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Petrol Olimpija vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-67
20-18 8-13 12-16 24-20
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#4
Record1-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game85.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5
Domestic2017
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Mornar Bar
28 Sep 2018
POL87
MBA66
21 Oct 2017
POL64
MBA67
09 Oct 2016
POL81
MBA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H24/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H28/09
Supercup
Igokea
#10
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A05/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H08/10
ABA League
Strasbourg
#16
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A11/10
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
96-74
96
74
+22
A13/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A15/10
ABA League
Banvit
#7
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
A18/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
21-20
10-20
22-16
18-20
24-21
21-19
31-18
26-23
23-22
20-17
25-14
21-13
18-22
23-18
21-30
30-28
16-24
21-23
18-21
29-18
13-25
16-21
15-18
14-17
18-29
10-15
27-22
22-12
24-21
26-21
24-20
25-22
23-24
15-22
23-9
14-26
15-17
20-15
26-17
167.5Avg total
84.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.887.0171.8-2.250%
Season at home (2)84.087.5171.5-3.550%
Season away (2)85.586.5172.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)84.782.8167.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)81.480.6162.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.886.8163.6-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.179.4161.5+2.667%
vs Weaker (6)85.073.3158.3+11.767%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H03/05
Prva A Liga
Partizan
#7
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A22/09
ABA Supercup
Saratov
#8
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A24/09
Champions League
Saratov
#8
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H26/09
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A01/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H04/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A07/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H14/10
ABA League
FC Porto
#22
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
26-24
16-23
27-17
22-13
10-27
16-19
21-17
18-19
15-29
16-18
20-17
19-24
6-13
23-28
17-11
16-18
12-19
18-28
20-23
27-18
36-22
18-19
17-16
12-24
12-19
20-22
19-21
19-29
17-16
17-16
20-25
19-24
23-24
18-12
25-16
15-18
154.9Avg total
74.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.885.2161.0-9.525%
Season at home (2)78.081.0159.0-3.050%
Season away (2)73.589.5163.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)74.580.4154.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)76.882.2159.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.177.8147.9-7.720%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.077.1154.1-0.150%
vs Weaker (5)61.654.8116.4+6.880%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
Petrol OlimpijaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H28/09
Supercup
Igokea
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A05/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/10
ABA League
Strasbourg
#16
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/10
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A13/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A15/10
ABA League
Banvit
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A18/10
Champions League
84.3Avg total
41.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.381.7+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.338.481.7+4.985%-
Last 30 away (17)39.941.881.8-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.084.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.245.883.0-8.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.540.181.6+1.467%-
vs Weaker (6)43.335.779.0+7.767%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A22/09
ABA Supercup
Saratov
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A24/09
Champions League
Saratov
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H26/09
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A01/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H04/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H14/10
ABA League
FC Porto
#22
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
77.4Avg total
35.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.438.375.7-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.438.578.9+1.957%-
Last 30 away (14)34.438.172.5-3.643%-
Last 10 (9)35.442.077.4-6.633%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.477.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.040.173.1-7.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.038.780.7+3.362%-
vs Weaker (4)32.530.262.8+2.275%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.6
51.6%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.7
33.3%
34.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
74.4%13.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.8
47.8%
52.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.9
34.6%
34.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.512.3
66.5%
74.4%12.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LWWLLLWWWL
Mornar Bar
WLLWLLLLWL
#7
League position
#4
-7.6
Net rating
-7.1
102.1
Offensive rating
98.8
109.7
Defensive rating
105.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
34.6%
61.8%
Assist %
54.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 98.8Defence109.7 · 105.9Shooting51.0% · 49.4%3-point %33.3% · 34.6%Ball care19.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 25.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Petrol Olimpija wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
08/01/17Mornar Bar v Petrol Olimpija93-70
09/10/16Petrol Olimpija v Mornar Bar81-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/17ABanvit83-87 OT
15/10/17AMega Bemax86-77
13/10/17AKK Krka Novo mesto96-74
11/10/17AStrasbourg69-83
08/10/17HCrvena zvezda73-82
05/10/17ACibona85-96
02/10/17HIgokea95-93 OT
28/09/17HKK Krka Novo mesto94-76
24/05/17HRogaska94-78
21/05/17ARogaska72-82
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/17HFC Porto81-70
14/10/17HFMP Beograd73-81
07/10/17AMega Bemax70-91
04/10/17HPartizan83-81
01/10/17ACrvena zvezda77-88
26/09/17HSaratov62-70
24/09/17ASaratov70-88
22/09/17ABuducnost65-82
20/09/17HPartizan91-77
03/05/17HBuducnost73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.884.085.5
Allowed / game87.087.586.5
Point differential-2.2-3.5-1.0
Avg total171.8171.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game75.878.073.5
Allowed / game85.281.089.5
Point differential-9.5-3.0-16.0
Avg total161.0159.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost54180%83.076.8+6.2
2 Crvena zvezda43175%83.877.2+6.5
3 FMP Beograd42250%83.076.5+6.5
4 Cedevita42250%84.881.8+3.0
5 Partizan42250%90.289.0+1.2
6 Cibona42250%86.586.2+0.2
7 Igokea42250%93.594.0-0.5
8 Petrol Olimpija42250%84.887.0-2.2
9 MZT Skopje42250%88.093.2-5.2
10 Mega Bemax52340%81.483.6-2.2
11 Zadar41325%85.890.8-5.0
12 Mornar Bar41325%75.885.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija208122464
Mornar Bar1813162067
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