FC Porto vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 85-64

17-13 27-14 22-19 19-18

Position#3

Record14-3

FormWWLWL

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game74.1

FC Porto 🏆

Lusitania

Position#10

Record7-10

FormWWLLW

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game84.1

LPBRound 18

Other2019-20

Meetings · FC Porto v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC Porto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

97-76

+21

H23/11

LPB

Oliveirense

81-71

+10

A29/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

85-59

+26

A01/12

LPB

Sporting CP

78-89

-11

H08/12

LPB

Illiabum

#12

84-63

+21

A14/12

LPB

Terceira

#14

92-65

+27

H21/12

LPB

Galitos

85-69

+16

H28/12

LPB

Ovarense

84-88 OT

-4

A05/01

LPB

Maia

#13

102-80

102

+22

H11/01

LPB

Benfica

69-80

-11

A25/01

LPB

29-19

25-20

23-16

20-21

22-17

22-16

16-23

21-15

26-16

18-9

20-17

21-17

23-19

14-19

19-24

22-27

19-17

16-16

27-11

22-19

21-23

16-7

24-9

31-26

21-23

15-11

27-17

22-18

22-15

19-14

21-25

17-25

19-13

25-21

31-25

27-21

15-21

20-13

18-23

16-23

159.7Avg total

85.7Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	87.2	74.1	161.3	+13.2	82%
Season at home (8)	88.2	76.9	165.1	+11.4	88%
Season away (9)	86.3	71.6	157.9	+14.8	78%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	74.0	159.7	+11.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	76.4	162.8	+10.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	77.1	81.4	158.6	-4.3	43%
vs Similar (1)	81.0	71.0	152.0	+10.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	90.5	74.2	164.8	+16.3	95%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terceira

#14

111-88

111

+23

A23/11

LPB

Galitos

70-96

-26

A29/11

LPB

Ovarense

70-76

-6

A01/12

LPB

Maia

#13

87-90

-3

H07/12

LPB

Benfica

60-103

103

-43

H14/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

86-83

H21/12

LPB

Esgueira

73-70

A28/12

LPB

Vitoria

79-92

-13

H04/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

75-87

-12

A11/01

LPB

Oliveirense

80-69

+11

H25/01

LPB

27-16

32-29

33-26

19-17

11-31

25-24

15-24

19-17

18-19

14-27

14-13

24-17

26-18

25-14

8-35

28-23

17-25

14-28

13-21

16-29

32-22

20-25

10-21

24-15

25-16

19-15

14-14

15-25

18-18

26-24

20-30

15-20

18-31

22-17

22-20

13-19

30-16

14-15

18-20

18-18

164.5Avg total

79.1Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	77.9	84.1	161.9	-6.2	41%
Season at home (9)	80.1	84.6	164.7	-4.4	44%
Season away (8)	75.4	83.5	158.9	-8.1	38%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	85.4	164.5	-6.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	80.2	158.8	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	73.5	88.0	161.6	-14.5	24%
vs Similar (3)	87.3	79.3	166.7	+8.0	67%
vs Weaker (6)	89.3	78.3	167.7	+11.0	67%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.3	41.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.4	39.6	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	22.6	40.4	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.3	18.2	41.5	+5.1	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.6	45.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	26.3	21.0	47.3	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	16.3	35.9	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	16.1	35.8	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	14.6	33.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	13.2	32.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	57%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.1	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.5	17.7	43.2	+7.8	100%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

54-39

+15

H23/11

LPB

Oliveirense

44-33

+11

A29/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

44-25

+19

A01/12

LPB

Sporting CP

37-38

-1

H08/12

LPB

Illiabum

#12

35-33

A14/12

LPB

Terceira

#14

37-30

H21/12

LPB

Galitos

36-34

H28/12

LPB

Ovarense

41-29

+12

A05/01

LPB

Maia

#13

44-34

+10

H11/01

LPB

Benfica

35-34

A25/01

LPB

73.6Avg total

40.7Scored

32.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	35.6	77.0	+5.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	35.0	75.6	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.2	36.1	78.3	+6.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	32.9	73.6	+7.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	32.2	70.8	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.9	39.6	74.4	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	44.0	33.0	77.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	43.5	34.2	77.8	+9.3	90%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terceira

