FC Porto vs Illiabum Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 17:00

Postponed

Position#3

Record18-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game75.0

FC Porto

Illiabum

Position#12

Record6-16

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game79.9

LPBRound 25

Other2019-20

Meetings · FC Porto v Illiabum

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Illiabum win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC Porto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

84-88 OT

-4

A05/01

LPB

Maia

#13

102-80

102

+22

H11/01

LPB

Benfica

69-80

-11

A25/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

85-64

+21

H01/02

LPB

Esgueira

76-73

A08/02

LPB

Illiabum

66-61

A10/02

Taca de Portugal

Vitoria

99-86

+13

H15/02

LPB

Barreirense

#11

85-77

A28/02

LPB

Galitos Barreiro

65-62

A01/03

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

78-90

-12

H08/03

LPB

22-15

19-14

21-25

17-25

19-13

25-21

31-25

27-21

15-21

20-13

18-23

16-23

17-13

27-14

22-19

19-18

25-20

19-14

13-19

19-20

18-20

15-14

4-14

29-13

18-27

24-22

34-20

23-17

20-16

20-17

13-26

32-18

13-14

24-10

19-18

9-20

26-24

15-20

14-28

23-18

157.0Avg total

80.9Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	86.6	75.0	161.6	+11.7	82%
Season at home (11)	88.0	77.7	165.7	+10.3	82%
Season away (11)	85.3	72.2	157.5	+13.1	82%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	76.1	157.0	+4.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	75.2	153.8	+3.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.0	82.4	157.4	-7.4	20%
vs Similar (3)	74.7	74.3	149.0	+0.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	89.0	73.9	162.9	+15.1	95%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

66-73

-7

H28/12

LPB

Terceira

#14

125-74

125

+51

A04/01

LPB

Galitos

85-90 OT

-5

H11/01

LPB

Ovarense

87-91 OT

-4

A25/01

LPB

Maia

#13

93-60

+33

H01/02

LPB

Benfica

52-75

-23

A08/02

LPB

FC Porto

61-66

-5

H10/02

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

78-83

-5

H15/02

LPB

Esgueira

62-81

-19

A29/02

LPB

Vitoria

64-77

-13

H07/03

LPB

17-21

12-22

19-16

18-14

29-17

33-18

28-26

35-13

19-19

22-19

9-17

19-14

13-23

26-16

21-14

13-20

16-10

19-18

25-8

33-24

13-19

12-12

12-29

15-15

20-18

14-15

14-4

13-29

17-20

18-22

21-20

22-21

7-33

12-16

16-15

27-17

12-22

26-18

14-19

12-18

154.3Avg total

77.3Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	75.7	79.9	155.6	-4.2	27%
Season at home (11)	74.8	76.3	151.1	-1.5	27%
Season away (11)	76.6	83.5	160.2	-6.9	27%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	77.0	154.3	+0.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	63.4	76.4	139.8	-13.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	69.6	84.8	154.4	-15.1	7%
vs Similar (10)	77.9	83.2	161.1	-5.3	40%
vs Weaker (5)	89.6	71.0	160.6	+18.6	60%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoIlliabum

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.0	40.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	18.3	38.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.6	18.6	41.1	+4.0	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	22.8	39.2	-6.4	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.2	36.5	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	22.4	36.2	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.1	22.8	38.9	-6.6	7%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	22.3	39.8	-4.8	10%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	16.0	36.0	+4.1	83%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	15.2	35.4	+4.9	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	15.9	36.7	+4.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	80%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	15.3	35.7	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.5	15.8	36.4	+4.7	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.3	39.3	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	16.6	33.0	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.1	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	60%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

41-29

+12

A05/01

LPB

Maia

#13

44-34

+10

H11/01

LPB

Benfica

35-34

A25/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

44-27

+17

H01/02

LPB

Esgueira

44-34

+10

A08/02

LPB

Illiabum

33-34

-1

A10/02

Taca de Portugal

Vitoria

42-49

-7

H15/02

LPB

Barreirense

#11

40-33

A28/02

LPB

Galitos Barreiro

37-24

+13

A01/03

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

41-44

-3

H08/03

LPB

74.3Avg total

40.1Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	34.9	76.3	+6.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	36.1	77.2	+5.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	33.9	75.4	+7.6	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	34.2	74.3	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.8	75.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.6	37.2	73.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	33.7	74.3	+7.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.0	34.4	77.4	+8.6	90%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

29-43

-14

H28/12

LPB

Terceira

#14

62-35

+27

A04/01

LPB

Galitos

41-38

H11/01

LPB

Ovarense

39-39

A25/01

LPB

Maia

#13

35-28

H01/02

LPB

Benfica

25-31

-6

A08/02

LPB

FC Porto

34-33

H10/02

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

35-42

-7

H15/02

LPB

Esgueira

19-49

-30

A29/02

LPB

Vitoria

38-40

-2

H07/03

LPB

73.5Avg total

35.7Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	41.6	77.4	-5.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.2	40.1	76.3	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	43.1	78.5	-7.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	37.8	73.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	39.0	69.2	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.2	41.9	76.1	-7.7	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.1	44.1	80.2	-8.0	10%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.8	37.6	77.4	+2.2	60%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.2	41.6	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	20.9	44.5	+2.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.6	39.1	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	23.0	39.3	-6.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.9	19.6	42.5	+3.4	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	16.8	34.7	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	17.4	32.8	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	14.9	20.9	35.9	-6.0	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.9	43.6	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.2	40.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	17.7	35.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.3	40.2	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.1	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (5)	28.0	14.6	42.6	+13.4	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.5	82.6	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.3	41.8	88.1	+4.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.3	37.6	77.9	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	45.2	83.6	-6.8	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	34.0	40.7	74.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.8	39.0	84.8	+6.7	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.4	77.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	37.0	74.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	39.8	79.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	35.3	73.9	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	37.4	70.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.3	41.4	75.6	-7.1	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.4	37.3	77.7	+3.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	49.8	33.4	83.2	+16.4	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Illiabum wins

Date	Game	Score
10/02/20	Illiabum v FC Porto	61-66
14/12/19	Illiabum v FC Porto	63-84
02/03/19	Illiabum v FC Porto	90-76
24/11/18	FC Porto v Illiabum	97-68
18/05/18	Illiabum v FC Porto	57-101
13/05/18	FC Porto v Illiabum	94-75
11/05/18	FC Porto v Illiabum	102-92
27/04/18	Illiabum v FC Porto	83-99
31/03/18	FC Porto v Illiabum	111-104
16/12/17	Illiabum v FC Porto	72-80

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Oliveirense	78-90
01/03/20	A	Galitos Barreiro	65-62
28/02/20	A	Barreirense	85-77
15/02/20	H	Vitoria	99-86
10/02/20	A	Illiabum	66-61
08/02/20	A	Esgueira	76-73
01/02/20	H	Lusitania	85-64
25/01/20	A	Benfica	69-80
11/01/20	H	Maia	102-80
05/01/20	A	Ovarense	84-88 OT

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	H	Vitoria	64-77
29/02/20	A	Esgueira	62-81
15/02/20	H	Lusitania	78-83
10/02/20	H	FC Porto	61-66
08/02/20	A	Benfica	52-75
01/02/20	H	Maia	93-60
25/01/20	A	Ovarense	87-91 OT
11/01/20	H	Galitos	85-90 OT
04/01/20	A	Terceira	125-74
28/12/19	H	CAB Madeira	66-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	82%
Home	WWWWL	82%
Away	WLLWW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	82%	82%	82%
Points / game	86.6	88.0	85.3
Allowed / game	75.0	77.7	72.2
Point differential	+11.7	+10.3	+13.1
Avg total	161.6	165.7	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	55%	55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Illiabum

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	27%
Home	LLWLL	27%
Away	LWLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	27%	27%	27%
Points / game	75.7	74.8	76.6
Allowed / game	79.9	76.3	83.5
Point differential	-4.2	-1.5	-6.9
Avg total	155.6	151.1	160.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	18%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	9%	9%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	22	21	1	95%	93.4	70.2	+23.2
2	Benfica	22	20	2	91%	89.8	71.0	+18.8
3	FC Porto	22	18	4	82%	86.6	75.0	+11.7
4	Oliveirense	22	14	8	64%	83.9	75.6	+8.3
5	Vitoria	22	14	8	64%	81.6	78.5	+3.2
6	Galitos	22	11	11	50%	82.8	82.0	+0.8
7	CAB Madeira	22	10	12	45%	79.2	83.1	-4.0
8	Esgueira	22	9	13	41%	79.2	76.7	+2.5
9	Ovarense	22	9	13	41%	77.2	81.2	-4.0
10	Lusitania	22	9	13	41%	78.6	84.0	-5.4
11	Barreirense	22	7	15	32%	75.5	85.5	-10.0
12	Illiabum	22	6	16	27%	75.7	79.9	-4.2
13	Maia	22	6	16	27%	77.4	87.1	-9.7
14	Terceira	22	0	22	0%	71.4	102.7	-31.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

FC Porto vs Illiabum Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature