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Valencia W vs Ferrol W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-74
29-16 16-17 13-14 27-27
Position#3
Record20-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game65.0
Valencia W 🏆
Spain
vs
Ferrol W
Spain
Position#8
Record13-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game73.2
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 27· Roig Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Valencia W v Ferrol W
18 Oct 2026
VALE87
FERR50
08 Apr 2026
VALE85
FERR74
23 Nov 2024
VALE86
FERR65
13 Apr 2024
VALE79
FERR66
04 Dec 2021
VALE67
FERR52
07 Apr 2019
VALE78
FERR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferrol W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Landes W
#6
L
72-76
72
76
-4
68avg 70
H28/01
Euroleague Women
Zaragoza W
#1
W
72-67
72
67
+5
62avg 70
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
Venezia W
#4
L
55-69
55
69
-14
44avg 70
A04/02
Euroleague Women
Estepona W
#9
L
66-67
66
67
-1
52avg 70
A07/02
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
83-57
83
57
+26
78avg 70
H15/02
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
W
100-60
100
60
+40
102avg 70
A21/02
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
77-44
77
44
+33
84avg 70
H01/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
68-67
68
67
+1
58avg 70
A06/03
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
71-74
71
74
-3
58avg 70
H22/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
111-66
111
66
+45
113avg 70
A04/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
14-21
19-14
18-27
22-14
22-20
14-11
14-22
16-23
8-10
12-19
19-17
9-20
18-18
22-12
17-17
23-14
21-15
23-10
16-18
34-16
24-16
19-16
23-12
18-8
15-14
24-7
20-15
19-14
23-15
13-19
13-19
8-19
21-23
23-17
19-15
30-20
22-9
28-20
31-17
142.2Avg total
77.5Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.865.0142.7+12.877%
Season at home (13)77.960.8138.8+17.185%
Season away (13)77.669.1146.7+8.569%
Last 10 (10)77.564.7142.2+12.860%
Last 5 (5)85.462.2147.6+23.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.071.0120.0-22.00%
vs Similar (6)66.376.8143.2-10.517%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.063.2143.2+16.983%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
57-79
57
79
-22
51avg 66
H21/01
EuroCup Women
Estepona W
#9
L
49-65
49
65
-16
40avg 66
A24/01
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
73-69
73
69
+4
66avg 66
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 66
A07/02
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
109-82
109
82
+27
110avg 66
H14/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
54avg 66
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
80-77
80
77
+3
79avg 66
A01/03
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
60-71
60
71
-11
44avg 66
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
51-67
51
67
-16
34avg 66
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 66
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
15-21
13-24
13-13
18-13
13-15
5-31
13-6
17-12
18-16
20-14
18-27
30-15
18-27
21-10
17-25
30-15
25-18
29-19
25-30
10-19
15-18
27-17
16-19
21-11
19-22
21-23
19-21
13-24
15-21
21-11
11-15
13-24
2-19
17-16
19-8
20-20
23-12
19-16
13-19
143.5Avg total
70.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.173.2144.3-2.050%
Season at home (13)71.568.2139.7+3.469%
Season away (13)70.778.2148.8-7.531%
Last 10 (10)70.872.7143.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)66.871.0137.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)63.275.2138.3-12.017%
vs Similar (15)68.772.7141.5-4.047%
vs Weaker (9)88.766.4155.1+22.289%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
Valencia WFerrol W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Landes W
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H28/01
Euroleague Women
Zaragoza W
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
Venezia W
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A04/02
Euroleague Women
Estepona W
#9
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A07/02
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H15/02
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A21/02
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H01/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A06/03
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H22/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A04/04
Liga Femenina W
71.1Avg total
38.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.671.9+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.633.573.1+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)37.033.770.7+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)38.832.371.1+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.830.873.6+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.035.059.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (6)33.539.072.5-5.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.232.172.3+8.070%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H21/01
EuroCup Women
Estepona W
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A24/01
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A07/02
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H14/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A01/03
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
15-43
15
43
-28
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
71.4Avg total
35.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.873.5+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.834.471.2+2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.739.175.9-2.447%-
Last 10 (10)35.136.371.4-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)30.238.068.2-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.838.370.2-6.533%-
vs Similar (15)33.638.772.3-5.127%-
vs Weaker (9)45.332.477.8+12.989%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.5
50.1%
46.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.6
36.1%
32.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.111.9
78.8%
74.2%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.615.1
44.9%
46.8%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.8
29.4%
32.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
74.2%12.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia W
WLWWWWLLWL
Ferrol W
WLLWLWWWLL
#3
League position
#8
+16.4
Net rating
-5.7
105.8
Offensive rating
93.8
89.4
Defensive rating
99.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
44.6%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
5.9%
Turnover %
2.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.1%
3-point %
29.4%
60.5%
Assist %
63.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 93.8Defence89.4 · 99.4Shooting51.6% · 44.6%3-point %36.1% · 29.4%Ball care5.9% · 2.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Valencia W   ■ Ferrol W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valencia W wins
1
Ferrol W wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Ferrol W v Valencia W71-65
01/03/25Ferrol W v Valencia W54-74
23/11/24Valencia W v Ferrol W86-65
13/04/24Valencia W v Ferrol W79-66
25/11/23Ferrol W v Valencia W55-66
29/03/22Ferrol W v Valencia W63-76
04/12/21Valencia W v Ferrol W67-52
07/04/19Valencia W v Ferrol W78-63
30/12/18Ferrol W v Valencia W46-75
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26AGran Canaria W111-66
22/03/26HUni Girona W71-74
06/03/26AGernika Bizkaia W68-67
01/03/26HCadi La Seu W77-44
21/02/26ALeganes W100-60
15/02/26HJoventut Badalona W83-57
07/02/26AEstepona W66-67
04/02/26AVenezia W55-69
01/02/26AZaragoza W72-67
28/01/26HLandes W72-76
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HUni Girona W75-67
22/03/26AIDK Gipuzkoa W51-67
06/03/26HPerfumerias Avenida W60-71
01/03/26AJoventut Badalona W80-77
22/02/26AEnsino W68-73
14/02/26HGran Canaria W109-82
07/02/26AGernika Bizkaia W86-77
31/01/26HCadi La Seu W73-69
24/01/26AEstepona W49-65
21/01/26HPerfumerias Avenida W57-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW77%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%85%69%
Points / game77.877.977.6
Allowed / game65.060.869.1
Point differential+12.8+17.1+8.5
Avg total142.7138.8146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%69%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWWLW69%
AwayLWLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%69%31%
Points / game71.171.570.7
Allowed / game73.268.278.2
Point differential-2.0+3.4-7.5
Avg total144.3139.7148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W2724389%78.965.7+13.2
2 Uni Girona W2722581%81.967.1+14.8
3 Valencia W2620677%77.865.0+12.8
4 Perfumerias Avenida W26161062%68.867.6+1.2
5 Jairis W27161159%74.266.7+7.5
6 Ensino W27141352%72.471.6+0.8
7 Ferrol W26131350%71.173.2-2.0
8 Leganes W27131448%68.268.4-0.1
9 Estudiantes W27121544%76.576.6-0.1
10 Estepona W27121544%71.774.6-2.9
11 IDK Gipuzkoa W27111641%65.767.1-1.4
12 Gernika Bizkaia W27101737%73.177.4-4.3
13 Joventut Badalona W27101737%70.474.7-4.3
14 Cadi La Seu W27101737%67.974.6-6.7
15 Araski W2681831%64.774.3-9.7
16 Gran Canaria W2732411%70.388.9-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia W2916132785
Ferrol W1617142774
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