Ferro vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	86.6	80.3	166.9	+6.3	79%
Season at home (8)	87.1	80.6	167.8	+6.5	75%
Season away (6)	85.8	79.8	165.7	+6.0	83%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	81.3	168.3	+5.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	82.4	169.4	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	76.7	77.0	153.7	-0.3	54%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	84.1	78.6	162.7	+5.5	80%
vs Weaker (2)	87.5	78.0	165.5	+9.5	100%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJuniors

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

82-70

+12

75avg 76

A05/11

Liga A

Penarol

#11

78-89

-11

73avg 76

A07/11

Liga A

Regatas

74-81

-7

66avg 76

H11/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

78-74

66avg 76

H15/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

71-83

-12

70avg 76

A20/11

Liga A

Quimsa

71-61

+10

no box

A22/11

Liga A

Argentino

#19

116-83

116

+33

112avg 76

H06/12

Liga A

Aguada

#11

88-71

+17

90avg 76

A11/12

Champions League Americas

Minas

61-80

-19

49avg 76

H12/12

Champions League Americas

Obera TC

70-80

-10

56avg 76

H17/12

Liga A

28-19

18-21

16-15

20-15

17-19

20-22

25-14

16-34

21-22

16-27

22-15

15-17

18-12

20-17

18-21

22-24

20-24

24-19

13-24

14-16

22-10

22-14

14-16

13-21

32-7

25-24

30-26

29-26

24-21

19-13

19-14

26-23

19-15

18-19

14-19

10-27

18-23

19-17

16-20

17-20

156.1Avg total

78.9Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	82.9	78.7	161.6	+4.2	59%
Season at home (7)	84.1	74.0	158.1	+10.1	71%
Season away (10)	82.0	82.0	164.0	+0.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	77.2	156.1	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	75.0	156.2	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	78.1	78.1	156.2	+0.1	58%
vs Weaker (11)	85.4	75.9	161.3	+9.5	73%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.5	41.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.6	18.3	40.9	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.5	21.5	50.0	+7.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.2	39.1	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	15.2	38.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.4	18.8	42.2	+4.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.8	43.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	15.8	20.6	36.4	-4.8	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	82%	-

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#19

58-48

+10

A18/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

43-54

-11

H31/10

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

32-46

-14

A14/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

46-35

+11

A15/11

Liga A

Atenas

#18

40-34

A18/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

36-43

-7

H22/11

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#15

52-38

+14

H04/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

53-42

+11

H12/12

Liga A

Quimsa

41-51

-10

H16/12

Liga A

Regatas

35-39

-4

H19/12

Liga A

86.6Avg total

43.6Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	40.3	80.3	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	40.3	80.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	40.3	80.1	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	43.0	86.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	42.6	86.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.1	40.3	76.4	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.2	40.3	82.5	+1.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	49.0	41.0	90.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

46-40

A05/11

Liga A

Penarol

#11

37-41

-4

A07/11

Liga A

Regatas

37-49

-12

H11/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

38-29

H15/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

44-43

A20/11

Liga A

Quimsa

44-24

+20

A22/11

Liga A

Argentino

#19

57-31

+26

H06/12

Liga A

Aguada

#11

43-34

A11/12

Champions League Americas

Minas

37-34

H12/12

Champions League Americas

Obera TC

37-40

-3

H17/12

Liga A

78.5Avg total

42.0Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	37.3	79.0	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	36.8	77.8	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	37.8	80.2	+4.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	36.5	78.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	32.6	76.2	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.6	37.3	76.9	+2.3	63%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.4	37.3	82.6	+8.1	91%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.2	17.7	37.8	+2.5	77%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.8	38.8	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	16.9	37.5	+3.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	19.5	43.6	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.8	46.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.4	18.5	40.9	+3.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	17.1	34.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.5	43.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.3	40.5	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.4	42.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	37.5	78.7	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	37.6	81.3	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	37.5	76.0	+1.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	38.3	81.7	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	39.8	83.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	40.6	36.7	77.3	+3.9	77%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.9	38.3	80.3	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	37.0	75.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	39.6	78.0	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	36.3	74.0	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	42.8	81.9	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	40.7	77.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.4	80.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.5	40.1	77.6	-2.6	32%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.0	38.6	78.6	+1.4	45%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 79.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	17.7	52.5%	53.7%	35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	11.0	39.4%	32.9%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	16.7	11.5	68.9%	71.5%	11.5

