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FC Porto vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 68-55
16-7 12-18 17-14 23-16
Position#22
Record2-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#14
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game73.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#37
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H11/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H15/10
LPB
Mornar Bar
#14
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A21/10
LPB
Kataja
#39
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Terceira
#9
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#7
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A29/10
LPB
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos
#6
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H04/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
22-14
20-25
13-28
21-24
25-15
17-27
20-19
21-18
14-26
27-29
16-20
24-23
12-18
16-25
18-15
23-17
18-18
12-20
18-22
19-25
20-20
21-20
24-23
23-16
14-23
26-16
18-20
24-23
23-18
26-22
20-21
16-16
25-30
20-26
24-12
24-11
28-26
15-15
16-15
161.8Avg total
80.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.080.6158.6-2.640%
Season at home (2)84.084.5168.5-0.550%
Season away (3)74.078.0152.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)80.481.4161.8-1.040%
Last 5 (5)85.279.6164.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.279.2154.4-4.020%
vs Weaker (24)83.173.2156.3+10.071%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A01/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H04/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A07/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H14/10
ABA League
FC Porto
#22
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Petrol Olimpija
#7
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A21/10
ABA League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H27/10
ABA League
Kataja
#39
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A05/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
18-28
20-23
27-18
36-22
18-19
17-16
12-24
12-19
20-22
19-21
19-29
17-16
17-16
20-25
19-24
23-24
18-12
25-16
15-18
18-20
13-8
16-12
20-24
19-18
24-14
16-18
16-19
17-21
18-12
21-17
24-20
20-18
14-20
21-26
21-17
18-26
15-16
20-19
17-18
152.6Avg total
75.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.373.3150.7+4.067%
Season at home (1)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)75.575.0150.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)75.277.4152.6-2.250%
Last 5 (5)73.672.6146.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.981.1151.0-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.075.2151.2+0.856%
vs Weaker (6)63.857.2121.0+6.783%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
FC PortoMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#10
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#37
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H15/10
LPB
Mornar Bar
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A21/10
LPB
Kataja
#39
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Terceira
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#7
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/10
LPB
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos
#6
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/11
LPB
81.1Avg total
41.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.975.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.434.875.2+5.681%-
Last 30 away (14)38.837.175.9+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.481.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.044.079.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.838.478.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker (24)39.835.074.9+4.867%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A01/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H04/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H14/10
ABA League
FC Porto
#22
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Petrol Olimpija
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A21/10
ABA League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H27/10
ABA League
Kataja
#39
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A05/11
ABA League
73.7Avg total
36.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.238.075.2-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.538.478.9+2.262%-
Last 30 away (15)34.337.772.1-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.073.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.669.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.143.475.6-11.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.137.477.5+2.760%-
vs Weaker (5)34.630.665.2+4.080%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.7
48.6%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.7
33.8%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.212.9
67.2%
73.3%12.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
18/10/17Mornar Bar v FC Porto81-70
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/17HGalitos83-67
01/11/17HKapfenberg Bulls85-84
29/10/17ALusitania93-84
28/10/17ATerceira81-75
25/10/17AKataja84-88
21/10/17ABenfica71-77
18/10/17AMornar Bar70-81
15/10/17HOliveirense78-93
11/10/17HBnei Herzliya83-85
07/10/17HIlliabum76-80
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/17ABuducnost70-79
01/11/17AKataja76-81
27/10/17HZadar80-70
24/10/17AKapfenberg Bulls75-69
21/10/17APetrol Olimpija67-64
18/10/17HFC Porto81-70
14/10/17HFMP Beograd73-81
07/10/17AMega Bemax70-91
04/10/17HPartizan83-81
01/10/17ACrvena zvezda77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game78.084.074.0
Allowed / game80.684.578.0
Point differential-2.6-0.5-4.0
Avg total158.6168.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
FIBA Europe Cup 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game77.381.075.5
Allowed / game73.370.075.0
Point differential+4.0+11.0+0.5
Avg total150.7151.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kormend880100%83.575.2+8.2
2 Belfius Mons87188%80.668.2+12.4
3 Spirou Charleroi65183%79.070.2+8.8
4 Bakken Bears43175%87.877.0+10.8
5 Keravnos43175%84.574.2+10.2
6 Cluj Napoca43175%86.876.8+10.0
7 Buyukcekmece86275%82.072.6+9.4
8 Kataja43175%84.579.8+4.8
9 Nizhny Novgorod43175%87.583.8+3.8
10 Antwerp Giants43175%83.083.0+0.0
11 Le Portel64267%79.264.2+15.0
12 Szombathely64267%90.584.7+5.8
13 Mornar Bar32167%77.373.3+4.0
14 Szolnoki Olaj85362%86.476.8+9.6
15 Istanbul BB85362%77.473.6+3.8
16 Z-Mobile Prishtina53260%71.271.4-0.2
17 Parma Perm42250%78.071.0+7.0
18 Donar Groningen42250%68.863.2+5.5
19 Nevezis84450%81.976.6+5.2
20 Alba Fehervar42250%75.074.2+0.8
21 Saratov42250%85.285.0+0.2
22 Minsk42250%72.873.0-0.2
23 CSM Oradea21150%75.576.0-0.5
24 Trabzonspor21150%87.588.0-0.5
25 s.Oliver Wurzburg21150%69.070.0-1.0
26 Academic42250%71.875.5-3.8
27 Ostrow Wielkopolski21150%69.574.0-4.5
28 AEK Larnaca21150%72.578.0-5.5
29 Pardubice42250%74.280.5-6.2
30 BC Dnipro21150%78.085.5-7.5
31 Sodertalje21150%69.079.5-10.5
32 Rilski Sportist21150%71.583.5-12.0
33 FC Porto52340%78.080.6-2.6
34 Bnei Herzliya83538%73.074.0-1.0
35 Kapfenberg Bulls41325%78.082.2-4.2
36 Basic-Fit Brussels41325%69.277.5-8.2
37 Benfica41325%79.592.2-12.8
38 Khimik71614%67.079.1-12.1
39 Balkan81712%79.684.2-4.6
40 CSU Sibiu2020%71.078.0-7.0
41 Tartu Ulikool2020%73.080.0-7.0
42 BC Steaua Bucuresti2020%73.582.0-8.5
43 Dinamo Tbilisi4040%64.576.0-11.5
44 Boras2020%66.581.5-15.0
45 Beroe2020%67.583.5-16.0
46 KR Basket2020%69.086.0-17.0
47 KK Bosna4040%63.887.0-23.2
48 Karpos4040%75.098.5-23.5
49 Rabotnicki2020%68.091.5-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1612172368
Mornar Bar718141655
← all games of the day
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