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Fenerbahce vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 101-86
31-27 26-20 24-14 20-25
Position#7
Record13-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#17
Record6-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game84.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23
European cup2022
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin
09 Jan 2025
FEN90
ABE73
29 Mar 2024
FEN103
ABE68
03 Feb 2023
FEN101
ABE86
29 Mar 2022
FEN57
ABE66
19 Feb 2021
FEN89
ABE84
30 Oct 2008
FEN82
ABE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
A05/01
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
no box
A10/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
75avg 77
H12/01
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#5
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
H19/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 77
A26/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 77
H31/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
15-20
10-26
26-19
31-11
19-22
23-15
22-34
18-19
18-20
15-20
27-19
19-18
27-21
21-10
12-22
22-20
36-23
22-17
20-24
20-20
19-27
21-13
24-24
27-24
16-21
26-23
24-19
12-25
21-23
22-23
22-20
25-20
23-23
15-12
19-14
10-24
20-27
21-26
22-16
170.2Avg total
85.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.180.5163.6+2.559%
Season at home (11)82.978.1161.0+4.864%
Season away (11)83.383.0166.3+0.355%
Last 10 (10)85.784.5170.2+1.270%
Last 5 (5)84.686.8171.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.093.5163.5-23.50%
vs Similar (10)81.483.9165.3-2.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.379.2167.6+9.183%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
88avg 84
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
75avg 84
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-63
83
63
+20
77avg 84
H10/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 84
H12/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 84
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
66avg 84
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 84
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
H26/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
100-77
100
77
+23
98avg 84
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
84-102
84
102
-18
81avg 84
H01/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
27-28
23-19
8-17
23-27
21-17
20-17
16-18
20-12
25-21
15-18
23-12
12-25
23-21
24-20
18-18
20-23
28-21
14-19
19-13
10-25
18-13
22-25
24-24
19-21
22-24
20-14
18-17
25-24
22-26
21-17
20-27
16-25
32-12
27-26
25-14
24-22
12-29
18-22
30-29
165.3Avg total
83.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.384.7166.0-3.427%
Season at home (12)83.684.8168.4-1.233%
Season away (10)78.684.6163.2-6.020%
Last 10 (10)83.182.2165.3+0.960%
Last 5 (5)85.087.2172.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.088.7167.7-9.718%
vs Similar (8)82.581.9164.4+0.638%
vs Weaker (11)96.179.2175.3+16.991%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
FenerbahceAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A05/01
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#7
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#15
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H12/01
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#5
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A26/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H31/01
Euroleague
84.2Avg total
41.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.483.5-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.242.284.4+0.057%-
Last 30 away (16)40.042.682.6-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.984.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.646.885.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.554.585.0-24.00%-
vs Similar (10)38.142.180.2-4.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.841.385.1+2.644%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H10/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H01/02
Euroleague
86.2Avg total
42.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.985.7+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.043.086.0+0.062%-
Last 30 away (14)42.742.785.4+0.036%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.686.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.284.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.746.487.1-5.636%-
vs Similar (8)41.941.283.1+0.638%-
vs Weaker (11)45.740.586.3+5.273%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.3
53.0%
53.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.7
34.0%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
78.5%11.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.2
55.8%
53.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.6
35.3%
36.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.514.3
81.7%
78.5%14.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWLWWWWWWL
Alba Berlin
LWLWLWLWWW
#7
League position
#17
-8.9
Net rating
+2.3
106.4
Offensive rating
113.8
115.3
Defensive rating
111.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.5%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.0%
3-point %
35.3%
57.9%
Assist %
67.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 113.8Defence115.3 · 111.4Shooting52.2% · 54.5%3-point %34.0% · 35.3%Ball care20.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds35.0% · 36.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fenerbahce wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/23HOlympiacos73-93
28/01/23HBuyukcekmece82-69
26/01/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-91
22/01/23ABahcesehir Kol.93-87
19/01/23HMonaco98-94 OT
15/01/23ABursaspor100-84
12/01/23HBayern79-71
10/01/23APanathinaikos94-88 OT
07/01/23HDarussafaka95-82
05/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas66-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23HMonaco84-102
28/01/23HCrailsheim Merlins100-77
26/01/23HValencia88-94
23/01/23AWurzburg79-76
19/01/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87
15/01/23HBonn81-76
12/01/23HReal Madrid77-84
10/01/23HOlimpia Milano83-63
08/01/23ABayern80-79
05/01/23HBaskonia85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeLLWWL64%
AwayLLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%64%55%
Points / game83.182.983.3
Allowed / game80.578.183.0
Point differential+2.5+4.8+0.3
Avg total163.6161.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game81.383.678.6
Allowed / game84.784.884.6
Point differential-3.4-1.2-6.0
Avg total166.0168.4163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2215768%85.476.4+9.0
2 Real Madrid2215768%83.576.9+6.7
3 Barcelona2315865%80.377.7+2.7
4 Monaco2214864%83.282.6+0.6
5 Fenerbahce2213959%83.180.5+2.5
6 Baskonia22121055%85.483.3+2.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas22121055%75.876.9-1.1
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv23121152%82.382.7-0.4
9 Valencia23121152%82.583.5-1.0
10 Anadolu Efes22111150%82.879.4+3.5
11 Partizan22111150%84.283.5+0.7
12 Virtus Bologna22101245%78.080.5-2.5
13 Crvena zvezda23101343%75.077.7-2.7
14 Bayern2391439%76.678.5-1.9
15 Panathinaikos2281436%78.582.4-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2281436%75.280.0-4.9
17 Olimpia Milano2381535%71.677.2-5.6
18 Alba Berlin2261627%81.384.7-3.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce31262420101
Alba Berlin2720142586
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