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Fenerbahce vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 104-72
31-14 27-15 27-23 19-20
Position#7
Record15-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#14
Record12-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2022
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Virtus Bologna
25 Sep 2026
FEN78
VIR68
25 Nov 2025
FEN66
VIR64
31 Jan 2025
FEN95
VIR81
25 Jan 2024
FEN88
VIR75
03 Mar 2023
FEN104
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
75avg 78
H12/01
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#5
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
H19/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 78
A26/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 78
H31/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
101-86
101
86
+15
89avg 78
H03/02
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
93avg 78
A23/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
27-21
21-10
12-22
22-20
36-23
22-17
20-24
20-20
19-27
21-13
24-24
27-24
16-21
26-23
24-19
12-25
21-23
22-23
22-20
25-20
23-23
15-12
19-14
10-24
20-27
21-26
22-16
31-27
26-20
24-14
20-25
13-13
19-9
19-21
11-18
22-22
25-24
21-23
29-25
169.2Avg total
86.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.481.3165.8+3.162%
Season at home (12)84.478.8163.2+5.767%
Season away (12)84.483.9168.3+0.558%
Last 10 (10)86.283.0169.2+3.280%
Last 5 (5)83.080.6163.6+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.093.5163.5-23.50%
vs Similar (9)82.085.9167.9-3.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.078.2165.2+8.884%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
81avg 79
H29/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
88avg 79
H31/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
77-64
77
64
+13
75avg 79
A03/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 79
H05/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
70avg 79
H09/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 79
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#4
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
85avg 79
H24/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
25-25
19-20
19-20
30-14
18-21
22-16
14-21
21-14
18-23
16-11
22-16
20-17
19-23
23-22
22-16
17-22
10-25
12-27
36-18
26-17
13-16
18-22
17-8
20-22
14-14
21-12
27-20
29-12
23-21
21-18
17-14
16-17
14-23
21-21
25-23
16-19
28-22
24-21
20-21
156.8Avg total
81.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.280.4158.6-2.248%
Season at home (14)79.778.1157.9+1.657%
Season away (11)76.383.3159.5-7.036%
Last 10 (10)81.775.1156.8+6.680%
Last 5 (5)82.072.6154.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.785.8166.5-5.150%
vs Similar (7)78.180.3158.4-2.143%
vs Weaker (12)85.978.7164.6+7.275%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
FenerbahceVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H12/01
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#5
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A26/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H31/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H03/02
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A23/02
Euroleague
86.4Avg total
43.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.083.3-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.842.285.0+0.762%-
Last 30 away (17)40.241.882.0-1.635%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.186.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.884.6+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.554.585.0-24.00%-
vs Similar (9)38.943.081.9-4.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.640.283.8+3.553%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H29/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H31/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H09/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#4
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/02
Euroleague
78.5Avg total
40.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.980.0+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.238.678.8+1.650%-
Last 30 away (12)40.041.881.8-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.478.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.676.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.643.983.5-4.340%-
vs Similar (7)36.937.073.9-0.143%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.581.5+4.567%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
78.5%12.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.1
52.9%
53.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.6
34.0%
36.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.317.6
82.6%
78.5%17.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWLWLWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WLWWWLWWWW
#7
League position
#14
-9.3
Net rating
+5.2
109.8
Offensive rating
110.8
119.1
Defensive rating
105.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.1%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.1%
3-point %
34.0%
55.5%
Assist %
65.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 110.8Defence119.1 · 105.7Shooting52.6% · 52.1%3-point %35.1% · 34.0%Ball care18.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds35.0% · 34.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fenerbahce wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
30/12/22Virtus Bologna v Fenerbahce92-88
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23APartizan97-94
05/02/23AKonyaspor62-61
03/02/23HAlba Berlin101-86
31/01/23HOlympiacos73-93
28/01/23HBuyukcekmece82-69
26/01/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-91
22/01/23ABahcesehir Kol.93-87
19/01/23HMonaco98-94 OT
15/01/23ABursaspor100-84
12/01/23HBayern79-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HBaskonia88-83
19/02/23HBrescia76-84
18/02/23HTortona90-65
16/02/23HVenezia82-68
12/02/23AReggiana74-63
09/02/23HBarcelona75-92
05/02/23HBrescia84-78
03/02/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-64
31/01/23HCrvena zvezda84-72
29/01/23HVerona87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game84.484.484.4
Allowed / game81.378.883.9
Point differential+3.1+5.7+0.5
Avg total165.8163.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW48%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %48%57%36%
Points / game78.279.776.3
Allowed / game80.478.183.3
Point differential-2.2+1.6-7.0
Avg total158.6157.9159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%21%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2518772%85.675.8+9.8
2 Real Madrid2417771%84.577.1+7.4
3 Barcelona2618869%81.377.2+4.1
4 Fenerbahce2415962%84.481.3+3.1
5 Monaco26161062%83.382.1+1.2
6 Partizan26141254%84.882.8+2.0
7 Anadolu Efes25131252%82.879.7+3.0
8 Baskonia25131252%85.383.6+1.7
9 Valencia25131252%83.084.1-1.2
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv26131350%82.283.0-0.9
11 Zalgiris Kaunas26131350%75.578.6-3.1
12 Virtus Bologna25121348%78.280.4-2.2
13 Crvena zvezda26111542%75.778.8-3.1
14 Bayern26101638%77.079.2-2.2
15 Olimpia Milano2491538%71.977.2-5.3
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2581732%75.380.6-5.3
17 Panathinaikos2681831%79.583.3-3.8
18 Alba Berlin2671927%80.685.3-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce31272719104
Virtus Bologna1415232072
← all games of the day
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