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Jonava vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 May 2023
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 89-78
30-14 17-25 28-18 14-21
Position#6
Record17-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.5
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#8
Record13-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game88.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Jonava v Nevezis
27 Mar 2027
JON v NEV
upcoming
22 Sep 2026
JON85
NEV65
18 Apr 2026
JON90
NEV89
23 Oct 2025
JON88
NEV101
12 Oct 2025
JON86
NEV82
29 Mar 2025
JON96
NEV89
02 Feb 2025
JON87
NEV110
02 Oct 2024
JON93
NEV80
16 Sep 2023
JON94
NEV77
04 May 2023
JON89
NEV78
19 Oct 2022
JON82
NEV80
01 Oct 2022
JON71
NEV64
18 Oct 2021
JON88
NEV76
14 Oct 2021
JON83
NEV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
83avg 72
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 72
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 72
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 72
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A16/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-106
81
106
-25
70avg 72
H23/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
68avg 72
A28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
no box
A02/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-29
17-12
22-17
32-22
18-25
19-7
29-19
18-22
18-18
11-16
22-24
19-18
17-22
22-18
11-18
24-27
23-16
11-26
27-25
15-21
14-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
14-15
10-16
18-19
25-15
17-23
23-31
21-21
20-31
18-15
18-25
19-15
17-14
14-23
29-21
18-20
28-25
163.4Avg total
79.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.280.5160.7-0.355%
Season at home (15)77.579.7157.2-2.140%
Season away (16)82.781.3164.0+1.469%
Last 10 (10)79.583.9163.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)78.484.6163.0-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.883.6162.3-4.844%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.383.1163.4-2.825%
vs Weaker (9)80.076.6156.6+3.489%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
107-95
107
95
+12
106avg 77
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H19/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
112-105 OT
112
105
+7
no box
H25/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
90avg 77
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 77
A08/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 77
H15/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
86avg 77
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
143-134 OT
143
134
+9
no box
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 77
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 77
A30/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
21-22
33-28
24-31
16-18
23-26
24-22
14-24
21-25
25-25
26-29
22-15
21-13
30-16
14-25
22-19
26-19
15-28
26-15
21-36
21-25
18-22
22-24
20-17
27-15
24-27
18-34
22-21
29-21
27-30
21-23
26-29
24-27
15-18
21-31
33-23
23-27
25-26
25-26
16-16
194.2Avg total
96.8Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.888.5175.3-1.642%
Season at home (15)86.487.8174.2-1.440%
Season away (16)87.289.1176.2-1.944%
Last 10 (10)96.897.4194.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)99.4102.6202.0-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.093.1176.1-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (11)90.589.9180.5+0.655%
vs Weaker (10)95.688.8184.4+6.880%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
JonavaNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H23/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/05
LKL
74.5Avg total
34.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.279.1+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.178.9+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.479.3+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)34.639.974.5-5.310%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.078.2-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.639.977.4-2.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.140.480.5-0.333%-
vs Weaker (9)42.037.079.0+5.044%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A08/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H15/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A30/04
LKL
90.4Avg total
46.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.286.2-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.842.984.7-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)44.543.487.9+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)46.044.490.4+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.647.694.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.046.787.7-5.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.141.484.5+1.745%-
vs Weaker (10)44.842.086.8+2.870%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.8
51.1%
54.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.612.8
82.1%
74.2%12.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.624.3
57.0%
54.9%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.77.6
38.6%
35.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.916.2
67.8%
74.2%16.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WWLWLLLLWW
Nevezis
LLWLLLWWLW
#6
League position
#8
-6.9
Net rating
-8.2
105.5
Offensive rating
113.8
112.3
Defensive rating
122.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
57.3%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.0%
3-point %
38.6%
65.3%
Assist %
65.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 113.8Defence112.3 · 122.0Shooting49.8% · 57.3%3-point %32.0% · 38.6%Ball care16.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.5% · 28.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Jonava   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jonava wins
3
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Nevezis v Jonava91-83
16/11/22Nevezis v Jonava85-80
19/10/22Jonava v Nevezis82-80
01/10/22Jonava v Nevezis71-64
21/04/22Nevezis v Jonava88-92
05/02/22Nevezis v Jonava95-100
27/10/21Nevezis v Jonava81-65
18/10/21Jonava v Nevezis88-76
14/10/21Jonava v Nevezis83-70
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/23APieno Zvaigzdes100-98 OT
28/04/23APrienai72-69
23/04/23HRytas81-106
18/04/23HGargzdai67-65
16/04/23ALietkabelis72-85
11/04/23HJuventus76-88
02/04/23HBC Wolves74-85
26/03/23ANeptunas70-76
20/03/23ASiauliai84-73
13/03/23ABC Wolves99-94 OT
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas89-95
26/04/23ARytas93-99
22/04/23HJuventus143-134 OT
18/04/23ANeptunas91-97
15/04/23HBC Wolves81-88
08/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-98
02/04/23AGargzdai87-73
25/03/23HPrienai112-105 OT
19/03/23HLietkabelis77-90
13/03/23ASiauliai107-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%40%69%
Points / game80.277.582.7
Allowed / game80.579.781.3
Point differential-0.3-2.1+1.4
Avg total160.7157.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)25% (4)88% (8)
Overtime %10%0%19%
Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%40%44%
Points / game86.886.487.2
Allowed / game88.587.889.1
Point differential-1.6-1.4-1.9
Avg total175.3174.2176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%7%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %6%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3026487%87.072.0+15.0
2 Rytas3125681%93.083.2+9.7
3 BC Wolves31211068%85.979.1+6.9
4 Lietkabelis31211068%85.581.1+4.5
5 Juventus32181456%86.986.3+0.6
6 Jonava31171455%80.280.5-0.3
7 Neptunas32161650%80.581.8-1.3
8 Nevezis31131842%86.888.5-1.6
9 Siauliai31131842%83.586.4-2.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3282425%79.489.6-10.2
11 Gargzdai3262619%76.184.2-8.1
12 Prienai3242812%79.089.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava3017281489
Nevezis1425182178
← all games of the day
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