They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	17.3	45.9%	53.7%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.5	34.7%	32.9%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	14.3	10.4	72.7%	71.5%	10.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	17.5	53.5%	53.7%	34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	10.0	34.9%	32.9%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	15.6	11.3	72.4%	71.5%	11.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	18.0	46.9%	53.7%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.2	32.6%	32.9%	24.5
🏀 Free throws	16.3	12.0	73.8%	71.5%	12.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
17/06/25	Boca Juniors v Ferro	86-70
13/06/25	Ferro v Boca Juniors	72-74
12/06/25	Ferro v Boca Juniors	76-73
08/06/25	Boca Juniors v Ferro	69-71
06/06/25	Boca Juniors v Ferro	85-71
28/02/25	Boca Juniors v Ferro	80-77
04/12/24	Ferro v Boca Juniors	82-97
04/04/24	Ferro v Boca Juniors	69-70
08/10/23	Boca Juniors v Ferro	77-66
01/02/23	Boca Juniors v Ferro	68-69

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/12/25	H	Regatas	77-79
16/12/25	H	Quimsa	89-92
12/12/25	H	Olimpico	87-83
04/12/25	H	Union De Santa Fe	98-86
22/11/25	H	Gimnasia	84-72
18/11/25	A	Atenas	78-76
15/11/25	A	Instituto de Cordoba	89-75
14/11/25	A	Independiente de Oliva	75-87
31/10/25	H	Obras Sanitarias	96-83
18/10/25	A	Argentino	97-80

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/25	H	Obera TC	70-80
12/12/25	H	Minas	61-80
11/12/25	A	Aguada	88-71
06/12/25	H	Argentino	116-83
22/11/25	A	Quimsa	71-61
20/11/25	A	Olimpico	71-83
15/11/25	H	San Lorenzo	78-74
11/11/25	H	Regatas	74-81
07/11/25	A	Penarol	78-89
05/11/25	A	Gimnasia	82-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	79%
Home	WWWLL	75%
Away	WWLWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	79%	75%	83%
Points / game	86.6	87.1	85.8
Allowed / game	80.3	80.6	79.8
Point differential	+6.3	+6.5	+6.0
Avg total	166.9	167.8	165.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	59%
Home	WLWWL	71%
Away	WWLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	7	10
Win %	59%	71%	50%
Points / game	82.9	84.1	82.0
Allowed / game	78.7	74.0	82.0
Point differential	+4.2	+10.1	+0.0
Avg total	161.6	158.1	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	43%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ferro	14	11	3	79%	86.6	80.3	+6.3
2	Obras Sanitarias	16	11	5	69%	81.3	76.6	+4.7
3	La Union	17	11	6	65%	82.2	77.3	+4.9
4	Obera TC	14	9	5	64%	79.7	74.1	+5.6
5	San Martin	13	8	5	62%	76.2	71.1	+5.1
6	Regatas	13	8	5	62%	78.0	76.1	+1.9
7	Independiente de Oliva	15	9	6	60%	86.3	81.0	+5.3
8	Boca Juniors	17	10	7	59%	82.9	78.7	+4.2
9	Penarol	16	9	7	56%	80.7	81.9	-1.2
10	Gimnasia	15	8	7	53%	78.6	73.1	+5.5
11	Quimsa	15	8	7	53%	80.9	76.7	+4.3
12	Instituto de Cordoba	19	10	9	53%	75.3	77.2	-1.9
13	Platense	16	7	9	44%	82.1	83.8	-1.8
14	Union De Santa Fe	15	6	9	40%	79.7	83.6	-3.9
15	Racing de Chivilcoy	14	5	9	36%	79.4	80.5	-1.1
16	Olimpico	15	5	10	33%	78.5	80.1	-1.6
17	San Lorenzo	15	5	10	33%	77.9	84.1	-6.3
18	Atenas	18	5	13	28%	71.4	79.6	-8.2
19	Argentino	15	1	14	7%	72.1	91.3	-19.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferro	23	33	20	24	100
Boca Juniors	16	21	22	25	84

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature