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Lietkabelis vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 100-79
28-25 23-18 30-21 19-15
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Position#9
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game95.5
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilis arena (Panev
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Nevezis
27 Apr 2027
LIE v NEV
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
LIE v NEV
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
LIE105
NEV72
28 Sep 2025
LIE100
NEV76
22 Apr 2025
LIE71
NEV79
19 Jan 2025
LIE77
NEV67
01 Dec 2024
LIE93
NEV82
06 May 2024
LIE92
NEV93
30 Sep 2023
LIE100
NEV79
14 Feb 2023
LIE111
NEV108
07 Nov 2021
LIE60
NEV67
01 Feb 2020
LIE85
NEV69
17 Nov 2019
LIE75
NEV51
14 Apr 2019
LIE101
NEV60
03 Nov 2018
LIE87
NEV66
10 Feb 2018
LIE82
NEV72
15 Oct 2017
LIE83
NEV69
19 Mar 2017
LIE100
NEV69
25 Sep 2016
LIE85
NEV81
09 Mar 2016
LIE64
NEV59
24 Jan 2016
LIE76
NEV66
23 Dec 2015
LIE96
NEV75
14 Oct 2015
LIE78
NEV71
27 Feb 2015
LIE88
NEV71
28 Nov 2014
LIE97
NEV67
18 Mar 2014
LIE96
NEV69
30 Nov 2013
LIE77
NEV82
15 Oct 2013
LIE71
NEV100
04 Oct 2012
LIE76
NEV62
07 Jan 2012
LIE100
NEV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
67-66
67
66
+1
64avg 76
A26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-95
66
95
-29
54avg 76
H28/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
81avg 76
H31/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 76
A02/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
59avg 76
H05/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
75-55
75
55
+20
74avg 76
A07/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 76
H09/06
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
74avg 76
A16/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
94avg 76
H25/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
27-24
26-21
16-27
21-22
22-15
8-20
16-9
18-18
13-26
18-26
17-25
20-25
19-23
23-25
18-16
23-27
22-25
13-15
30-20
24-24
13-19
8-16
18-23
23-18
20-11
16-15
16-11
17-22
29-13
16-19
22-18
14-16
24-29
26-18
17-28
24-25
25-20
20-19
26-28
159.7Avg total
78.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.091.5179.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)78.281.5159.7-3.350%
Last 5 (5)79.678.4158.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.180.5152.6-8.425%
vs Similar (15)84.181.1165.2+3.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.978.9167.7+10.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
86avg 76
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
143-134 OT
143
134
+9
no box
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 76
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 76
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
74avg 76
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 76
H08/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
56avg 76
A13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
75avg 76
H15/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 76
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
80avg 76
H24/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
24-27
18-34
22-21
29-21
27-30
21-23
26-29
24-27
15-18
21-31
33-23
23-27
25-26
25-26
16-16
14-30
25-17
18-28
21-14
17-24
25-18
23-20
26-19
22-20
17-23
14-18
18-29
18-29
17-23
25-22
26-18
24-24
15-22
19-21
19-27
17-21
23-27
28-23
17-26
187.2Avg total
90.4Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.095.5176.5-14.50%
Season at home (1)85.097.0182.0-12.00%
Season away (1)77.094.0171.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)90.496.8187.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)82.090.8172.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.394.5177.7-11.20%
vs Similar (11)89.591.0180.5-1.545%
vs Weaker (8)92.685.8178.4+6.975%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
LietkabelisNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H28/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H31/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A02/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A07/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H09/06
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/09
LKL
82.8Avg total
41.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.782.2+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.142.985.0-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.938.579.5+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.682.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.482.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.540.175.6-4.625%-
vs Similar (15)41.940.982.7+1.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.641.188.7+6.457%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H08/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H15/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H24/09
LKL
89.7Avg total
42.8Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.188.0-2.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.345.587.8-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)43.544.788.3-1.227%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.989.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.285.2-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.548.188.6-7.50%-
vs Similar (11)43.343.586.7-0.227%-
vs Weaker (8)45.843.289.0+2.562%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.2
54.5%
55.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.0
37.0%
34.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.316.0
78.8%
73.2%16.0
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.8
55.5%
55.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.9
33.7%
34.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws25.716.9
65.8%
73.2%16.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWWLWLLWL
Nevezis
LLLLWLLLWL
#5
League position
#9
-3.7
Net rating
-11.5
112.9
Offensive rating
109.9
116.6
Defensive rating
121.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.8%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.42
37.0%
3-point %
33.7%
64.0%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 109.9Defence116.6 · 121.4Shooting54.9% · 53.8%3-point %37.0% · 33.7%Ball care20.2% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.3% · 30.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lietkabelis wins
2
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Nevezis v Lietkabelis77-90
14/02/23Lietkabelis v Nevezis111-108
05/11/22Nevezis v Lietkabelis73-78
27/04/22Nevezis v Lietkabelis60-85
29/12/21Nevezis v Lietkabelis77-78
07/11/21Lietkabelis v Nevezis60-67
01/02/20Lietkabelis v Nevezis85-69
17/11/19Lietkabelis v Nevezis75-51
09/10/19Nevezis v Lietkabelis91-68
14/04/19Lietkabelis v Nevezis101-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/23HPieno Zvaigzdes95-92
16/09/23ANeptunas81-91
09/06/23HJonava84-72
07/06/23AJonava75-55
05/06/23HJonava63-82
02/06/23AJonava88-87
31/05/23HJonava80-89
28/05/23HZalgiris Kaunas66-95
26/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas67-66
24/05/23HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/23HRytas85-97
16/09/23AJonava77-94
15/05/23HZalgiris Kaunas86-92
13/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas71-90
08/05/23HSiauliai91-81
04/05/23AJonava78-89
30/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas89-95
26/04/23ARytas93-99
22/04/23HJuventus143-134 OT
18/04/23ANeptunas91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.095.081.0
Allowed / game91.592.091.0
Point differential-3.5+3.0-10.0
Avg total179.5187.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game81.085.077.0
Allowed / game95.597.094.0
Point differential-14.5-12.0-17.0
Avg total176.5182.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%93.062.0+31.0
2 BC Wolves220100%86.067.0+19.0
3 Rytas220100%101.587.5+14.0
4 Jonava220100%88.078.0+10.0
5 Siauliai21150%78.075.0+3.0
6 Neptunas21150%86.585.5+1.0
7 Juventus21150%75.076.5-1.5
8 Lietkabelis21150%88.091.5-3.5
9 Mazeikiai2020%76.581.5-5.0
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2020%91.0100.5-9.5
11 Nevezis2020%81.095.5-14.5
12 Gargzdai2020%61.5105.5-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis28233019100
Nevezis2518211579
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