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Finland vs Latvia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 90-84
28-21 14-17 27-16 21-30
Position-
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Finland 🏆
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Estonia
#55
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
88-98
88
98
-10
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
100-77
100
77
+23
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
61-77
61
77
-16
55avg 71
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 71
H26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-25
27-15
25-15
13-28
22-18
25-24
23-13
22-17
21-29
19-23
19-18
21-17
19-28
14-25
18-28
15-22
31-14
27-27
15-35
22-19
17-28
16-29
20-25
28-16
26-23
23-17
23-21
13-17
35-18
19-27
23-13
20-17
14-19
17-22
10-19
23-27
19-31
30-14
17-13
170.8Avg total
84.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.486.4170.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)83.083.0166.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.587.1162.6-11.518%
vs Similar (11)89.581.0170.5+8.582%
vs Weaker (8)84.275.6159.9+8.688%
LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#18
W
109-70
109
70
+39
no box
H25/08
World Cup
France
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
104-84
104
84
+20
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 71
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
62avg 71
H25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
28-13
27-18
27-22
26-33
23-20
13-21
26-12
23-13
19-30
15-24
18-34
17-16
12-16
18-26
27-11
22-20
23-22
36-21
23-21
16-13
18-23
25-26
20-19
18-26
28-16
21-18
20-22
28-20
21-18
28-9
21-16
23-14
17-23
17-20
22-18
15-10
16-17
14-11
19-14
162.0Avg total
85.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.776.3162.0+9.480%
Last 5 (5)81.470.6152.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.885.8165.5-6.025%
vs Similar (8)85.877.9163.6+7.975%
vs Weaker (18)83.668.3151.9+15.394%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
FinlandLatvia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia
#55
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H25/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H26/02
EuroBasket
84.9Avg total
42.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.681.2+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.039.882.8+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.379.7+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.984.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.086.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.044.881.8-7.89%-
vs Similar (11)44.736.381.0+8.582%-
vs Weaker (8)43.936.980.8+7.062%-
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#18
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H25/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A27/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A29/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H25/02
EuroBasket
80.0Avg total
42.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.078.4+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.834.876.6+7.192%-
Last 30 away (17)42.836.979.7+5.965%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.076.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.838.879.5+2.050%-
vs Similar (8)40.840.681.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker (18)43.533.376.8+10.294%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.515.5
56.4%
55.7%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.5
29.3%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.017.5
87.5%
71.8%17.5
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.516.5
60.0%
55.7%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
71.8%12.0
They take 51.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 28 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Finland
WLWWLLLLWW
Latvia
WWWWLWWLWW
-10.0
Net rating
+11.7
105.2
Offensive rating
102.7
115.1
Defensive rating
91.0
50.0%
Effective FG%
57.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
38.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
25.6%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.3%
3-point %
36.2%
79.2%
Assist %
70.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 102.7Defence115.1 · 91.0Shooting50.0% · 57.4%3-point %29.3% · 36.2%Ball care18.5% · 25.6%Off. rebounds25.4% · 28.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Finland   ■ Latvia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Finland wins
0
Latvia wins
No previous meetings.
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24HDenmark89-85
23/02/24ASerbia61-77
02/09/23HVenezuela90-75
31/08/23ACape Verde100-77
29/08/23AGermany75-101
27/08/23AJapan88-98
25/08/23HAustralia72-98
27/02/23HGermany81-87
24/02/23AIsrael97-95 OT
14/11/22HEstonia91-71
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HSlovakia64-52
22/02/24ASpain79-75
09/09/23HLithuania98-63
07/09/23AItaly87-82
06/09/23AGermany79-81
03/09/23ABrazil104-84
01/09/23ASpain74-69
29/08/23ACanada75-101
27/08/23AFrance88-86
25/08/23HLebanon109-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Latvia
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland2814272190
Latvia2117163084
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