36.4% · 36.3%Ball care14.2% · 14.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FC Porto wins
0
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
02/10/26CA Queluz v FC Porto93-110
29/03/26FC Porto v CA Queluz99-94
06/12/25CA Queluz v FC Porto97-103
13/04/25FC Porto v CA Queluz93-80
21/12/24CA Queluz v FC Porto62-81
17/12/24FC Porto v CA Queluz89-75
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HCAB Madeira93-82
21/10/26ABnei Herzliya86-74
16/10/26AEsgueira95-91
11/10/26HBenfica93-86
07/10/26ABonn74-78
02/10/26ACA Queluz110-93
14/06/26HBenfica75-71
12/06/26HBenfica87-63
09/06/26ABenfica102-98 OT
07/06/26ABenfica73-89
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBenfica72-89
17/10/26APortimonense87-83
02/10/26HFC Porto93-110
25/04/26HGalitos Barreiro105-74
18/04/26ASporting CP69-83
11/04/26AOvarense74-73
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84
29/03/26AFC Porto94-99
21/03/26HVasco Da Gama110-114
14/03/26ABenfica68-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.893.0102.5
Allowed / game88.084.092.0
Point differential+9.8+9.0+10.5
Avg total185.8177.0194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CA Queluz
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game84.082.587.0
Allowed / game94.099.583.0
Point differential-10.0-17.0+4.0
Avg total178.0182.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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