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Crvena zvezda vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-77
19-12 28-18 23-20 18-27
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#4
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeABA LeagueRound 1
Domestic2017
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar
28 Sep 2024
CZV91
MBA72
20 Nov 2023
CZV95
MBA75
10 Dec 2022
CZV93
MBA77
30 Jan 2022
CZV81
MBA74
18 Oct 2020
CZV93
MBA62
17 Nov 2018
CZV104
MBA71
02 Apr 2018
CZV88
MBA69
18 Mar 2018
CZV91
MBA63
01 Oct 2017
CZV88
MBA77
30 Jan 2017
CZV82
MBA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H22/05
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A25/05
Super League
Vrsac
#7
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H28/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#6
W
111-56
111
56
+55
H31/05
Super League
KK Dynamic
#5
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A03/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H06/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A08/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H12/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H16/06
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
16-16
16-10
20-27
17-18
21-16
20-19
15-14
19-4
22-14
18-16
21-21
34-10
24-12
27-23
26-11
23-19
21-18
21-16
20-16
21-21
25-12
16-17
23-20
28-26
19-13
20-27
17-9
23-11
15-13
34-15
22-27
30-18
22-22
19-14
20-22
30-9
16-15
29-18
12-15
152.7Avg total
86.7Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.766.0152.7+20.7100%
Last 5 (5)88.268.8157.0+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)60.070.3130.3-10.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.367.0151.3+17.393%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#1
W
91-63
91
63
+28
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A23/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A27/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H30/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H03/05
Prva A Liga
Partizan
#7
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A22/09
ABA Supercup
Saratov
#8
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A24/09
Champions League
Saratov
#8
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H26/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
31-11
21-14
19-15
18-20
14-17
19-26
13-15
21-8
14-22
21-18
17-14
23-25
17-24
15-21
14-20
21-23
24-19
22-16
15-8
–
–
–
–
26-24
16-23
27-17
22-13
10-27
16-19
21-17
18-19
15-29
16-18
20-17
19-24
6-13
23-28
17-11
16-18
149.2Avg total
74.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.075.2149.2-1.240%
Last 5 (5)72.278.6150.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.578.2148.7-7.720%
vs Similar (13)77.672.6150.2+5.054%
vs Weaker (6)61.858.2120.0+3.767%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.8+9.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
Crvena zvezdaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H22/05
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/05
Super League
Vrsac
#7
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H28/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#6
W
58-22
58
22
+36
H31/05
Super League
KK Dynamic
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H06/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H16/06
Super League
75.4Avg total
45.1Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.532.473.8+9.183%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.030.072.0+12.088%-
Last 30 away (14)40.935.175.9+5.879%-
Last 10 (10)45.130.375.4+14.8100%-
Last 5 (5)45.832.077.8+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)26.035.061.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.232.175.3+11.193%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#1
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A27/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/04
Prva A Liga
Partizan
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A22/09
ABA Supercup
Saratov
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A24/09
Champions League
Saratov
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H26/09
Champions League
78.2Avg total
36.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.337.474.7-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.738.178.8+2.657%-
Last 30 away (14)33.936.670.6-2.743%-
Last 10 (9)36.841.478.2-4.733%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.679.2-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.439.674.0-5.240%-
vs Similar (12)41.737.178.8+4.658%-
vs Weaker (5)31.831.663.4+0.260%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.1
49.1%
52.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.7
32.9%
34.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.814.1
79.2%
74.4%14.1
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.0
49.2%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.8
36.8%
34.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.011.6
72.5%
74.4%11.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWWWW
Mornar Bar
LLLWLWLWLW
#1
League position
#4
+8.9
Net rating
-0.4
102.6
Offensive rating
101.1
93.7
Defensive rating
101.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.9%
3-point %
36.8%
60.5%
Assist %
54.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 101.1Defence93.7 · 101.5Shooting49.2% · 51.5%3-point %32.9% · 36.8%Ball care17.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds25.0% · 22.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crvena zvezda wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
30/01/17Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar82-71
31/10/16Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda59-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/17HFMP Beograd87-57
14/06/17AFMP Beograd91-76
12/06/17HFMP Beograd94-66
08/06/17AMega Bemax84-75
06/06/17HMega Bemax85-70
03/06/17AKK Dynamic85-69
31/05/17HBorac Mozzart111-56
28/05/17HVrsac80-55
25/05/17AMega Bemax73-67
22/05/17HFMP Beograd77-69
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/17HSaratov62-70
24/09/17ASaratov70-88
22/09/17ABuducnost65-82
20/09/17HPartizan91-77
03/05/17HBuducnost73-76
30/04/17HBuducnost82-66
27/04/17ABuducnost69-90
25/04/17HBuducnost73-62
23/04/17ABuducnost64-78
19/04/17ATivat91-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2017
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita110100%74.067.0+7.0
2 Mega Bemax110100%95.088.0+7.0
3 MZT Skopje110100%92.089.0+3.0
4 Buducnost110100%87.085.0+2.0
5 Zadar1010%85.087.0-2.0
6 Partizan1010%89.092.0-3.0
7 Cibona1010%88.095.0-7.0
8 FMP Beograd1010%67.074.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda1928231888
Mornar Bar1218202777
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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