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FC Porto vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 100-84
25-23 13-12 32-24 30-25
Position#12
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FC Porto 🏆
vs
Nevezis
Position#48
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup· Pavilhão Dragão Arena (Porto)
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
H08/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
no box
A15/04
LPB
Lusitania
#10
L
92-97
92
97
-5
no box
A22/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
no box
H06/05
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
119-82
119
82
+37
no box
H10/05
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
112-101
112
101
+11
no box
A14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H21/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 89
A23/09
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-38
22-20
27-19
21-12
34-27
19-16
24-25
21-30
18-32
26-16
21-24
27-25
23-17
19-18
24-23
18-27
29-25
24-17
31-25
35-15
33-32
35-15
23-28
21-26
18-16
14-29
26-17
22-26
20-27
20-23
17-22
34-21
21-24
8-20
18-30
19-20
28-19
20-24
19-14
24-19
184.8Avg total
93.7Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.791.1184.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)88.090.4178.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.186.1167.3-5.029%
vs Similar (6)82.288.7170.8-6.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.679.6172.2+13.075%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
143-134 OT
143
134
+9
no box
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 77
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 77
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
74avg 77
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 77
H08/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
56avg 77
A13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
75avg 77
H15/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 77
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
80avg 77
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
67avg 77
A30/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
27-30
21-23
26-29
24-27
15-18
21-31
33-23
23-27
25-26
25-26
16-16
14-30
25-17
18-28
21-14
17-24
25-18
23-20
26-19
22-20
17-23
14-18
18-29
18-29
17-23
25-22
26-18
24-24
15-22
19-21
19-27
17-21
23-27
28-23
17-26
25-28
18-23
21-30
15-19
186.3Avg total
89.2Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.297.1186.3-7.920%
Last 5 (5)79.694.6174.2-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.994.9177.8-12.00%
vs Similar (11)89.591.0180.5-1.545%
vs Weaker (7)93.785.7179.4+8.086%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
FC PortoNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H08/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A15/04
LPB
Lusitania
#10
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/05
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H10/05
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H21/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
LPB
90.8Avg total
45.3Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.685.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.440.784.1+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)41.944.986.7-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)45.345.590.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.889.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.046.686.6-6.629%-
vs Similar (6)36.742.379.0-5.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.640.887.3+5.875%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H08/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H15/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/09
LKL
89.8Avg total
42.0Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.145.188.3-2.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.345.587.8-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)43.944.888.7-0.927%-
Last 10 (10)42.047.889.8-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)39.248.087.2-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.848.389.1-7.60%-
vs Similar (11)43.343.586.7-0.227%-
vs Weaker (7)47.042.389.3+4.771%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.028.0
49.1%
52.2%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.06.0
37.5%
33.8%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.010.0
50.0%
73.0%10.0
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.0
55.0%
52.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.6
35.2%
33.8%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.0
66.1%
73.0%16.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLLLWWLLWW
Nevezis
LLLLLWLLLW
#12
League position
#48
+6.5
Net rating
-13.9
109.7
Offensive rating
109.3
103.2
Defensive rating
123.2
50.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.5%
9.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.5%
3-point %
35.2%
47.1%
Assist %
66.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 109.3Defence103.2 · 123.2Shooting50.7% · 54.2%3-point %37.5% · 35.2%Ball care9.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds25.8% · 29.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ FC Porto   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
0
Nevezis wins
No previous meetings.
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23ACD Povoa91-76
26/05/23ASporting CP66-94
23/05/23HSporting CP91-93
21/05/23HSporting CP80-88
14/05/23AVitoria112-101
10/05/23HVitoria119-82
06/05/23HOliveirense84-85
22/04/23ALusitania92-97
15/04/23ASporting CP110-106 OT
08/04/23HBenfica92-89
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23ALietkabelis79-100
24/09/23HRytas85-97
16/09/23AJonava77-94
15/05/23HZalgiris Kaunas86-92
13/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas71-90
08/05/23HSiauliai91-81
04/05/23AJonava78-89
30/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas89-95
26/04/23ARytas93-99
22/04/23HJuventus143-134 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Nevezis
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rapid Bucuresti220100%78.061.0+17.0
2 Boras110100%78.071.0+7.0
3 Sabah Baku110100%75.072.0+3.0
4 Donar Groningen2020%68.572.0-3.5
5 Kataja1010%71.078.0-7.0
6 Rabotnicki1010%57.087.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto25133230100
Nevezis2312242584
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