#14

59-45

+14

A23/11

LPB

Galitos

36-55

-19

A29/11

LPB

Ovarense

32-46

-14

A01/12

LPB

Maia

#13

51-32

+19

H07/12

LPB

Benfica

31-53

-22

H14/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

52-47

H21/12

LPB

Esgueira

44-31

+13

A28/12

LPB

Vitoria

44-42

H04/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

40-48

-8

A11/01

LPB

Oliveirense

44-31

+13

H25/01

LPB

86.3Avg total

43.3Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.6	81.7	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	41.4	83.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	41.7	79.5	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	43.0	86.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	39.8	84.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.2	42.4	79.6	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	47.3	44.0	91.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	47.0	37.3	84.3	+9.7	83%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.4	43.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.3	20.8	46.1	+4.5	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	20.1	41.6	+1.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.8	44.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	57%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.6	20.2	43.8	+3.4	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	22.5	40.9	-4.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	22.5	40.3	-4.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	22.5	41.5	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	22.4	39.1	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	14%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.7	17.3	33.0	-1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	23.7	44.7	-2.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	17.7	38.2	+2.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.2	43.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	19.9	39.1	-0.6	43%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.5	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.5	40.5	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.9	39.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	18.0	42.3	+6.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	17.3	38.7	+4.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	39.5	84.6	+5.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.5	41.5	90.0	+7.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	37.8	79.9	+4.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	40.2	84.7	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	42.4	89.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	42.3	41.9	84.1	+0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (1)	37.0	38.0	75.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	46.1	39.2	85.4	+6.9	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	43.2	80.9	-5.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	43.0	80.9	-5.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	43.5	80.9	-6.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	42.4	78.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	40.4	74.2	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	10%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.0	35.3	75.3	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.3	41.0	83.3	+1.3	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/19	Lusitania v FC Porto	75-96
20/04/19	Lusitania v FC Porto	79-85 OT
24/03/19	FC Porto v Lusitania	103-70
16/03/19	Lusitania v FC Porto	71-88
19/01/19	FC Porto v Lusitania	90-85
27/10/18	Lusitania v FC Porto	85-78
17/02/18	FC Porto v Lusitania	100-65
29/10/17	Lusitania v FC Porto	84-93
07/01/17	FC Porto v Lusitania	92-83
22/10/16	Lusitania v FC Porto	68-92

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/20	A	Benfica	69-80
11/01/20	H	Maia	102-80
05/01/20	A	Ovarense	84-88 OT
28/12/19	H	Galitos	85-69
21/12/19	H	Terceira	92-65
14/12/19	A	Illiabum	84-63
08/12/19	H	Sporting CP	78-89
01/12/19	A	CAB Madeira	85-59
29/11/19	A	Oliveirense	81-71
23/11/19	H	Barreirense	97-76

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/20	H	Oliveirense	80-69
11/01/20	A	Barreirense	75-87
04/01/20	H	Vitoria	79-92
28/12/19	A	Esgueira	73-70
21/12/19	H	CAB Madeira	86-83
14/12/19	H	Benfica	60-103
07/12/19	H	Maia	87-90
01/12/19	A	Ovarense	70-76
29/11/19	A	Galitos	70-96
23/11/19	A	Terceira	111-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	82%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	WWWLL	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	82%	88%	78%
Points / game	87.2	88.2	86.3
Allowed / game	74.1	76.9	71.6
Point differential	+13.2	+11.4	+14.8
Avg total	161.3	165.1	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Lusitania

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	41%
Home	LLWLW	44%
Away	WLLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	41%	44%	38%
Points / game	77.9	80.1	75.4
Allowed / game	84.1	84.6	83.5
Point differential	-6.2	-4.4	-8.1
Avg total	161.9	164.7	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	33%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	18	17	1	94%	93.1	68.8	+24.3
2	Benfica	18	16	2	89%	88.6	71.0	+17.6
3	FC Porto	17	14	3	82%	87.2	74.1	+13.2
4	Vitoria	18	12	6	67%	81.1	76.8	+4.3
5	Oliveirense	17	11	6	65%	83.4	74.5	+8.9
6	Galitos	18	9	9	50%	82.4	82.1	+0.3
7	Esgueira	17	7	10	41%	78.1	76.2	+1.8
8	Lusitania	17	7	10	41%	77.9	84.1	-6.2
9	CAB Madeira	18	7	11	39%	78.8	83.9	-5.1
10	Barreirense	18	7	11	39%	76.7	84.7	-8.0
11	Illiabum	18	6	12	33%	78.3	80.1	-1.8
12	Ovarense	18	6	12	33%	75.7	82.3	-6.6
13	Maia	18	5	13	28%	75.4	88.2	-12.7
14	Terceira	18	0	18	0%	71.2	100.3	-29.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FC Porto	17	27	22	19	85
Lusitania	13	14	19	18	64

← all games of the day

FC Porto vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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