PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mornar Bar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-81
17-16 17-16 20-25 19-24
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4
Domestic2017
Meetings · Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd
08 Dec 2024
MBA76
FBE81
23 Dec 2023
MBA75
FBE77
03 Jan 2023
MBA102
FBE113
22 Jan 2022
MBA82
FBE78
20 Dec 2020
MBA84
FBE74
10 Mar 2019
MBA79
FBE69
14 Oct 2017
MBA73
FBE81
14 Oct 2016
MBA82
FBE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A27/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H30/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H03/05
Prva A Liga
Partizan
#7
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A22/09
ABA Supercup
Saratov
#8
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A24/09
Champions League
Saratov
#8
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H26/09
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A01/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H04/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A07/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
17-24
15-21
14-20
21-23
24-19
22-16
15-8
–
–
–
–
26-24
16-23
27-17
22-13
10-27
16-19
21-17
18-19
15-29
16-18
20-17
19-24
6-13
23-28
17-11
16-18
12-19
18-28
20-23
27-18
36-22
18-19
17-16
12-24
12-19
20-22
19-21
19-29
155.1Avg total
74.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.786.7163.3-10.033%
Season at home (1)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)73.589.5163.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)74.280.9155.1-6.730%
Last 5 (5)72.483.6156.0-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.179.1150.2-8.018%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.276.8155.1+1.454%
vs Weaker (5)61.654.8116.4+6.880%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#6
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A03/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A07/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A12/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H14/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A16/06
Super League
Cedevita
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A20/09
ABA Supercup
Cedevita
#3
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A29/09
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H03/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A07/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
16-16
20-19
18-13
18-14
19-26
31-17
28-34
22-17
21-16
21-20
14-15
11-23
13-15
15-34
27-22
18-30
22-22
14-19
22-20
9-30
15-16
18-29
15-12
22-20
11-21
15-16
20-29
24-17
13-22
12-22
18-13
25-26
26-18
19-17
30-11
20-28
23-17
17-22
24-20
158.6Avg total
76.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.777.7161.3+6.033%
Season at home (1)100.072.0172.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)75.580.5156.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)76.582.1158.6-5.640%
Last 5 (5)75.281.2156.4-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.187.1158.2-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.880.8163.6+2.056%
vs Weaker (9)86.964.3151.2+22.6100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
Mornar BarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A27/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/04
Prva A Liga
Partizan
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A22/09
ABA Supercup
Saratov
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A24/09
Champions League
Saratov
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H26/09
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A01/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H04/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/10
ABA League
81.1Avg total
36.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.138.576.6-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.738.980.6+2.857%-
Last 30 away (14)34.438.172.5-3.643%-
Last 10 (9)36.644.681.1-8.022%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.478.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.040.374.3-6.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.338.982.2+4.458%-
vs Weaker (4)32.530.262.8+2.275%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A03/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A12/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H14/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A16/06
Super League
Cedevita
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/09
ABA Supercup
Cedevita
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A29/09
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/10
ABA League
78.4Avg total
36.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.679.2-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.338.980.1+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)37.840.478.2-2.627%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.778.4-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.080.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.945.380.2-10.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.740.481.1+0.244%-
vs Weaker (9)44.333.477.8+10.989%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.9
47.7%
52.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.3%
34.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.311.1
64.2%
74.4%11.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.8
54.8%
52.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.1
37.0%
34.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
74.4%16.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLLLLWLWL
FMP Beograd
LWLLLLLWWW
#4
League position
#8
-8.0
Net rating
+0.0
97.2
Offensive rating
104.5
105.1
Defensive rating
104.5
49.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
20.3%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.3%
3-point %
37.0%
55.9%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 104.5Defence105.1 · 104.5Shooting49.1% · 55.0%3-point %34.3% · 37.0%Ball care16.8% · 20.3%Off. rebounds23.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mornar Bar wins
1
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
15/01/17FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar92-85
14/10/16Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd82-66
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/17AMega Bemax70-91
04/10/17HPartizan83-81
01/10/17ACrvena zvezda77-88
26/09/17HSaratov62-70
24/09/17ASaratov70-88
22/09/17ABuducnost65-82
20/09/17HPartizan91-77
03/05/17HBuducnost73-76
30/04/17HBuducnost82-66
27/04/17ABuducnost69-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/17APartizan84-87
03/10/17HMZT Skopje100-72
29/09/17ACedevita67-74
20/09/17ACedevita68-86
16/06/17ACrvena zvezda57-87
14/06/17HCrvena zvezda76-91
12/06/17ACrvena zvezda66-94
09/06/17HPartizan78-68
07/06/17APartizan96-91
03/06/17ABorac Mozzart73-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game76.783.073.5
Allowed / game86.781.089.5
Point differential-10.0+2.0-16.0
Avg total163.3164.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.7100.075.5
Allowed / game77.772.080.5
Point differential+6.0+28.0-5.0
Avg total161.3172.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda330100%86.776.7+10.0
2 Cedevita32167%81.775.7+6.0
3 Mega Bemax32167%88.782.7+6.0
4 Buducnost32167%84.081.7+2.3
5 Igokea32167%91.789.3+2.3
6 Partizan42250%90.289.0+1.2
7 FMP Beograd31233%83.777.7+6.0
8 Cibona31233%82.083.7-1.7
9 Petrol Olimpija31233%84.390.3-6.0
10 MZT Skopje31233%81.391.3-10.0
11 Mornar Bar31233%76.786.7-10.0
12 Zadar41325%85.890.8-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1717201973
FMP Beograd1616252481
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.