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Ferro vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game83.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ferro v San Lorenzo
29 Dec 2026
FERR v SAN
upcoming
23 Feb 2026
FERR90
SAN 77
29 Oct 2024
FERR73
SAN 77
23 May 2024
FERR80
SAN 81
30 Nov 2022
FERR80
SAN 48
05 Feb 2022
FERR72
SAN 57
07 Jan 2021
FERR68
SAN 69
08 Dec 2019
FERR77
SAN 83
07 Apr 2019
FERR106
SAN 69
14 Nov 2018
FERR92
SAN 96
12 Oct 2018
FERR60
SAN 64
05 Mar 2018
FERR65
SAN 73
13 Feb 2018
FERR70
SAN 85
08 Oct 2017
FERR54
SAN 94
15 Mar 2017
FERR70
SAN 66
01 Nov 2016
FERR84
SAN 87
21 Apr 2016
FERR82
SAN 55
13 Nov 2015
FERR92
SAN 94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Lorenzo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 72
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
46avg 72
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 72
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 72
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
83avg 72
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 72
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 72
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
49avg 72
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
26-17
26-20
19-17
19-21
14-30
13-20
8-17
17-21
20-23
22-14
9-21
33-28
14-23
27-23
23-18
17-12
22-20
12-22
22-19
20-16
28-24
18-24
20-27
30-20
20-17
19-14
17-30
14-23
19-22
15-11
13-17
20-18
26-12
19-21
19-36
20-22
19-13
18-15
19-35
163.3Avg total
78.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.585.6167.1-4.125%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (5)81.286.4167.6-5.220%
Last 10 (10)78.784.6163.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.683.4162.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.887.6170.4-4.820%
vs Similar (24)78.280.0158.3-1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)100.074.0174.0+26.0100%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 69
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 69
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
89-73
89
73
+16
84avg 69
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
70avg 69
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
58-80
58
80
-22
47avg 69
H28/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
42-75
42
75
-33
no box
H08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
55-81
55
81
-26
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
89-122
89
122
-33
no box
A15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-26
9-18
24-15
17-21
18-19
14-20
21-16
20-22
18-18
29-14
22-19
22-28
22-17
18-26
23-21
18-21
26-25
14-17
15-15
18-16
18-28
16-22
6-14
14-20
17-11
13-20
26-14
8-20
17-17
8-21
9-17
17-24
9-28
12-14
17-15
27-21
11-32
24-30
27-39
152.3Avg total
70.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.183.2153.4-13.125%
Season at home (6)69.577.2146.7-7.733%
Season away (2)72.0101.5173.5-29.50%
Last 10 (10)70.182.2152.3-12.120%
Last 5 (5)62.884.6147.4-21.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.782.4158.0-6.729%
vs Similar (8)80.980.9161.8+0.050%
vs Weaker (1)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
FerroSan Lorenzo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/11
Liga A
80.9Avg total
40.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.382.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.337.082.3+8.382%-
Last 30 away (19)40.542.382.7-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.180.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
vs Similar (24)41.840.582.2+1.354%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)59.036.095.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H28/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A13/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A15/11
Liga A
78.9Avg total
35.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.880.3-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.242.780.8-4.522%-
Last 30 away (12)36.443.079.4-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)35.443.578.9-8.10%-
Last 5 (5)31.243.474.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.243.580.7-6.319%-
vs Similar (8)38.240.478.6-2.138%-
vs Weaker (1)37.047.084.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.5
25.5%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.2
75.8%
72.7%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
72.7%17.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro
LLLWLLWLLW
San Lorenzo
LLLWLLLWLL
#16
League position
#17
-4.4
Net rating
-6.0
107.2
Offensive rating
110.0
111.6
Defensive rating
116.0
47.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
25.5%
3-point %
30.1%
51.9%
Assist %
50.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 110.0Defence111.6 · 116.0Shooting47.6% · 50.9%3-point %25.5% · 30.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Ferro   ■ San Lorenzo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ferro wins
5
San Lorenzo wins
DateGameScore
23/02/26Ferro v San Lorenzo90-77
16/01/26San Lorenzo v Ferro96-69
20/05/25San Lorenzo v Ferro72-85
30/10/24Ferro v San Lorenzo73-77
23/05/24Ferro v San Lorenzo80-81
25/11/23San Lorenzo v Ferro83-53
18/04/23San Lorenzo v Ferro104-99 OT
01/12/22Ferro v San Lorenzo80-48
12/03/22San Lorenzo v Ferro68-75
05/02/22Ferro v San Lorenzo72-57
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPenarol76-85
11/11/26HSan Martin84-87
29/10/26AGimnasia61-73
21/10/26HPlatense86-81
13/10/26AAtenas86-91
10/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba94-97 OT
09/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva97-92
01/10/26AArgentino68-79
03/06/26AGimnasia54-88
30/05/26HGimnasia81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AIndependiente de Oliva89-122
13/11/26AAtenas55-81
08/11/26HSan Martin42-75
07/11/26HRegatas70-65
28/10/26HPlatense58-80
18/10/26HObera TC73-78
17/10/26HPenarol85-92
09/10/26HGimnasia89-73
18/04/26AObras Sanitarias70-76
15/04/26AArgentino70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game81.582.081.2
Allowed / game85.684.386.4
Point differential-4.1-2.3-5.2
Avg total167.1166.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
San Lorenzo
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game70.169.572.0
Allowed / game83.277.2101.5
Point differential-13.1-7.7-29.5
Avg total153.4146.7173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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