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Final Spor vs Mersin SK Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Projected 79-85
Projected total 164.0
Scheduled
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game78.7
Vs
28%
72%
■ FINA 28%■ MES 72%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record8-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game81.5
TurkeyTBLRound 12· Tofas Spor Salonu
Other2026-27
Meetings · Final Spor v Mersin SK
22 Nov 2026
FINA v MES
upcoming
28 Nov 2021
FINA85
MES73
26 Dec 2014
FINA74
MES70
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Final Spor host Mersin SK in the TBL. Pythia makes Mersin SK the favourite at 72% and projects 79-85, about 164 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Final Spor are 6-4 this season (80.9 scored, 78.7 allowed a game), form WWWLW; Mersin SK are 8-2 this season (89.0 scored, 81.5 allowed a game), form WWWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Final Spor win
27.7%fair 3.61
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin SK win
72.3%fair 1.38
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Final SporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpor
Date
Competition
iLab Basketbol
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
72avg 71
A12/09
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
79avg 71
A19/09
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
64avg 71
H27/09
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
75avg 71
A04/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
64avg 71
H07/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
77-75
77
75
+2
75avg 71
A10/10
TBL
Balikesir
#14
W
68-52
68
52
+16
65avg 71
H18/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
81avg 71
A24/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
79avg 71
A01/11
TBL
CO Basket
#12
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
H08/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
15-22
30-27
16-18
19-15
15-23
21-14
19-22
9-21
22-18
29-14
15-21
13-14
26-21
19-23
25-17
12-33
23-22
21-15
22-21
24-22
17-17
19-21
17-15
20-16
12-11
16-10
20-15
14-26
32-17
14-23
29-19
23-24
12-27
21-20
26-16
26-27
20-20
24-13
18-13
159.6Avg total
80.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.978.7159.6+2.260%
Season at home (4)77.272.5149.8+4.875%
Season away (6)83.382.8166.2+0.550%
Last 10 (10)80.978.7159.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.187.7165.8-9.611%
vs Similar (15)76.378.3154.6-2.140%
vs Weaker (6)68.558.2126.7+10.3100%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
100-70
100
70
+30
111avg 84
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
88avg 84
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
84avg 84
A04/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
92-70
92
70
+22
87avg 84
H08/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
89avg 84
A11/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
W
95-82
95
82
+13
93avg 84
H18/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 84
A24/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
100-65
100
65
+35
102avg 84
H31/10
TBL
Balikesir
#14
L
76-98
76
98
-22
no box
A08/11
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
L
89-120
89
120
-31
no box
H14/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-18
17-23
29-17
16-12
15-26
24-11
24-26
24-19
21-23
23-14
19-23
18-18
27-13
19-15
28-16
18-26
20-19
16-21
20-16
29-21
24-21
26-19
24-22
21-20
28-18
14-20
24-22
19-13
17-22
27-18
34-15
22-10
19-28
23-31
14-23
20-16
23-35
24-32
25-30
17-23
170.5Avg total
89.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.081.5170.5+7.580%
Season at home (5)92.683.8176.4+8.880%
Season away (5)85.479.2164.6+6.280%
Last 10 (10)89.081.5170.5+7.580%
Last 5 (5)89.087.6176.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.090.7170.7-10.717%
vs Similar (9)91.686.3177.9+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.985.1174.0+3.867%
This opponent (Final Spor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
68.4%
Under 156
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161
Over 161
56.6%
Under 161
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
44.3%
Under 166
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Final Spor total 78
Over 78
52.0%
Under 78
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Final Spor total 82
Over 82
36.3%
Under 82
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Final Spor total 86
Over 86
22.9%
Under 86
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mersin SK total 74.5
Over 74.5
85.7%
Under 74.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mersin SK total 78.5
Over 78.5
75.0%
Under 78.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mersin SK total 82.5
Over 82.5
61.0%
Under 82.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Final Spor -3
FINA -3
20.4%
MES +3
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
FINA
No market prices yet.
MES
No market prices yet.
Spread Final Spor 0
FINA 0
27.7%
MES 0
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
FINA
No market prices yet.
