Flamengo vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 77-81

14-19 25-21 21-16 17-25

Position#2

Record27-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game70.3

Flamengo

Botafogo 🏆

Position#6

Record17-18

FormLWWLL

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game76.7

NBBNBB - Semi-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Flamengo v Botafogo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Botafogo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

82-60

+22

H09/03

NBB

Bauru

80-72

H12/03

NBB

Vasco

#14

107-67

107

+40

A16/03

NBB

Brasilia

#10

97-54

+43

H24/03

NBB

Cearense

#11

100-82

100

+18

H26/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

92-73

+19

A13/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

79-60

+19

H17/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

91-65

+26

H20/04

NBB

Botafogo

79-77

A04/05

NBB

Botafogo

81-69

+12

H09/05

NBB

14-21

24-16

22-17

22-6

19-18

22-18

18-22

21-14

23-17

26-15

30-17

28-18

27-11

18-12

25-13

27-18

27-24

29-21

21-15

23-22

20-22

22-18

23-19

27-14

16-16

16-10

28-18

19-16

19-17

29-11

21-21

22-16

17-17

20-12

23-25

19-23

23-16

15-24

23-14

20-15

156.7Avg total

88.8Scored

67.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	84.5	70.3	154.8	+14.2	87%
Season at home (16)	85.9	70.9	156.8	+14.9	94%
Season away (15)	83.0	69.7	152.7	+13.3	80%
Last 10 (10)	88.8	67.9	156.7	+20.9	100%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	68.8	153.2	+15.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	70.0	86.0	156.0	-16.0	0%
vs Similar (3)	80.0	83.0	163.0	-3.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	87.6	70.1	157.7	+17.5	92%

This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Botafogo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

77-84

-7

A26/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

87-81

A01/04

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

66-61

H06/04

NBB

Pinheiros

91-76

+15

H13/04

NBB

Pinheiros

58-67

-9

A18/04

NBB

Pinheiros

64-89

-25

A20/04

NBB

Pinheiros

88-73

+15

H27/04

NBB

Pinheiros

82-78

A30/04

NBB

Flamengo

77-79

-2

H04/05

NBB

Flamengo

69-81

-12

A09/05

NBB

18-20

26-24

17-22

16-18

21-25

21-12

19-24

26-20

20-13

19-20

12-14

15-14

23-11

17-16

27-27

24-22

14-21

19-15

11-14

14-17

18-27

15-24

20-20

11-18

14-14

17-18

33-17

24-24

20-22

14-16

19-23

29-17

17-17

12-20

25-23

23-19

16-23

24-15

14-23

15-20

152.8Avg total

75.9Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	75.4	76.7	152.0	-1.3	49%
Season at home (17)	77.8	73.1	150.9	+4.6	65%
Season away (18)	73.1	80.0	153.1	-6.9	33%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	76.9	152.8	-1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	80.0	156.0	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	75.5	81.3	156.8	-5.8	29%
vs Similar (11)	75.8	73.7	149.5	+2.1	55%
vs Weaker (5)	75.6	70.8	146.4	+4.8	80%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FlamengoBotafogo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	17.6	37.1	+2.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.5	37.8	-1.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.6	37.6	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	15.6	18.6	34.2	-3.0	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	17.0	38.7	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	16.5	39.4	+6.4	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	15.7	37.8	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.0	35.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	22.0	36.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	22.3	43.7	-1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.0	16.2	38.2	+5.8	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	17.1	34.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	16.2	36.7	+4.4	82%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	15.8	35.4	+3.8	60%	-

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

38-37

H09/03

NBB

Bauru

41-36

H12/03

NBB

Vasco

#14

49-32

+17

A16/03

NBB

Brasilia

#10

45-23

+22

H24/03

NBB

Cearense

#11

56-45

+11

H26/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

42-40

A13/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

32-26

H17/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

48-28

+20

H20/04

NBB

Botafogo

37-29

A04/05

NBB

Botafogo

38-40

-2

H09/05

NBB

76.2Avg total

42.6Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	35.1	77.2	+7.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.3	35.1	79.4	+9.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	35.1	75.2	+5.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	33.6	76.2	+9.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	32.6	72.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	42.0	75.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	43.0	82.3	-3.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.7	33.9	76.7	+8.8	85%	-

