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FC Porto vs CA Queluz Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game91.7
PortugalLPBRound 12· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · FC Porto v CA Queluz
29 Dec 2026
POR v CA Q
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
POR99
CA Q94
13 Apr 2025
POR93
CA Q80
17 Dec 2024
POR89
CA Q75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 80
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 80
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
80avg 80
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 80
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 80
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 80
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 80
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
A13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
28-23
29-28
27-22
16-25
16-18
16-19
26-16
16-26
24-19
32-27
21-14
25-27
24-19
22-14
24-31
22-16
25-13
16-27
23-18
26-15
22-20
18-21
27-26
12-23
24-15
20-17
20-23
17-14
6-26
16-11
25-30
20-21
29-29
15-13
17-13
23-16
26-10
23-17
21-22
166.9Avg total
86.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.681.6173.1+10.086%
Season at home (3)89.081.3170.3+7.7100%
Season away (4)93.581.8175.2+11.875%
Last 10 (10)86.580.4166.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.476.4157.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.079.8161.8+2.262%
vs Similar (7)81.978.6160.4+3.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.678.3169.9+13.387%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 78
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 78
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
52avg 78
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 78
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
80avg 78
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 78
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
54avg 78
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 78
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
25-16
13-16
14-24
22-17
13-12
18-19
27-26
11-26
27-16
22-17
21-24
35-17
20-26
23-28
28-29
22-27
28-20
18-18
22-24
19-21
20-22
29-22
10-18
13-27
23-24
26-29
34-13
21-27
20-18
23-18
20-30
27-20
20-14
24-23
26-24
11-28
173.0Avg total
86.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.891.7179.5-3.850%
Season at home (3)85.095.0180.0-10.033%
Season away (3)90.788.3179.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)86.686.4173.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)86.888.0174.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.093.5173.5-13.59%
vs Similar (13)83.183.8166.8-0.754%
vs Weaker (6)97.089.2186.2+7.867%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.2-2.2
FC PortoCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A13/11
LPB
82.2Avg total
42.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.685.2+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.939.484.3+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.886.1+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.582.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.942.179.0-5.225%-
vs Similar (7)45.444.990.3+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.337.886.1+10.593%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A14/11
LPB
84.2Avg total
43.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.644.688.2-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.445.589.9-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.786.5-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.584.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.646.488.0-4.736%-
vs Similar (13)42.242.784.9-0.531%-
vs Weaker (6)50.045.795.7+4.367%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.4
49.6%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.5
36.5%
31.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
71.1%14.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.2
52.7%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
31.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.0
74.1%
71.1%18.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLLWWWWLW
CA Queluz
LWWLWLWLWW
#2
League position
#8
+6.5
Net rating
+0.7
95.9
Offensive rating
98.7
89.5
Defensive rating
98.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.5%
3-point %
36.4%
60.2%
Assist %
63.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 98.7Defence89.5 · 98.0Shooting52.0% · 53.4%3-point %36.5% · 36.4%Ball care14.8% · 13.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ FC Porto   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FC Porto wins
0
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
02/10/26CA Queluz v FC Porto93-110
29/03/26FC Porto v CA Queluz99-94
06/12/25CA Queluz v FC Porto97-103
13/04/25FC Porto v CA Queluz93-80
21/12/24CA Queluz v FC Porto62-81
17/12/24FC Porto v CA Queluz89-75
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AVitoria93-65
08/11/26HBraga81-76
03/11/26HJoventut Badalona64-81
31/10/26AOvarense76-78
25/10/26HCAB Madeira93-82
21/10/26ABnei Herzliya86-74
16/10/26AEsgueira95-91
11/10/26HBenfica93-86
07/10/26ABonn74-78
02/10/26ACA Queluz110-93
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOvarense81-89
07/11/26HCAB Madeira90-86
31/10/26AEsgueira104-93
24/10/26HBenfica72-89
17/10/26APortimonense87-83
02/10/26HFC Porto93-110
25/04/26HGalitos Barreiro105-74
18/04/26ASporting CP69-83
11/04/26AOvarense74-73
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game91.689.093.5
Allowed / game81.681.381.8
Point differential+10.0+7.7+11.8
Avg total173.1170.3175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CA Queluz
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game87.885.090.7
Allowed / game91.795.088.3
Point differential-3.8-10.0+2.3
Avg total179.5180.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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