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Ferro vs San Lorenzo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-77
28-21 26-23 17-22 19-11
Position#6
Record16-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game82.3
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#17
Record9-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game83.4
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ferro v San Lorenzo
29 Dec 2026
FERR v SAN
upcoming
23 Feb 2026
FERR90
SAN 77
29 Oct 2024
FERR73
SAN 77
23 May 2024
FERR80
SAN 81
30 Nov 2022
FERR80
SAN 48
05 Feb 2022
FERR72
SAN 57
07 Jan 2021
FERR68
SAN 69
08 Dec 2019
FERR77
SAN 83
07 Apr 2019
FERR106
SAN 69
14 Nov 2018
FERR92
SAN 96
12 Oct 2018
FERR60
SAN 64
05 Mar 2018
FERR65
SAN 73
13 Feb 2018
FERR70
SAN 85
08 Oct 2017
FERR54
SAN 94
15 Mar 2017
FERR70
SAN 66
01 Nov 2016
FERR84
SAN 87
21 Apr 2016
FERR82
SAN 55
13 Nov 2015
FERR92
SAN 94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Lorenzo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
63avg 75
H19/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 75
H29/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A16/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
A18/01
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
80avg 75
H23/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
72avg 75
H26/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
103-110
103
110
-7
92avg 75
A04/02
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
93-79
93
79
+14
89avg 75
H07/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
78avg 75
H11/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
71avg 75
H17/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
20-26
14-15
28-25
23-16
33-21
20-22
24-25
11-24
26-27
21-24
11-21
25-20
12-18
19-22
19-28
23-18
17-12
13-24
21-20
19-18
21-22
26-14
18-15
27-30
25-27
33-17
18-36
26-9
25-21
25-26
17-23
24-20
20-19
23-25
21-18
24-18
16-21
9-19
18-9
169.8Avg total
85.0Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.382.3168.6+4.070%
Season at home (14)87.480.0167.4+7.479%
Season away (9)84.785.9170.6-1.256%
Last 10 (10)85.084.8169.8+0.250%
Last 5 (5)88.883.0171.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.176.5153.6+0.650%
vs Similar (18)86.681.7168.3+4.972%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.282.8167.0+1.575%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 68
A07/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
61-92
61
92
-31
43avg 68
A09/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
96-69
96
69
+27
no box
H16/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
93-96
93
96
-3
no box
A19/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 68
H24/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 68
H29/01
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
76-67
76
67
+9
60avg 68
H05/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
102-95 OT
102
95
+7
96avg 68
H16/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
80avg 68
H19/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 68
H21/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
20-21
12-20
20-19
15-23
15-23
20-17
11-29
24-11
27-26
24-21
21-11
14-14
22-17
23-34
34-31
28-16
12-23
25-11
19-20
24-17
14-15
16-17
15-31
16-17
19-26
22-19
19-5
22-24
18-19
18-18
30-27
17-19
21-25
25-17
19-23
12-20
21-24
15-16
19-26
162.7Avg total
80.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.983.4162.3-4.536%
Season at home (14)80.478.4158.7+2.057%
Season away (11)77.089.8166.8-12.89%
Last 10 (10)80.482.3162.7-1.940%
Last 5 (5)79.282.4161.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.286.7164.9-8.518%
vs Similar (11)80.882.5163.4-1.755%
vs Weaker (2)82.556.0138.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
FerroSan Lorenzo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H19/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H29/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A16/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/01
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H23/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A04/02
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H07/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H11/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/02
Liga A
83.2Avg total
43.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.581.7+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.939.080.9+2.953%-
Last 30 away (13)40.142.582.6-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.083.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.086.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.139.975.0-4.825%-
vs Similar (18)42.640.883.4+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.540.887.2+5.875%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A09/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H16/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A19/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H24/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H29/01
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H16/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H21/02
Liga A
78.7Avg total
38.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.782.4-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.143.182.1-4.035%-
Last 30 away (13)38.244.582.7-6.423%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.478.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.278.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.345.582.8-8.224%-
vs Similar (11)40.043.083.0-3.027%-
vs Weaker (2)43.032.075.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.0
56.6%
53.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.710.3
28.2%
32.9%31.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.7
65.3%
71.5%10.7
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.3
51.4%
53.7%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.1
31.3%
32.9%30.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.5%
71.5%14.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/7 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro
WWWLWLLLWL
San Lorenzo
LLWWLWLWLL
#6
League position
#17
+6.4
Net rating
-10.1
104.0
Offensive rating
105.1
97.6
Defensive rating
115.3
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.2%
3-point %
31.3%
52.7%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 105.1Defence97.6 · 115.3Shooting49.3% · 49.1%3-point %28.2% · 31.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ferro   ■ San Lorenzo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ferro wins
6
San Lorenzo wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26San Lorenzo v Ferro96-69
20/05/25San Lorenzo v Ferro72-85
30/10/24Ferro v San Lorenzo73-77
23/05/24Ferro v San Lorenzo80-81
25/11/23San Lorenzo v Ferro83-53
18/04/23San Lorenzo v Ferro104-99 OT
01/12/22Ferro v San Lorenzo80-48
12/03/22San Lorenzo v Ferro68-75
05/02/22Ferro v San Lorenzo72-57
17/10/21San Lorenzo v Ferro72-71
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26HInstituto de Cordoba76-75 OT
11/02/26HIndependiente de Oliva88-82
07/02/26HAtenas93-79
04/02/26AObras Sanitarias103-110
26/01/26HLa Union84-69
23/01/26HPlatense85-86 OT
18/01/26AGimnasia75-88
16/01/26ASan Lorenzo69-96
29/12/25HBoca Juniors100-84
19/12/25HRegatas77-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HInstituto de Cordoba67-86
19/02/26HQuimsa82-84
16/02/26HObera TC102-95 OT
05/02/26HAtenas76-67
29/01/26HIndependiente de Oliva69-80
24/01/26HLa Union84-70
19/01/26AUnion De Santa Fe93-96
16/01/26HFerro96-69
09/01/26AQuimsa61-92
07/01/26AOlimpico74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayWWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %70%79%56%
Points / game86.387.484.7
Allowed / game82.380.085.9
Point differential+4.0+7.4-1.2
Avg total168.6167.4170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %9%14%0%
San Lorenzo
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %36%57%9%
Points / game78.980.477.0
Allowed / game83.478.489.8
Point differential-4.5+2.0-12.8
Avg total162.3158.7166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro2316770%86.382.3+4.0
2 Independiente de Oliva2416867%85.879.8+6.1
3 Obera TC2415962%81.176.4+4.7
4 Regatas2415962%77.273.4+3.8
5 Quimsa26161062%80.975.6+5.3
6 Obras Sanitarias25151060%81.378.6+2.7
7 Gimnasia26151158%80.276.3+3.9
8 La Union26151158%79.878.1+1.7
9 Boca Juniors27151256%81.377.8+3.4
10 Instituto de Cordoba28151354%75.975.4+0.5
11 Penarol25131252%80.381.0-0.8
12 San Martin26121446%75.674.9+0.7
13 Union De Santa Fe24111346%81.083.5-2.5
14 Olimpico27111641%78.779.5-0.7
15 Platense25101540%81.584.7-3.2
16 San Lorenzo2591636%78.983.4-4.5
17 Atenas2591636%74.879.7-4.8
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2571828%77.681.3-3.6
19 Argentino2552020%72.589.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro2826171990
San Lorenzo2123221177
← all games of the day
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