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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 May 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 90-71
20-22 23-17 18-14 29-18
Position#1
Record28-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Position#8
Record14-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game88.2
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis
16 May 2027
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
20 Dec 2026
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
17 May 2026
ZAL98
NEV80
25 Jan 2026
ZAL88
NEV73
29 Apr 2025
ZAL105
NEV88
12 Jan 2025
ZAL88
NEV86
02 May 2024
ZAL102
NEV78
10 Dec 2023
ZAL102
NEV98
13 May 2023
ZAL90
NEV71
30 Apr 2023
ZAL95
NEV89
23 Oct 2022
ZAL93
NEV75
23 Oct 2021
ZAL102
NEV77
30 Apr 2020
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
ZAL89
NEV84
20 Jan 2019
ZAL82
NEV79
03 Oct 2018
ZAL81
NEV68
25 May 2018
ZAL84
NEV69
12 May 2018
ZAL95
NEV70
29 Apr 2018
ZAL91
NEV72
07 Jan 2018
ZAL94
NEV68
22 Jan 2017
ZAL80
NEV59
02 Jan 2017
ZAL89
NEV62
13 Apr 2016
ZAL95
NEV73
30 Nov 2015
ZAL82
NEV88
21 Apr 2015
ZAL92
NEV53
13 Oct 2014
ZAL79
NEV52
09 Mar 2014
ZAL95
NEV56
15 Apr 2013
ZAL94
NEV51
10 Dec 2011
ZAL81
NEV60
14 Mar 2011
ZAL104
NEV70
07 Feb 2010
ZAL80
NEV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
70avg 77
H17/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
88-61
88
61
+27
93avg 77
A20/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
71-65
71
65
+6
73avg 77
H22/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
69-91
69
91
-22
54avg 77
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 77
A28/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
91avg 77
H30/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
56avg 77
H03/05
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H05/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 77
A07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 77
A09/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
20-22
20-13
21-15
24-15
19-15
25-17
20-14
22-20
20-12
11-14
18-19
13-25
18-23
22-18
16-25
21-20
23-25
22-23
15-21
27-23
26-25
26-25
16-16
10-13
16-16
22-32
18-16
30-13
19-22
26-27
17-16
26-26
23-18
20-23
20-15
21-12
24-21
16-21
24-33
161.1Avg total
81.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.172.9160.0+14.285%
Season at home (17)87.973.6161.5+14.488%
Season away (16)86.272.2158.4+14.181%
Last 10 (10)81.779.4161.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)85.482.6168.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.383.9155.1-12.614%
vs Similar (6)79.873.5153.3+6.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.574.4161.8+13.188%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
112-105 OT
112
105
+7
no box
H25/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
90avg 77
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 77
A08/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 77
H15/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
86avg 77
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
143-134 OT
143
134
+9
no box
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 77
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 77
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
74avg 77
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 77
H08/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
25-25
26-29
22-15
21-13
30-16
14-25
22-19
26-19
15-28
26-15
21-36
21-25
18-22
22-24
20-17
27-15
24-27
18-34
22-21
29-21
27-30
21-23
26-29
24-27
15-18
21-31
33-23
23-27
25-26
25-26
16-16
14-30
25-17
18-28
21-14
17-24
25-18
23-20
26-19
191.2Avg total
95.3Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.788.2174.9-1.642%
Season at home (16)86.787.4174.1-0.744%
Season away (17)86.689.1175.7-2.441%
Last 10 (10)95.395.9191.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)98.899.6198.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.295.0179.2-10.80%
vs Similar (13)89.689.2178.8+0.554%
vs Weaker (9)92.785.6178.2+7.178%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
Zalgiris KaunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H17/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A20/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H22/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A28/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H03/05
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H05/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A09/05
LKL
81.3Avg total
42.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.879.4+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.939.482.4+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)38.738.276.9+0.556%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.181.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.882.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.943.779.6-7.90%-
vs Similar (6)40.036.876.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.937.480.3+5.582%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A08/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H15/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H22/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H08/05
LKL
90.5Avg total
45.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.786.9-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.343.886.1-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)44.143.787.8+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)45.245.390.5-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.692.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.548.289.8-6.80%-
vs Similar (13)42.741.884.5+0.838%-
vs Weaker (9)45.442.487.9+3.067%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.9
55.9%
54.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.7
37.0%
35.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.216.0
83.3%
74.2%16.0
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.524.6
57.9%
54.9%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.17.1
37.2%
35.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.416.3
66.8%
74.2%16.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWLWLLWWW
Nevezis
WLLLWLLLWW
#1
League position
#8
+3.0
Net rating
-4.7
117.0
Offensive rating
113.8
114.0
Defensive rating
118.5
55.8%
Effective FG%
57.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.0%
3-point %
37.2%
57.7%
Assist %
69.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 113.8Defence114.0 · 118.5Shooting55.8% · 57.2%3-point %37.0% · 37.2%Ball care18.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds33.1% · 28.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/23ALietkabelis85-87
07/05/23AJonava89-82
05/05/23HJuventus92-78
03/05/23HBarcelona66-77
30/04/23HNevezis95-89
28/04/23ABarcelona81-89
26/04/23ABarcelona69-91
22/04/23HBC Wolves71-65
20/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-61
17/04/23HRytas81-75
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/23HSiauliai91-81
04/05/23AJonava78-89
30/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas89-95
26/04/23ARytas93-99
22/04/23HJuventus143-134 OT
18/04/23ANeptunas91-97
15/04/23HBC Wolves81-88
08/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-98
02/04/23AGargzdai87-73
25/03/23HPrienai112-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWL81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %85%88%81%
Points / game87.187.986.2
Allowed / game72.973.672.2
Point differential+14.2+14.4+14.1
Avg total160.0161.5158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%53%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW42%
HomeLWLWW44%
AwayLLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %42%44%41%
Points / game86.786.786.6
Allowed / game88.287.489.1
Point differential-1.6-0.7-2.4
Avg total174.9174.1175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3328585%87.172.9+14.2
2 Rytas3428682%93.483.2+10.2
3 Lietkabelis34241071%85.981.2+4.6
4 BC Wolves34231168%86.178.8+7.3
5 Jonava34191556%80.580.6-0.1
6 Juventus34181653%86.286.4-0.2
7 Neptunas34161847%80.983.2-2.3
8 Nevezis33141942%86.788.2-1.6
9 Siauliai33132039%83.286.4-3.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3382524%79.889.8-10.0
11 Gargzdai3362718%75.884.4-8.6
12 Prienai3342912%79.290.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2023182990
Nevezis2217141871
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