This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

44-44

A26/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

42-37

A01/04

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

39-33

H06/04

NBB

Pinheiros

40-27

+13

H13/04

NBB

Pinheiros

33-36

-3

A18/04

NBB

Pinheiros

33-51

-18

A20/04

NBB

Pinheiros

31-32

-1

H27/04

NBB

Pinheiros

34-38

-4

A30/04

NBB

Flamengo

29-37

-8

H04/05

NBB

Flamengo

40-38

A09/05

NBB

73.8Avg total

36.5Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	36.5	73.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.8	34.1	70.9	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	38.6	75.2	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	37.3	73.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	39.2	72.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.1	38.3	73.4	-3.2	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.4	35.2	74.5	+4.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	35.2	34.4	69.6	+0.8	60%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	19.2	40.7	+2.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.1	41.5	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.3	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.1	27%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	17.9	40.4	+4.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	17.6	40.4	+5.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	18.1	40.4	+4.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	16.2	39.0	+6.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.7	17.3	40.0	+5.3	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.4	20.8	41.1	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	36.8	81.0	+7.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.7	36.1	80.9	+8.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.7	37.4	81.1	+6.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	34.3	80.5	+11.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	36.2	81.2	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	44.0	81.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	40.0	80.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.8	36.2	81.0	+8.7	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	40.3	79.2	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	38.7	80.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	41.6	78.6	-4.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	39.6	79.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.8	83.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.4	43.0	83.4	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.5	38.5	75.0	-2.1	18%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.4	36.4	76.8	+4.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Flamengo wins

Botafogo wins

Date	Game	Score
09/05/19	Flamengo v Botafogo	81-69
04/05/19	Botafogo v Flamengo	77-79
02/03/19	Botafogo v Flamengo	67-73
07/12/18	Flamengo v Botafogo	102-73
12/03/18	Botafogo v Flamengo	84-90
19/01/18	Flamengo v Botafogo	107-54

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/19	H	Botafogo	81-69
04/05/19	A	Botafogo	79-77
20/04/19	H	Corinthians Paulista	91-65
17/04/19	H	Corinthians Paulista	79-60
13/04/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	92-73
26/03/19	H	Cearense	100-82
24/03/19	H	Brasilia	97-54
16/03/19	A	Vasco	107-67
12/03/19	H	Bauru	80-72
09/03/19	H	Minas	82-60

Botafogolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/19	A	Flamengo	69-81
04/05/19	H	Flamengo	77-79
30/04/19	A	Pinheiros	82-78
27/04/19	H	Pinheiros	88-73
20/04/19	A	Pinheiros	64-89
18/04/19	A	Pinheiros	58-67
13/04/19	H	Pinheiros	91-76
06/04/19	H	Sao Jose	66-61
01/04/19	A	Sao Jose	87-81
26/03/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo

NBB 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	87%
Home	WWWWW	94%
Away	WWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	87%	94%	80%
Points / game	84.5	85.9	83.0
Allowed / game	70.3	70.9	69.7
Point differential	+14.2	+14.9	+13.3
Avg total	154.8	156.8	152.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	62%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Botafogo

NBB 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	49%
Home	WWWWL	65%
Away	WLLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	49%	65%	33%
Points / game	75.4	77.8	73.1
Allowed / game	76.7	73.1	80.0
Point differential	-1.3	+4.6	-6.9
Avg total	152.0	150.9	153.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	35%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (12)	57% (7)	80% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	32	29	3	91%	87.7	77.3	+10.4
2	Flamengo	31	27	4	87%	84.5	70.3	+14.2
3	Pinheiros	31	23	8	74%	81.8	76.1	+5.7
4	Mogi	32	20	12	62%	84.2	80.9	+3.4
5	Paulistano	28	16	12	57%	84.0	80.6	+3.4
6	Botafogo	35	17	18	49%	75.4	76.7	-1.3
7	Corinthians Paulista	32	14	18	44%	79.1	80.8	-1.7
8	Minas	29	12	17	41%	77.4	80.2	-2.9
9	Bauru	32	13	19	41%	77.1	79.2	-2.1
10	Brasilia	29	11	18	38%	78.2	84.0	-5.7
11	Cearense	31	10	21	32%	73.7	78.1	-4.4
12	Sao Jose	28	9	19	32%	77.9	81.1	-3.2
13	Joinville	26	5	21	19%	76.9	84.9	-8.0
14	Vasco	26	5	21	19%	74.3	86.0	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Flamengo	14	25	21	17	77
Botafogo	19	21	16	25	81

← all games of the day

Flamengo vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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