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Flamengo vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:10
Final 76-95
22-34 17-25 14-14 23-22
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game73.7
Flamengo
vs
Nacional 🏆
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeChampions League Americas· Ginasio do Maracanazinho
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 81
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
72avg 81
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 81
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
74avg 81
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
102-80
102
80
+22
102avg 81
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
104-71
104
71
+33
102avg 81
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 81
A08/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 81
A10/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
H15/01
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
102-66
102
66
+36
no box
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-20
26-20
21-21
20-17
23-20
13-20
26-8
22-21
21-19
18-26
32-14
24-24
26-21
15-24
22-16
22-19
29-19
27-19
24-23
16-21
32-13
27-20
29-17
17-27
27-19
22-31
22-12
21-11
23-20
20-27
24-23
31-22
22-23
28-21
13-22
29-11
33-13
16-17
24-25
170.9Avg total
92.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.073.7156.7+9.367%
Season at home (2)93.073.0166.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)63.075.0138.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)92.478.5170.9+13.990%
Last 5 (5)95.279.0174.2+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.382.7159.0-6.333%
vs Similar (11)88.984.5173.4+4.555%
vs Weaker (16)90.273.9164.1+16.494%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 83
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
88-72
88
72
+16
74avg 83
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
109-90
109
90
+19
109avg 83
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 83
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Flamengo
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
66avg 83
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 83
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#3
L
94-98
94
98
-4
84avg 83
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
99-79
99
79
+20
95avg 83
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
120-91
120
91
+29
116avg 83
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
21-21
20-23
24-14
17-18
34-16
14-19
23-19
28-21
34-29
22-20
25-20
16-21
16-19
22-17
15-25
14-16
16-13
23-11
22-23
17-18
20-21
15-19
23-13
24-28
23-25
14-20
33-25
21-15
21-23
24-22
33-19
28-14
34-29
25-28
33-20
29-20
27-15
17-18
17-21
169.6Avg total
89.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.069.3149.3+10.7100%
Season at home (2)75.067.0142.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)90.074.0164.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.480.2169.6+9.270%
Last 5 (5)95.682.6178.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.584.5150.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.281.1172.3+10.279%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +4.9+4.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +4.9+4.9
FlamengoNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A08/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H15/01
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
62-24
62
24
+38
H17/01
Champions League Americas
85.4Avg total
47.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.736.780.4+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.735.881.5+9.883%-
Last 30 away (18)42.437.379.7+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)47.537.985.4+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)50.236.086.2+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.733.367.0+0.333%-
vs Similar (11)45.338.884.1+6.564%-
vs Weaker (16)44.635.980.4+8.788%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Flamengo
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A18/01
Champions League Americas
85.6Avg total
45.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.041.787.7+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.239.084.2+6.276%-
Last 30 away (13)47.145.292.2+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.040.685.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.841.690.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.041.572.5-10.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.141.788.8+5.471%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.9
55.6%
54.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.1
35.5%
32.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
69.7%13.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.625.0
54.8%
54.0%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.5
29.8%
32.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.316.0
68.7%
69.7%16.0
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWLWWWWWW
Nacional
WWWLWWLWWL
#7
League position
#1
+13.8
Net rating
+10.5
110.3
Offensive rating
107.9
96.4
Defensive rating
97.4
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.5%
3-point %
29.8%
59.7%
Assist %
57.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 107.9Defence96.4 · 97.4Shooting54.4% · 51.2%3-point %35.5% · 29.8%Ball care14.7% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 32.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Flamengo   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Flamengo wins
1
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Nacional v Flamengo75-63
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HObras Sanitarias102-66
15/01/26HCorinthians Paulista94-88
10/01/26ACearense88-81
08/01/26AUnifacisa88-89
29/12/25HBotafogo104-71
27/12/25AVasco102-80
23/12/25AMinas87-85
21/12/25ACruzeiro93-80
18/12/25HUniao Corinthians82-65
15/12/25HObras Sanitarias84-80
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AObras Sanitarias90-74
13/01/26HWelcome120-91
07/01/26HGoes99-79
21/12/25AAguada94-98
16/12/25HObras Sanitarias75-71
14/12/25HFlamengo75-63
09/12/25APenarol69-82
04/12/25ACordon109-90
20/11/25HUnion Atletica88-72
14/11/25AMalvin75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game83.093.063.0
Allowed / game73.773.075.0
Point differential+9.3+20.0-12.0
Avg total156.7166.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.075.090.0
Allowed / game69.367.074.0
Point differential+10.7+8.0+16.0
Avg total149.3142.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional330100%80.069.3+10.7
2 Franca43175%101.078.5+22.5
3 Minas43175%82.275.5+6.8
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%87.887.2+0.5
5 Flamengo32167%83.073.7+9.3
6 Boca Juniors42250%81.279.0+2.2
7 Aguada41325%77.086.0-9.0
8 Obras Sanitarias4040%72.887.8-15.0
9 U. De Concepcion4040%72.895.8-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2217142376
Nacional3425142295
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