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Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 May 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 86-92
18-29 17-23 25-22 26-18
Position#8
Record14-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#1
Record29-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game72.9
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Feb 2027
NEV v ZAL
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
NEV76
ZAL80
18 Feb 2026
NEV67
ZAL91
09 Nov 2025
NEV68
ZAL94
23 Mar 2025
NEV80
ZAL84
29 Sep 2024
NEV76
ZAL89
22 Oct 2023
NEV70
ZAL76
15 May 2023
NEV86
ZAL92
04 Mar 2023
NEV69
ZAL97
14 Apr 2022
NEV64
ZAL72
02 Jan 2022
NEV69
ZAL77
09 Feb 2020
NEV63
ZAL92
28 Sep 2019
NEV57
ZAL83
10 Apr 2019
NEV70
ZAL102
16 Dec 2018
NEV55
ZAL79
24 May 2018
NEV75
ZAL96
12 Mar 2018
NEV73
ZAL79
01 Oct 2017
NEV66
ZAL77
09 Apr 2017
NEV54
ZAL82
30 Oct 2016
NEV68
ZAL81
25 Jan 2016
NEV54
ZAL98
08 Nov 2015
NEV67
ZAL90
30 Mar 2015
NEV74
ZAL112
24 Sep 2014
NEV59
ZAL93
12 Jan 2014
NEV65
ZAL84
18 Apr 2013
NEV71
ZAL91
14 Jan 2013
NEV42
ZAL83
11 Feb 2012
NEV60
ZAL74
19 Mar 2011
NEV66
ZAL78
18 Oct 2009
NEV52
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
90avg 77
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 77
A08/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 77
H15/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
86avg 77
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
143-134 OT
143
134
+9
no box
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 77
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 77
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
74avg 77
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 77
H08/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
56avg 77
A13/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
30-16
14-25
22-19
26-19
15-28
26-15
21-36
21-25
18-22
22-24
20-17
27-15
24-27
18-34
22-21
29-21
27-30
21-23
26-29
24-27
15-18
21-31
33-23
23-27
25-26
25-26
16-16
14-30
25-17
18-28
21-14
17-24
25-18
23-20
26-19
22-20
17-23
14-18
18-29
185.6Avg total
91.2Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.288.3174.5-2.141%
Season at home (16)86.787.4174.1-0.744%
Season away (18)85.889.1174.9-3.339%
Last 10 (10)91.294.4185.6-3.230%
Last 5 (5)84.490.8175.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.894.4177.2-11.70%
vs Similar (12)90.089.9179.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (9)92.785.6178.2+7.178%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
88-61
88
61
+27
93avg 77
A20/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
71-65
71
65
+6
73avg 77
H22/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
69-91
69
91
-22
54avg 77
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 77
A28/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
91avg 77
H30/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
56avg 77
H03/05
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H05/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 77
A07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 77
A09/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
90-71
90
71
+19
92avg 77
H13/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
19-15
25-17
20-14
22-20
20-12
11-14
18-19
13-25
18-23
22-18
16-25
21-20
23-25
22-23
15-21
27-23
26-25
26-25
16-16
10-13
16-16
22-32
18-16
30-13
19-22
26-27
17-16
26-26
23-18
20-23
20-15
21-12
24-21
16-21
24-33
20-22
23-17
18-14
29-18
161.6Avg total
82.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.272.9160.1+14.485%
Season at home (18)88.173.4161.5+14.689%
Season away (16)86.272.2158.4+14.181%
Last 10 (10)82.679.0161.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)84.479.0163.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.383.9155.1-12.614%
vs Similar (6)79.873.5153.3+6.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.773.8161.5+13.988%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
NevezisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A08/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H15/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H08/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A13/05
LKL
89.1Avg total
44.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.887.0-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.643.986.6-1.336%-
Last 30 away (16)43.843.687.4+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.689.1-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.087.4-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.247.788.9-6.40%-
vs Similar (12)43.241.885.0+1.342%-
vs Weaker (9)45.442.487.9+3.067%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A20/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H22/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A28/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H03/05
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H05/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A09/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H13/05
LKL
80.8Avg total
42.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.979.7+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.339.682.9+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.738.276.9+0.556%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.380.8+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.078.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.943.779.6-7.90%-
vs Similar (6)40.036.876.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.237.680.8+5.682%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.424.1
55.5%
54.9%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.36.4
35.0%
35.0%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.416.0
65.6%
74.2%16.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.9
56.5%
54.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.5
38.1%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.214.7
85.5%
74.2%14.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWLLLWLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWLWLLWW
#8
League position
#1
-8.9
Net rating
+5.2
111.0
Offensive rating
118.3
119.9
Defensive rating
113.1
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.7%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
38.1%
69.8%
Assist %
60.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 118.3Defence119.9 · 113.1Shooting54.6% · 56.7%3-point %35.0% · 38.1%Ball care16.5% · 18.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 34.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Nevezis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas71-90
08/05/23HSiauliai91-81
04/05/23AJonava78-89
30/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas89-95
26/04/23ARytas93-99
22/04/23HJuventus143-134 OT
18/04/23ANeptunas91-97
15/04/23HBC Wolves81-88
08/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-98
02/04/23AGargzdai87-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23HNevezis90-71
09/05/23ALietkabelis85-87
07/05/23AJonava89-82
05/05/23HJuventus92-78
03/05/23HBarcelona66-77
30/04/23HNevezis95-89
28/04/23ABarcelona81-89
26/04/23ABarcelona69-91
22/04/23HBC Wolves71-65
20/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeLWLWW44%
AwayLLLLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %41%44%39%
Points / game86.286.785.8
Allowed / game88.387.489.1
Point differential-2.1-0.7-3.3
Avg total174.5174.1174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWL81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %85%89%81%
Points / game87.288.186.2
Allowed / game72.973.472.2
Point differential+14.4+14.6+14.1
Avg total160.1161.5158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%56%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3429585%87.272.9+14.4
2 Rytas3529683%93.583.5+10.0
3 Lietkabelis34241071%85.981.2+4.6
4 BC Wolves35231266%85.878.8+6.9
5 Jonava35201557%80.580.4+0.1
6 Juventus34181653%86.286.4-0.2
7 Neptunas35161946%81.283.5-2.3
8 Nevezis34142041%86.288.3-2.1
9 Siauliai33132039%83.286.4-3.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3382524%79.889.8-10.0
11 Gargzdai3362718%75.884.4-8.6
12 Prienai3342912%79.290.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis1817252686
Zalgiris Kaunas2923221892
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