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Pato vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 84-53
17-22 25-14 25-7 17-10
Position#17
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game81.6
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#4
Record20-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game76.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Flamengo
07 Nov 2026
PATO v FLAM
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
PATO84
FLAM53
03 Dec 2024
PATO103
FLAM110
13 Jan 2024
PATO97
FLAM91
22 Oct 2022
PATO64
FLAM91
03 Feb 2022
PATO87
FLAM93
12 Feb 2021
PATO61
FLAM85
05 Feb 2020
PATO71
FLAM86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
61-69
61
69
-8
59avg 67
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 67
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 67
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
78avg 67
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 67
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 67
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
54avg 67
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 67
H02/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
15-16
15-17
18-21
19-26
18-24
11-16
23-27
21-20
19-15
22-15
20-17
18-20
18-20
8-19
25-25
18-27
15-25
16-21
18-21
15-26
24-17
15-14
16-13
19-22
17-19
19-22
17-17
20-27
19-26
25-17
17-19
27-17
18-23
4-17
18-18
24-19
21-13
20-23
10-29
155.6Avg total
73.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.981.6154.5-8.721%
Season at home (12)72.378.3150.7-6.025%
Season away (12)73.584.8158.3-11.317%
Last 10 (10)73.082.6155.6-9.610%
Last 5 (5)76.083.8159.8-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.683.8154.4-13.25%
vs Similar (9)81.379.4160.8+1.956%
vs Weaker (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 81
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
74avg 81
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
102-80
102
80
+22
102avg 81
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
104-71
104
71
+33
102avg 81
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 81
A08/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 81
A10/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
H15/01
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
102-66
102
66
+36
no box
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
no box
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
77avg 81
H22/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
21-19
18-26
32-14
24-24
26-21
15-24
22-16
22-19
29-19
27-19
24-23
16-21
32-13
27-20
29-17
17-27
27-19
22-31
22-12
21-11
23-20
20-27
24-23
31-22
22-23
28-21
13-22
29-11
33-13
16-17
24-25
22-34
17-25
14-14
23-22
14-16
29-22
19-18
19-19
172.5Avg total
91.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.976.0164.9+13.087%
Season at home (10)90.272.8163.0+17.490%
Season away (13)87.978.4166.3+9.585%
Last 10 (10)91.581.0172.5+10.580%
Last 5 (5)88.281.0169.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.285.8162.0-9.525%
vs Similar (9)88.681.0169.6+7.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.773.9163.6+15.894%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
PatoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
NBB
79.5Avg total
37.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.042.379.4-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.639.476.9-1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)36.644.981.5-8.419%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.779.5-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.882.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.242.178.3-5.925%-
vs Similar (9)39.141.480.6-2.344%-
vs Weaker (1)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A08/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H15/01
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
62-24
62
24
+38
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/01
NBB
87.7Avg total
47.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.436.980.3+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.837.682.5+7.277%-
Last 30 away (17)42.336.378.6+6.071%-
Last 10 (10)47.740.087.7+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.487.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.039.874.8-4.825%-
vs Similar (9)45.137.282.3+7.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.536.080.5+8.588%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.2
52.1%
52.2%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.6
29.9%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.012.9
71.7%
72.8%12.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.7
54.1%
52.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.6
37.0%
32.5%37.8
🏀 Free throws19.213.4
69.8%
72.8%13.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLLLLLWLL
Flamengo
WLWWWLWWWW
#17
League position
#4
-10.4
Net rating
+11.2
90.5
Offensive rating
108.9
100.9
Defensive rating
97.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
20.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.9%
3-point %
37.0%
58.5%
Assist %
57.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 108.9Defence100.9 · 97.7Shooting48.7% · 54.8%3-point %29.9% · 37.0%Ball care20.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Pato   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
9
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Flamengo v Pato101-63
28/02/25Flamengo v Pato91-81
03/12/24Pato v Flamengo103-110 OT
13/01/24Pato v Flamengo97-91 OT
15/10/23Flamengo v Pato84-71
08/01/23Flamengo v Pato89-75
22/10/22Pato v Flamengo64-91
03/02/22Pato v Flamengo87-93
03/11/21Flamengo v Pato94-62
12/02/21Pato v Flamengo61-85
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/26HVasco75-84
21/01/26AMinas67-75
19/01/26ACruzeiro81-89
12/01/26HUniao Corinthians72-80
09/01/26HCaxias do Sul85-91 OT
29/12/25HPinheiros67-94
23/12/25ABrasilia69-84
20/12/25HOsasco82-67
18/12/25HFranca71-93
15/12/25HBauru61-69
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HMogi81-75
19/01/26HNacional76-95
17/01/26HObras Sanitarias102-66
15/01/26HCorinthians Paulista94-88
10/01/26ACearense88-81
08/01/26AUnifacisa88-89
29/12/25HBotafogo104-71
27/12/25AVasco102-80
23/12/25AMinas87-85
21/12/25ACruzeiro93-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%25%17%
Points / game72.972.373.5
Allowed / game81.678.384.8
Point differential-8.7-6.0-11.3
Avg total154.5150.7158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW87%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWLW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %87%90%85%
Points / game88.990.287.9
Allowed / game76.072.878.4
Point differential+13.0+17.4+9.5
Avg total164.9163.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%70%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2320387%88.976.0+13.0
2 Pinheiros2420483%87.675.1+12.5
3 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
4 Franca2419579%88.875.0+13.8
5 Brasilia2518772%81.471.8+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2416867%82.777.6+5.1
7 Sao Jose2415962%83.079.4+3.5
8 Paulistano2314961%81.077.2+3.9
9 Unifacisa23131057%81.279.8+1.3
10 Mogi22121055%76.369.4+6.9
11 Uniao Corinthians23121152%79.982.3-2.5
12 Bauru24121250%77.378.0-0.7
13 Caxias do Sul24101442%72.277.8-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2271532%79.285.6-6.4
15 Rio Claro2361726%75.787.1-11.4
16 Pato2451921%72.981.6-8.7
17 Cearense2451921%77.787.6-9.9
18 Botafogo2341917%72.382.9-10.7
19 Vasco2442017%69.579.0-9.5
20 Osasco2442017%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1725251784
Flamengo221471053
← all games of the day
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