MES
No market prices yet.
Spread Final Spor +3
FINA +3
35.4%
MES -3
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
FINA
No market prices yet.
MES
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
Final SporMersin SK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Final SporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
iLab Basketbol
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/09
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/09
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H27/09
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A04/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H07/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A10/10
TBL
Balikesir
#14
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H18/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A01/11
TBL
CO Basket
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
TBL
78.6Avg total
37.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.140.078.1-1.938%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.541.078.5-3.529%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.177.7-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.378.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.481.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.346.784.0-9.322%-
vs Similar (15)38.736.975.5+1.840%-
vs Weaker (5)37.837.475.2+0.460%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A04/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H08/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H18/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A24/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/10
TBL
Balikesir
#14
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A08/11
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H14/11
TBL
87.2Avg total
44.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.445.689.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.743.591.2+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.147.786.8-8.727%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.787.2+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.048.893.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.247.385.5-9.217%-
vs Similar (9)48.142.991.0+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.646.191.7-0.656%-
This opponent (Final Spor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Final Sportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Final Spor: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.8
51.1%
53.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.5
33.6%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.114.3
67.8%
71.2%14.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.8
60.5%
53.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.9
40.5%
33.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
71.2%14.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Final Spor
WLWWWLWWLL
Mersin SK
LLWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#4
+0.1
Net rating
+13.7
91.4
Offensive rating
107.1
91.3
Defensive rating
93.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
60.6%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.6%
3-point %
40.5%
69.6%
Assist %
77.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 107.1Defence91.3 · 93.4Shooting50.8% · 60.6%3-point %33.6% · 40.5%Ball care14.7% · 15.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Final Spor   ■ Mersin SK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Final Spor wins
1
Mersin SK wins
DateGameScore
25/09/22Mersin SK v Final Spor83-71
25/03/22Mersin SK v Final Spor81-86
28/11/21Final Spor v Mersin SK85-73
18/04/15Mersin SK v Final Spor67-83
26/12/14Final Spor v Mersin SK74-70
Final Sporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HCO Basket88-73
01/11/26AGoztepe82-87
24/10/26AKecioren Baglum89-85
18/10/26HBalikesir68-52
10/10/26AAnkara Kolejliler77-75
07/10/26HKahramanmaras78-91
04/10/26ADarussafaka83-75
27/09/26HFenerbahce 275-74
19/09/26AGaziantep89-91 OT
12/09/26AiLab Basketbol80-84
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKecioren Baglum89-120
08/11/26ABalikesir76-98
31/10/26HAnkara Kolejliler100-65
24/10/26AKahramanmaras85-73
18/10/26HDarussafaka95-82
11/10/26AFenerbahce 285-77
08/10/26HGaziantep92-70
04/10/26AiLab Basketbol81-78
26/09/26HKonya BBSK87-82
19/09/26AMKE Ankaragucu100-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Final Spor
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game80.977.283.3
Allowed / game78.772.582.8
Point differential+2.2+4.8+0.5
Avg total159.6149.8166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Mersin SK
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL80%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game89.092.685.4
Allowed / game81.583.879.2
Point differential+7.5+8.8+6.2
Avg total170.5176.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Harem Spor108280%82.370.1+12.2
2 Goztepe108280%84.975.9+9.0
3 Kahramanmaras108280%83.074.5+8.5
4 Mersin SK108280%89.081.5+7.5
5 Gaziantep107370%80.776.3+4.4
6 Buyukcekmece106460%81.077.5+3.5
7 Final Spor106460%80.978.7+2.2
8 OGM Ormanspor105550%82.880.4+2.4
9 iLab Basketbol105550%84.185.0-0.9
10 Fenerbahce 294544%73.978.7-4.8
11 Darussafaka104640%77.883.9-6.1
12 CO Basket114736%72.682.8-10.2
13 MKE Ankaragucu103730%80.190.2-10.1
14 Balikesir113827%75.879.5-3.6
15 Ankara Kolejliler113827%73.580.3-6.8
16 Konya BBSK92722%80.284.9-4.7
17 Kecioren Baglum112918%87.488.6-1.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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