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Nacional vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:10
Final 89-79
21-27 24-18 33-24 11-10
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game71.4
Nacional 🏆
vs
Flamengo
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Estadio Obras Sanitarias
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Flamengo
18 Apr 2026
NACI94
FLAM65
08 Feb 2026
NACI89
FLAM79
14 Dec 2025
NACI75
FLAM63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
94-98
94
98
-4
84avg 81
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
99-79
99
79
+20
95avg 81
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
120-91
120
91
+29
116avg 81
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
97-73
97
73
+24
91avg 81
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
94-97
94
97
-3
83avg 81
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-102
81
102
-21
60avg 81
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 81
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
66avg 81
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
23-25
14-20
33-25
21-15
21-23
24-22
33-19
28-14
34-29
25-28
33-20
29-20
27-15
17-18
17-21
34-22
25-17
14-14
22-23
31-18
35-15
24-18
7-22
25-24
16-26
25-26
28-21
20-20
24-31
16-23
21-28
20-18
24-12
13-13
22-10
15-16
17-24
21-19
24-14
174.2Avg total
92.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.471.4153.8+11.0100%
Season at home (2)75.067.0142.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)87.374.3161.7+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.681.6174.2+11.070%
Last 5 (5)85.679.6165.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.584.5150.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.481.6172.0+8.875%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
74avg 80
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
102-80
102
80
+22
102avg 80
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
104-71
104
71
+33
102avg 80
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 80
A08/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 80
A10/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
H15/01
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
102-66
102
66
+36
no box
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
no box
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
77avg 80
H22/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
53-84
53
84
-31
36avg 80
A05/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
26-21
15-24
22-16
22-19
29-19
27-19
24-23
16-21
32-13
27-20
29-17
17-27
27-19
22-31
22-12
21-11
23-20
20-27
24-23
31-22
22-23
28-21
13-22
29-11
33-13
16-17
24-25
22-34
17-25
14-14
23-22
14-16
29-22
19-18
19-19
22-17
14-25
7-25
10-17
168.9Avg total
87.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.279.0160.2+2.250%
Season at home (3)87.380.3167.7+7.067%
Season away (1)63.075.0138.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)87.581.4168.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.281.6162.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.285.8162.0-9.525%
vs Similar (8)88.279.5167.8+8.875%
vs Weaker (18)87.774.5162.2+13.289%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
NacionalFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
66-33
66
33
+33
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/02
Champions League Americas
90.5Avg total
49.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.042.188.1+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.238.783.9+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)46.745.592.3+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)49.341.290.5+8.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.886.2+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.041.572.5-10.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.042.189.2+4.964%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A08/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H15/01
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
62-24
62
24
+38
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A05/02
NBB
87.2Avg total
47.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.080.6+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.837.682.5+7.277%-
Last 30 away (17)42.736.579.2+6.271%-
Last 10 (10)47.040.287.2+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.688.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.039.874.8-4.825%-
vs Similar (8)47.137.184.2+10.075%-
vs Weaker (18)44.036.380.3+7.783%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.222.9
50.7%
54.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.8
32.7%
32.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.716.7
67.6%
69.7%16.7
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.1
53.8%
54.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.7
37.5%
32.4%38.1
🏀 Free throws19.613.3
67.9%
69.7%13.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWLLWWWWWL
Flamengo
LWLWWWLWWW
#1
League position
#7
+10.5
Net rating
+8.6
100.4
Offensive rating
105.6
89.9
Defensive rating
97.0
50.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.7%
3-point %
37.5%
62.5%
Assist %
58.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 105.6Defence89.9 · 97.0Shooting50.1% · 55.0%3-point %32.7% · 37.5%Ball care14.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds33.1% · 29.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Nacional   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nacional wins
0
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
19/01/26Flamengo v Nacional76-95
14/12/25Nacional v Flamengo75-63
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AObras Sanitarias77-73
03/02/26HMalvin79-53
30/01/26AHebraica y Macabi81-102
27/01/26AUrunday94-97
23/01/26HBigua97-73
19/01/26AFlamengo95-76
18/01/26AObras Sanitarias90-74
13/01/26HWelcome120-91
07/01/26HGoes99-79
21/12/25AAguada94-98
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26APato53-84
22/01/26HMogi81-75
19/01/26HNacional76-95
17/01/26HObras Sanitarias102-66
15/01/26HCorinthians Paulista94-88
10/01/26ACearense88-81
08/01/26AUnifacisa88-89
29/12/25HBotafogo104-71
27/12/25AVasco102-80
23/12/25AMinas87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.475.087.3
Allowed / game71.467.074.3
Point differential+11.0+8.0+13.0
Avg total153.8142.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game81.287.363.0
Allowed / game79.080.375.0
Point differential+2.2+7.0-12.0
Avg total160.2167.7138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros440100%110.272.5+37.8
2 Nacional550100%82.471.4+11.0
3 Franca54180%98.676.4+22.2
4 Boca Juniors64267%83.872.8+11.0
5 Minas64267%81.773.5+8.2
6 Instituto de Cordoba53260%83.887.6-3.8
7 Paisas42250%91.885.0+6.8
8 Flamengo42250%81.279.0+2.2
9 Aguada61517%70.789.8-19.2
10 Obras Sanitarias5050%72.885.6-12.8
11 U. De Concepcion4040%72.895.8-23.0
12 Caimanes del Llano4040%73.0117.5-44.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2124331189
Flamengo2718241079
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